Liga de Primera title odds after Matchday 12

After the games up to 17 May 2026

Colo Colo lead the title race at 51%. Limache 0–2 U Católica moved the odds the most.

Biggest risers and fallers

Title

Colo Colo23%51%+28 pts
U Católica11%18%+7 pts
Palestino<1%1%+1 pt

Down

Limache24%8%−16 pts
U de Chile17%7%−10 pts
Coquimbo14%9%−5 pts

Colo Colo's title chances rose from 23% to 51%. Limache lost 2–0 to U Católica at home, and their title chances fell from 24% to 8%. Colo Colo lead the title race at 51%.

Libertadores

Colo Colo57%84%+27 pts
U Católica39%57%+18 pts
Huachipato29%34%+5 pts

Down

Limache58%38%−20 pts
U de Chile49%33%−16 pts
O'Higgins16%6%−10 pts

Colo Colo's Libertadores chances rose from 57% to 84%. Limache lost 2–0 to U Católica at home, and their Libertadores chances fell from 58% to 38%.

Relegation

Concepcion66%80%+14 pts
Unión La Calera57%65%+8 pts
La Serena13%21%+8 pts

Down

U Concepción29%12%−17 pts
Cobresal22%10%−12 pts
Everton CD5%1%−4 pts

Concepcion lost 2–0 to Everton CD at home, and their relegation chances rose from 66% to 80%. U Concepción won 1–0 at O'Higgins, and their relegation chances fell from 29% to 12%.

Changes since Matchday 11, in points of percentage.

Result of the round

Deportes Limache

0–2

Universidad Católica

Limache 0–2 U Católica moved the odds the most. Limache lost 2–0 to U Católica at home, and their Libertadores chances fell from 58% to 38%. U Católica won 2–0 at Limache, and their Libertadores chances rose from 39% to 57%.

Match preview

The game whose two clubs' chances changed the most since the last round.

The title race

Colo Colo
U Católica
Coquimbo
Limache
Huachipato

Show as a table

Round	Colo Colo	U Católica	Coquimbo	Limache	Huachipato
1	3%	14%	38%	2%	1%
2	3%	15%	44%	1%	2%
3	3%	8%	54%	2%	6%
4	9%	18%	32%	4%	10%
5	6%	37%	15%	11%	5%
6	13%	24%	31%	7%	3%
7	23%	15%	17%	18%	1%
8	23%	20%	12%	20%	2%
9	22%	32%	13%	14%	5%
10	16%	17%	11%	27%	9%
11	23%	11%	14%	24%	7%
12	51%	18%	9%	8%	7%

The top five clubs' title chances after each round.

Every club's chances

#	Club	Pts	TitleTitle	LibertadoresLibertadores	RelegationRelegation
1	Colo ColoColo Colo	27	51%+28 pts	84%+27 pts	0%±0
2	HuachipatoHuachipato	22	7%±0	34%+5 pts	<1%±0
3	LimacheDeportes Limache	21	8%−16 pts	38%−20 pts	<1%±0
4	U CatólicaUniversidad Católica	20	18%+7 pts	57%+18 pts	0%±0
5	CoquimboCoquimbo Unido	19	9%−5 pts	39%−4 pts	0%±0
6	O'HigginsO'Higgins	19	1%−2 pts	6%−10 pts	<1%±0
7	Everton CDEverton CD	18	<1%±0	2%+1 pt	1%−4 pts
8	U de ChileUniversidad de Chile	17	7%−10 pts	33%−16 pts	<1%±0
9	PalestinoPalestino	17	1%+1 pt	6%+3 pts	<1%−2 pts
10	ÑublenseÑublense	17	<1%−1 pt	2%−2 pts	2%+1 pt
11	U ConcepciónUniversidad de Concepción	17	<1%±0	<1%±0	12%−17 pts
12	La SerenaLa Serena	14	0%±0	0%±0	21%+8 pts
13	CobresalCobresal	13	0%±0	<1%±0	10%−12 pts
14	Audax ItalianoAudax Italiano	11	<1%±0	<1%−1 pt	8%+3 pts
15	Unión La CaleraUnión La Calera	10	0%±0	0%±0	65%+8 pts
16	ConcepcionDeportes Concepcion	8	0%±0	0%±0	80%+14 pts

Chances after Matchday 12, from 10,000 simulated seasons; the change since Matchday 11 below each.

Round	Colo Colo	U Católica	Coquimbo	Limache	Huachipato
1	3%	14%	38%	2%	1%
2	3%	15%	44%	1%	2%
3	3%	8%	54%	2%	6%
4	9%	18%	32%	4%	10%
5	6%	37%	15%	11%	5%
6	13%	24%	31%	7%	3%
7	23%	15%	17%	18%	1%
8	23%	20%	12%	20%	2%
9	22%	32%	13%	14%	5%
10	16%	17%	11%	27%	9%
11	23%	11%	14%	24%	7%
12	51%	18%	9%	8%	7%

Round	Colo Colo	U Católica	Coquimbo	Limache	Huachipato
1	3%	14%	38%	2%	1%
2	3%	15%	44%	1%	2%
3	3%	8%	54%	2%	6%
4	9%	18%	32%	4%	10%
5	6%	37%	15%	11%	5%
6	13%	24%	31%	7%	3%
7	23%	15%	17%	18%	1%
8	23%	20%	12%	20%	2%
9	22%	32%	13%	14%	5%
10	16%	17%	11%	27%	9%
11	23%	11%	14%	24%	7%
12	51%	18%	9%	8%	7%

Biggest risers and fallers

Title

Libertadores

Relegation

Result of the round

The title race

Every club's chances

All reports this season

Round	Colo Colo	U Católica	Coquimbo	Limache	Huachipato
1	3%	14%	38%	2%	1%
2	3%	15%	44%	1%	2%
3	3%	8%	54%	2%	6%
4	9%	18%	32%	4%	10%
5	6%	37%	15%	11%	5%
6	13%	24%	31%	7%	3%
7	23%	15%	17%	18%	1%
8	23%	20%	12%	20%	2%
9	22%	32%	13%	14%	5%
10	16%	17%	11%	27%	9%
11	23%	11%	14%	24%	7%
12	51%	18%	9%	8%	7%