Liga de Primera title odds after Matchday 5
After the games up to 1 March 2026
U Católica lead the title race at 37%. Coquimbo 0–1 Concepcion moved the odds the most.
Biggest risers and fallers
Title
Up
U Católica18%37%+19 pts
U de Chile6%13%+7 pts
Limache4%11%+7 pts
Down
Coquimbo32%15%−17 pts
Cobresal11%6%−5 pts
Huachipato10%5%−5 pts
U Católica won 2–1 at Ñublense, and their title chances rose from 18% to 37%. Coquimbo lost 1–0 to Concepcion at home, and their title chances fell from 32% to 15%. U Católica lead the title race at 37%.
Libertadores
Up
U Católica49%69%+20 pts
Limache17%37%+20 pts
U de Chile23%42%+19 pts
Down
Coquimbo66%46%−20 pts
Cobresal36%22%−14 pts
Audax Italiano25%12%−13 pts
U Católica won 2–1 at Ñublense, and their Libertadores chances rose from 49% to 69%. Coquimbo lost 1–0 to Concepcion at home, and their Libertadores chances fell from 66% to 46%.
Relegation
Up
U Concepción9%40%+31 pts
O'Higgins1%5%+4 pts
Ñublense2%5%+3 pts
Down
Unión La Calera74%59%−15 pts
Everton CD34%22%−12 pts
Concepcion40%32%−8 pts
U Concepción lost 3–0 to Everton CD at home, and their relegation chances rose from 9% to 40%. Unión La Calera beat Audax Italiano 3–0 at home, and their relegation chances fell from 74% to 59%.
Changes since Matchday 4, in points of percentage.
Result of the round
Coquimbo 0–1 Concepcion moved the odds the most. Coquimbo lost 1–0 to Concepcion at home, and their Libertadores chances fell from 66% to 46%. Concepcion won 1–0 at Coquimbo, and their relegation chances fell from 40% to 32%.
Match previewThe game whose two clubs' chances changed the most since the last round.
The title race
- U Católica
- Coquimbo
- U de Chile
- Limache
- Colo Colo
Show as a table
| Round | U Católica | Coquimbo | U de Chile | Limache | Colo Colo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 14% | 38% | 22% | 2% | 3% |
| 2 | 15% | 44% | 10% | 1% | 3% |
| 3 | 8% | 54% | 8% | 2% | 3% |
| 4 | 18% | 32% | 6% | 4% | 9% |
| 5 | 37% | 15% | 13% | 11% | 6% |
The top five clubs' title chances after each round.
Every club's chances
| # | Club | Pts | TitleTitle | LibertadoresLibertadores | RelegationRelegation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | 11%+7 pts | 37%+20 pts | <1%±0 | |
| 2 | 10 | 37%+19 pts | 69%+20 pts | 0%±0 | |
| 3 | 10 | 6%−5 pts | 22%−14 pts | 1%+1 pt | |
| 4 | 9 | 5%−5 pts | 23%−10 pts | 1%+1 pt | |
| 5 | 9 | 6%−3 pts | 26%−5 pts | <1%±0 | |
| 6 | 8 | 1%±0 | 5%−1 pt | 5%+3 pts | |
| 7 | 7 | 2%−5 pts | 12%−13 pts | 2%+2 pts | |
| 8 | 7 | 0%±0 | <1%−1 pt | 40%+31 pts | |
| 9 | 6 | <1%±0 | 1%+1 pt | 22%−12 pts | |
| 10 | 6 | 13%+7 pts | 42%+19 pts | <1%±0 | |
| 11 | 6 | 15%−17 pts | 46%−20 pts | <1%±0 | |
| 12 | 6 | 1%±0 | 6%−2 pts | 5%+4 pts | |
| 13 | 5 | 2%+1 pt | 11%+7 pts | 2%−1 pt | |
| 14 | 5 | <1%±0 | <1%±0 | 31%−6 pts | |
| 15 | 4 | <1%±0 | <1%±0 | 32%−8 pts | |
| 16 | 3 | <1%±0 | <1%±0 | 59%−15 pts |
Chances after Matchday 5, from 10,000 simulated seasons; the change since Matchday 4 below each.
All reports this season
- Matchday 262 Nov
- Matchday 2526 Oct
- Matchday 2412 Oct
- Matchday 2314 Sept
- Matchday 227 Sept
- Matchday 2131 Aug
- Matchday 2024 Aug
- Matchday 1917 Aug
- Matchday 1810 Aug
- Matchday 172 Aug
- Matchday 1627 Jul
- Matchday 1514 Jun
- Matchday 1431 May
- Matchday 1324 May
- Matchday 1217 May
- Matchday 1126 Apr
- Matchday 1020 Apr
- Matchday 913 Apr
- Matchday 86 Apr
- Matchday 716 Mar
- Matchday 69 Mar
- Matchday 51 Mar
- Matchday 422 Feb
- Matchday 315 Feb
- Matchday 29 Feb
- Matchday 12 Feb