Liga de Primera title odds after Matchday 18

After the games up to 10 August 2026

Colo Colo lead the title race at 96%. Coquimbo 1–1 La Serena moved the odds the most.

Biggest risers and fallers

Title

Colo Colo95%96%+1 pt

Down

–

Colo Colo won 2–1 at Unión La Calera, and their title chances rose from 95% to 96%. Colo Colo lead the title race at 96%.

Libertadores

U Católica47%57%+10 pts
U de Chile77%84%+7 pts
Limache6%13%+7 pts

Down

Coquimbo41%26%−15 pts
Palestino15%11%−4 pts
Huachipato5%1%−4 pts

U Católica beat Cobresal 2–0 at home, and their Libertadores chances rose from 47% to 57%. Coquimbo drew 1–1 with La Serena at home, and their Libertadores chances fell from 41% to 26%.

Relegation

U Concepción36%44%+8 pts
Cobresal23%27%+4 pts
Unión La Calera92%94%+2 pts

Down

La Serena21%14%−7 pts
Concepcion15%8%−7 pts
Everton CD2%<1%−2 pts

U Concepción lost 1–0 at Concepcion, and their relegation chances rose from 36% to 44%. La Serena drew 1–1 at Coquimbo, and their relegation chances fell from 21% to 14%.

Changes since Matchday 17, in points of percentage.

Result of the round

Coquimbo Unido

1–1

La Serena

Coquimbo 1–1 La Serena moved the odds the most. Coquimbo drew 1–1 with La Serena at home, and their Libertadores chances fell from 41% to 26%. La Serena drew 1–1 at Coquimbo, and their relegation chances fell from 21% to 14%.

Match preview

The game whose two clubs' chances changed the most since the last round.

The title race

Colo Colo
U de Chile
U Católica
Coquimbo
Palestino

Show as a table

Round	Colo Colo	U de Chile	U Católica	Coquimbo	Palestino
1	3%	22%	14%	38%	4%
2	3%	10%	15%	44%	2%
3	3%	8%	8%	54%	1%
4	9%	6%	18%	32%	1%
5	6%	13%	37%	15%	2%
6	13%	9%	24%	31%	5%
7	23%	18%	15%	17%	2%
8	23%	20%	20%	12%	<1%
9	22%	12%	32%	13%	<1%
10	16%	13%	17%	11%	2%
11	23%	17%	11%	14%	<1%
12	51%	7%	18%	9%	1%
13	72%	6%	8%	6%	1%
14	77%	4%	11%	7%	<1%
15	84%	2%	11%	3%	<1%
16	90%	3%	4%	2%	<1%
17	95%	3%	1%	<1%	<1%
18	96%	3%	1%	<1%	<1%

The top five clubs' title chances after each round.

Every club's chances

#	Club	Pts	TitleTitle	LibertadoresLibertadores	RelegationRelegation
1	Colo ColoColo Colo	45	96%+1 pt	>99%±0	0%±0
2	U de ChileUniversidad de Chile	33	3%±0	84%+7 pts	0%±0
3	U CatólicaUniversidad Católica	30	1%±0	57%+10 pts	0%±0
4	PalestinoPalestino	27	<1%±0	11%−4 pts	<1%±0
5	Everton CDEverton CD	26	<1%±0	4%+3 pts	<1%−2 pts
6	ÑublenseÑublense	26	0%±0	4%−1 pt	<1%±0
7	CoquimboCoquimbo Unido	25	<1%±0	26%−15 pts	0%±0
8	LimacheDeportes Limache	24	<1%±0	13%+7 pts	<1%−1 pt
9	HuachipatoHuachipato	24	0%±0	1%−4 pts	1%+1 pt
10	ConcepcionDeportes Concepcion	23	0%±0	<1%±0	8%−7 pts
11	O'HigginsO'Higgins	23	0%±0	<1%−2 pts	3%+2 pts
12	Audax ItalianoAudax Italiano	20	0%±0	<1%±0	9%±0
13	La SerenaLa Serena	20	0%±0	<1%±0	14%−7 pts
14	U ConcepciónUniversidad de Concepción	19	0%±0	0%±0	44%+8 pts
15	CobresalCobresal	17	0%±0	0%±0	27%+4 pts
16	Unión La CaleraUnión La Calera	13	0%±0	0%±0	94%+2 pts

Chances after Matchday 18, from 10,000 simulated seasons; the change since Matchday 17 below each.

Round	Colo Colo	U de Chile	U Católica	Coquimbo	Palestino
1	3%	22%	14%	38%	4%
2	3%	10%	15%	44%	2%
3	3%	8%	8%	54%	1%
4	9%	6%	18%	32%	1%
5	6%	13%	37%	15%	2%
6	13%	9%	24%	31%	5%
7	23%	18%	15%	17%	2%
8	23%	20%	20%	12%	<1%
9	22%	12%	32%	13%	<1%
10	16%	13%	17%	11%	2%
11	23%	17%	11%	14%	<1%
12	51%	7%	18%	9%	1%
13	72%	6%	8%	6%	1%
14	77%	4%	11%	7%	<1%
15	84%	2%	11%	3%	<1%
16	90%	3%	4%	2%	<1%
17	95%	3%	1%	<1%	<1%
18	96%	3%	1%	<1%	<1%

Round	Colo Colo	U de Chile	U Católica	Coquimbo	Palestino
1	3%	22%	14%	38%	4%
2	3%	10%	15%	44%	2%
3	3%	8%	8%	54%	1%
4	9%	6%	18%	32%	1%
5	6%	13%	37%	15%	2%
6	13%	9%	24%	31%	5%
7	23%	18%	15%	17%	2%
8	23%	20%	20%	12%	<1%
9	22%	12%	32%	13%	<1%
10	16%	13%	17%	11%	2%
11	23%	17%	11%	14%	<1%
12	51%	7%	18%	9%	1%
13	72%	6%	8%	6%	1%
14	77%	4%	11%	7%	<1%
15	84%	2%	11%	3%	<1%
16	90%	3%	4%	2%	<1%
17	95%	3%	1%	<1%	<1%
18	96%	3%	1%	<1%	<1%

Biggest risers and fallers

Title

Libertadores

Relegation

Result of the round

The title race

Every club's chances

All reports this season

Round	Colo Colo	U de Chile	U Católica	Coquimbo	Palestino
1	3%	22%	14%	38%	4%
2	3%	10%	15%	44%	2%
3	3%	8%	8%	54%	1%
4	9%	6%	18%	32%	1%
5	6%	13%	37%	15%	2%
6	13%	9%	24%	31%	5%
7	23%	18%	15%	17%	2%
8	23%	20%	20%	12%	<1%
9	22%	12%	32%	13%	<1%
10	16%	13%	17%	11%	2%
11	23%	17%	11%	14%	<1%
12	51%	7%	18%	9%	1%
13	72%	6%	8%	6%	1%
14	77%	4%	11%	7%	<1%
15	84%	2%	11%	3%	<1%
16	90%	3%	4%	2%	<1%
17	95%	3%	1%	<1%	<1%
18	96%	3%	1%	<1%	<1%