Liga de Primera title odds after Matchday 20

After the games up to 24 August 2026

Colo Colo lead the title race at 99%. U Católica 1–2 Ñublense moved the odds the most.

Biggest risers and fallers

Title

Colo Colo91%99%+8 pts

Down

U de Chile8%1%−7 pts
U Católica1%<1%−1 pt

Colo Colo won 2–1 at U de Chile, and their title chances rose from 91% to 99%. U de Chile lost 2–1 to Colo Colo at home, and their title chances fell from 8% to 1%. Colo Colo lead the title race at 99%.

Libertadores

Palestino18%34%+16 pts
Ñublense5%14%+9 pts
Limache5%11%+6 pts

Down

U Católica54%32%−22 pts
U de Chile92%84%−8 pts
Coquimbo23%20%−3 pts

Palestino won 1–0 at O'Higgins, and their Libertadores chances rose from 18% to 34%. U Católica lost 2–1 to Ñublense at home, and their Libertadores chances fell from 54% to 32%.

Relegation

U Concepción53%59%+6 pts
Audax Italiano5%6%+1 pt
Huachipato1%2%+1 pt

Down

Cobresal40%34%−6 pts
Unión La Calera94%93%−1 pt

U Concepción lost 3–1 at Everton CD, and their relegation chances rose from 53% to 59%. Cobresal drew 3–3 at La Serena, and their relegation chances fell from 40% to 34%.

Changes since Matchday 19, in points of percentage.

Result of the round

Universidad Católica

1–2

Ñublense

U Católica 1–2 Ñublense moved the odds the most. U Católica lost 2–1 to Ñublense at home, and their Libertadores chances fell from 54% to 32%. Ñublense won 2–1 at U Católica, and their Libertadores chances rose from 5% to 14%.

Match preview

The game whose two clubs' chances changed the most since the last round.

The title race

Colo Colo
U de Chile
Palestino
U Católica
Ñublense

Show as a table

Round	Colo Colo	U de Chile	Palestino	U Católica	Ñublense
1	3%	22%	4%	14%	<1%
2	3%	10%	2%	15%	<1%
3	3%	8%	1%	8%	<1%
4	9%	6%	1%	18%	1%
5	6%	13%	2%	37%	1%
6	13%	9%	5%	24%	2%
7	23%	18%	2%	15%	1%
8	23%	20%	<1%	20%	1%
9	22%	12%	<1%	32%	1%
10	16%	13%	2%	17%	2%
11	23%	17%	<1%	11%	1%
12	51%	7%	1%	18%	<1%
13	72%	6%	1%	8%	<1%
14	77%	4%	<1%	11%	<1%
15	84%	2%	<1%	11%	<1%
16	90%	3%	<1%	4%	<1%
17	95%	3%	<1%	1%	0%
18	96%	3%	<1%	1%	0%
19	91%	8%	<1%	1%	<1%
20	99%	1%	<1%	<1%	<1%

The top five clubs' title chances after each round.

Every club's chances

#	Club	Pts	TitleTitle	LibertadoresLibertadores	RelegationRelegation
1	Colo ColoColo Colo	49	99%+8 pts	>99%±0	0%±0
2	U de ChileUniversidad de Chile	36	1%−7 pts	84%−8 pts	0%±0
3	PalestinoPalestino	33	<1%±0	34%+16 pts	0%±0
4	ÑublenseÑublense	32	<1%±0	14%+9 pts	0%±0
5	U CatólicaUniversidad Católica	30	<1%−1 pt	32%−22 pts	0%±0
6	Everton CDEverton CD	30	<1%±0	3%+1 pt	<1%±0
7	LimacheDeportes Limache	27	<1%±0	11%+6 pts	<1%±0
8	ConcepcionDeportes Concepcion	27	0%±0	<1%±0	1%±0
9	CoquimboCoquimbo Unido	26	<1%±0	20%−3 pts	0%±0
10	La SerenaLa Serena	24	0%±0	<1%±0	3%±0
11	O'HigginsO'Higgins	24	0%±0	<1%−1 pt	2%+1 pt
12	HuachipatoHuachipato	24	0%±0	<1%±0	2%+1 pt
13	Audax ItalianoAudax Italiano	22	0%±0	<1%±0	6%+1 pt
14	U ConcepciónUniversidad de Concepción	19	0%±0	0%±0	59%+6 pts
15	CobresalCobresal	18	0%±0	0%±0	34%−6 pts
16	Unión La CaleraUnión La Calera	14	0%±0	0%±0	93%−1 pt

Chances after Matchday 20, from 10,000 simulated seasons; the change since Matchday 19 below each.

Round	Colo Colo	U de Chile	Palestino	U Católica	Ñublense
1	3%	22%	4%	14%	<1%
2	3%	10%	2%	15%	<1%
3	3%	8%	1%	8%	<1%
4	9%	6%	1%	18%	1%
5	6%	13%	2%	37%	1%
6	13%	9%	5%	24%	2%
7	23%	18%	2%	15%	1%
8	23%	20%	<1%	20%	1%
9	22%	12%	<1%	32%	1%
10	16%	13%	2%	17%	2%
11	23%	17%	<1%	11%	1%
12	51%	7%	1%	18%	<1%
13	72%	6%	1%	8%	<1%
14	77%	4%	<1%	11%	<1%
15	84%	2%	<1%	11%	<1%
16	90%	3%	<1%	4%	<1%
17	95%	3%	<1%	1%	0%
18	96%	3%	<1%	1%	0%
19	91%	8%	<1%	1%	<1%
20	99%	1%	<1%	<1%	<1%

Round	Colo Colo	U de Chile	Palestino	U Católica	Ñublense
1	3%	22%	4%	14%	<1%
2	3%	10%	2%	15%	<1%
3	3%	8%	1%	8%	<1%
4	9%	6%	1%	18%	1%
5	6%	13%	2%	37%	1%
6	13%	9%	5%	24%	2%
7	23%	18%	2%	15%	1%
8	23%	20%	<1%	20%	1%
9	22%	12%	<1%	32%	1%
10	16%	13%	2%	17%	2%
11	23%	17%	<1%	11%	1%
12	51%	7%	1%	18%	<1%
13	72%	6%	1%	8%	<1%
14	77%	4%	<1%	11%	<1%
15	84%	2%	<1%	11%	<1%
16	90%	3%	<1%	4%	<1%
17	95%	3%	<1%	1%	0%
18	96%	3%	<1%	1%	0%
19	91%	8%	<1%	1%	<1%
20	99%	1%	<1%	<1%	<1%

Biggest risers and fallers

Title

Libertadores

Relegation

Result of the round

The title race

Every club's chances

All reports this season

Round	Colo Colo	U de Chile	Palestino	U Católica	Ñublense
1	3%	22%	4%	14%	<1%
2	3%	10%	2%	15%	<1%
3	3%	8%	1%	8%	<1%
4	9%	6%	1%	18%	1%
5	6%	13%	2%	37%	1%
6	13%	9%	5%	24%	2%
7	23%	18%	2%	15%	1%
8	23%	20%	<1%	20%	1%
9	22%	12%	<1%	32%	1%
10	16%	13%	2%	17%	2%
11	23%	17%	<1%	11%	1%
12	51%	7%	1%	18%	<1%
13	72%	6%	1%	8%	<1%
14	77%	4%	<1%	11%	<1%
15	84%	2%	<1%	11%	<1%
16	90%	3%	<1%	4%	<1%
17	95%	3%	<1%	1%	0%
18	96%	3%	<1%	1%	0%
19	91%	8%	<1%	1%	<1%
20	99%	1%	<1%	<1%	<1%