Liga de Primera title odds after Matchday 17

After the games up to 2 August 2026

Colo Colo lead the title race at 95%. Concepcion 3–0 U Católica moved the odds the most.

Biggest risers and fallers

Title

Colo Colo90%95%+5 pts

Down

U Católica4%1%−3 pts
Coquimbo2%<1%−2 pts

Colo Colo won 4–3 at Everton CD, and their title chances rose from 90% to 95%. U Católica lost 3–0 at Concepcion, and their title chances fell from 4% to 1%. Colo Colo lead the title race at 95%.

Libertadores

U de Chile63%77%+14 pts
Palestino8%15%+7 pts
Ñublense3%5%+2 pts

Down

U Católica65%47%−18 pts
Coquimbo48%41%−7 pts
Huachipato6%5%−1 pt

U de Chile beat Huachipato 2–0 at home, and their Libertadores chances rose from 63% to 77%. U Católica lost 3–0 at Concepcion, and their Libertadores chances fell from 65% to 47%.

Relegation

U Concepción21%36%+15 pts
Unión La Calera81%92%+11 pts
La Serena10%21%+11 pts

Down

Concepcion32%15%−17 pts
Cobresal35%23%−12 pts
Audax Italiano14%9%−5 pts

U Concepción lost 1–0 to Audax Italiano at home, and their relegation chances rose from 21% to 36%. Concepcion beat U Católica 3–0 at home, and their relegation chances fell from 32% to 15%.

Changes since Matchday 16, in points of percentage.

Result of the round

Deportes Concepcion

3–0

Universidad Católica

Concepcion 3–0 U Católica moved the odds the most. Concepcion beat U Católica 3–0 at home, and their relegation chances fell from 32% to 15%. U Católica lost 3–0 at Concepcion, and their Libertadores chances fell from 65% to 47%.

Match preview

The game whose two clubs' chances changed the most since the last round.

The title race

Colo Colo
U de Chile
U Católica
Coquimbo
Palestino

Show as a table

Round	Colo Colo	U de Chile	U Católica	Coquimbo	Palestino
1	3%	22%	14%	38%	4%
2	3%	10%	15%	44%	2%
3	3%	8%	8%	54%	1%
4	9%	6%	18%	32%	1%
5	6%	13%	37%	15%	2%
6	13%	9%	24%	31%	5%
7	23%	18%	15%	17%	2%
8	23%	20%	20%	12%	<1%
9	22%	12%	32%	13%	<1%
10	16%	13%	17%	11%	2%
11	23%	17%	11%	14%	<1%
12	51%	7%	18%	9%	1%
13	72%	6%	8%	6%	1%
14	77%	4%	11%	7%	<1%
15	84%	2%	11%	3%	<1%
16	90%	3%	4%	2%	<1%
17	95%	3%	1%	<1%	<1%

The top five clubs' title chances after each round.

Every club's chances

#	Club	Pts	TitleTitle	LibertadoresLibertadores	RelegationRelegation
1	Colo ColoColo Colo	42	95%+5 pts	>99%+1 pt	0%±0
2	U de ChileUniversidad de Chile	30	3%±0	77%+14 pts	0%±0
3	U CatólicaUniversidad Católica	27	1%−3 pts	47%−18 pts	0%±0
4	PalestinoPalestino	27	<1%±0	15%+7 pts	<1%±0
5	ÑublenseÑublense	25	0%±0	5%+2 pts	<1%±0
6	CoquimboCoquimbo Unido	24	<1%−2 pts	41%−7 pts	0%±0
7	HuachipatoHuachipato	24	0%±0	5%−1 pt	<1%±0
8	Everton CDEverton CD	23	0%±0	1%−1 pt	2%+1 pt
9	O'HigginsO'Higgins	23	<1%±0	2%+1 pt	1%−3 pts
10	LimacheDeportes Limache	21	<1%±0	6%+1 pt	1%±0
11	ConcepcionDeportes Concepcion	20	0%±0	<1%±0	15%−17 pts
12	Audax ItalianoAudax Italiano	19	0%±0	<1%±0	9%−5 pts
13	La SerenaLa Serena	19	0%±0	<1%±0	21%+11 pts
14	U ConcepciónUniversidad de Concepción	19	0%±0	0%±0	36%+15 pts
15	CobresalCobresal	17	0%±0	<1%±0	23%−12 pts
16	Unión La CaleraUnión La Calera	13	0%±0	0%±0	92%+11 pts

Chances after Matchday 17, from 10,000 simulated seasons; the change since Matchday 16 below each.

Round	Colo Colo	U de Chile	U Católica	Coquimbo	Palestino
1	3%	22%	14%	38%	4%
2	3%	10%	15%	44%	2%
3	3%	8%	8%	54%	1%
4	9%	6%	18%	32%	1%
5	6%	13%	37%	15%	2%
6	13%	9%	24%	31%	5%
7	23%	18%	15%	17%	2%
8	23%	20%	20%	12%	<1%
9	22%	12%	32%	13%	<1%
10	16%	13%	17%	11%	2%
11	23%	17%	11%	14%	<1%
12	51%	7%	18%	9%	1%
13	72%	6%	8%	6%	1%
14	77%	4%	11%	7%	<1%
15	84%	2%	11%	3%	<1%
16	90%	3%	4%	2%	<1%
17	95%	3%	1%	<1%	<1%

Round	Colo Colo	U de Chile	U Católica	Coquimbo	Palestino
1	3%	22%	14%	38%	4%
2	3%	10%	15%	44%	2%
3	3%	8%	8%	54%	1%
4	9%	6%	18%	32%	1%
5	6%	13%	37%	15%	2%
6	13%	9%	24%	31%	5%
7	23%	18%	15%	17%	2%
8	23%	20%	20%	12%	<1%
9	22%	12%	32%	13%	<1%
10	16%	13%	17%	11%	2%
11	23%	17%	11%	14%	<1%
12	51%	7%	18%	9%	1%
13	72%	6%	8%	6%	1%
14	77%	4%	11%	7%	<1%
15	84%	2%	11%	3%	<1%
16	90%	3%	4%	2%	<1%
17	95%	3%	1%	<1%	<1%

Biggest risers and fallers

Title

Libertadores

Relegation

Result of the round

The title race

Every club's chances

All reports this season

Round	Colo Colo	U de Chile	U Católica	Coquimbo	Palestino
1	3%	22%	14%	38%	4%
2	3%	10%	15%	44%	2%
3	3%	8%	8%	54%	1%
4	9%	6%	18%	32%	1%
5	6%	13%	37%	15%	2%
6	13%	9%	24%	31%	5%
7	23%	18%	15%	17%	2%
8	23%	20%	20%	12%	<1%
9	22%	12%	32%	13%	<1%
10	16%	13%	17%	11%	2%
11	23%	17%	11%	14%	<1%
12	51%	7%	18%	9%	1%
13	72%	6%	8%	6%	1%
14	77%	4%	11%	7%	<1%
15	84%	2%	11%	3%	<1%
16	90%	3%	4%	2%	<1%
17	95%	3%	1%	<1%	<1%