Liga de Primera title odds after Matchday 4
After the games up to 22 February 2026
Coquimbo lead the title race at 32%. U Católica 3–1 Coquimbo moved the odds the most.
Biggest risers and fallers
Title
Up
U Católica8%18%+10 pts
Colo Colo3%9%+6 pts
Huachipato6%10%+4 pts
Down
Coquimbo54%32%−22 pts
U de Chile8%6%−2 pts
O'Higgins3%1%−2 pts
U Católica beat Coquimbo 3–1 at home, and their title chances rose from 8% to 18%. Coquimbo lost 3–1 at U Católica, and their title chances fell from 54% to 32%. Coquimbo lead the title race at 32%.
Libertadores
Up
U Católica33%49%+16 pts
Colo Colo18%31%+13 pts
Huachipato27%33%+6 pts
Down
Coquimbo84%66%−18 pts
U de Chile33%23%−10 pts
O'Higgins18%8%−10 pts
U Católica beat Coquimbo 3–1 at home, and their Libertadores chances rose from 33% to 49%. Coquimbo lost 3–1 at U Católica, and their Libertadores chances fell from 84% to 66%.
Relegation
Up
Unión La Calera64%74%+10 pts
Palestino2%3%+1 pt
Down
Concepcion43%40%−3 pts
U Concepción12%9%−3 pts
Ñublense5%2%−3 pts
Unión La Calera lost 1–0 to Ñublense at home, and their relegation chances rose from 64% to 74%. Concepcion drew 1–1 with Cobresal at home, and their relegation chances fell from 43% to 40%.
Changes since Matchday 3, in points of percentage.
Result of the round
U Católica 3–1 Coquimbo moved the odds the most. U Católica beat Coquimbo 3–1 at home, and their Libertadores chances rose from 33% to 49%. Coquimbo lost 3–1 at U Católica, and their title chances fell from 54% to 32%.
Match previewThe game whose two clubs' chances changed the most since the last round.
The title race
- Coquimbo
- U Católica
- Cobresal
- Huachipato
- Colo Colo
Show as a table
| Round | Coquimbo | U Católica | Cobresal | Huachipato | Colo Colo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 38% | 14% | 3% | 1% | 3% |
| 2 | 44% | 15% | 8% | 2% | 3% |
| 3 | 54% | 8% | 10% | 6% | 3% |
| 4 | 32% | 18% | 11% | 10% | 9% |
The top five clubs' title chances after each round.
Every club's chances
| # | Club | Pts | TitleTitle | LibertadoresLibertadores | RelegationRelegation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | 11%+1 pt | 36%−4 pts | <1%±0 | |
| 2 | 9 | 10%+4 pts | 33%+6 pts | <1%±0 | |
| 3 | 9 | 9%+6 pts | 31%+13 pts | <1%−1 pt | |
| 4 | 8 | 4%+2 pts | 17%+4 pts | <1%−1 pt | |
| 5 | 8 | 1%+1 pt | 6%+3 pts | 2%−3 pts | |
| 6 | 7 | 18%+10 pts | 49%+16 pts | <1%±0 | |
| 7 | 7 | 7%+3 pts | 25%+3 pts | <1%−1 pt | |
| 8 | 7 | <1%±0 | 1%±0 | 9%−3 pts | |
| 9 | 6 | 32%−22 pts | 66%−18 pts | 0%±0 | |
| 10 | 6 | 1%−2 pts | 8%−10 pts | 1%±0 | |
| 11 | 3 | 6%−2 pts | 23%−10 pts | <1%±0 | |
| 12 | 3 | 0%±0 | <1%±0 | 34%±0 | |
| 13 | 2 | 0%±0 | <1%±0 | 37%±0 | |
| 14 | 2 | 1%±0 | 4%−4 pts | 3%+1 pt | |
| 15 | 1 | 0%±0 | <1%±0 | 40%−3 pts | |
| 16 | 0 | 0%±0 | 0%±0 | 74%+10 pts |
Chances after Matchday 4, from 10,000 simulated seasons; the change since Matchday 3 below each.
All reports this season
- Matchday 262 Nov
- Matchday 2526 Oct
- Matchday 2412 Oct
- Matchday 2314 Sept
- Matchday 227 Sept
- Matchday 2131 Aug
- Matchday 2024 Aug
- Matchday 1917 Aug
- Matchday 1810 Aug
- Matchday 172 Aug
- Matchday 1627 Jul
- Matchday 1514 Jun
- Matchday 1431 May
- Matchday 1324 May
- Matchday 1217 May
- Matchday 1126 Apr
- Matchday 1020 Apr
- Matchday 913 Apr
- Matchday 86 Apr
- Matchday 716 Mar
- Matchday 69 Mar
- Matchday 51 Mar
- Matchday 422 Feb
- Matchday 315 Feb
- Matchday 29 Feb
- Matchday 12 Feb