Liga de Primera title odds after Matchday 16

After the games up to 27 July 2026

Colo Colo lead the title race at 90%. U Católica 3–3 La Serena moved the odds the most.

Biggest risers and fallers

Title

Colo Colo84%90%+6 pts
U de Chile2%3%+1 pt

Down

U Católica11%4%−7 pts
Coquimbo3%2%−1 pt

Colo Colo beat Limache 3–1 at home, and their title chances rose from 84% to 90%. U Católica drew 3–3 with La Serena at home, and their title chances fell from 11% to 4%. Colo Colo lead the title race at 90%.

Libertadores

U de Chile35%63%+28 pts
Ñublense2%3%+1 pt

Down

U Católica77%65%−12 pts
Palestino15%8%−7 pts
Huachipato10%6%−4 pts

U de Chile's Libertadores chances rose from 35% to 63%. U Católica drew 3–3 with La Serena at home, and their Libertadores chances fell from 77% to 65%.

Relegation

Unión La Calera75%81%+6 pts
Audax Italiano8%14%+6 pts
O'Higgins1%4%+3 pts

Down

Concepcion47%32%−15 pts
La Serena12%10%−2 pts
Ñublense1%<1%−1 pt

Unión La Calera drew 1–1 with Everton CD at home, and their relegation chances rose from 75% to 81%. Concepcion beat O'Higgins 2–0 at home, and their relegation chances fell from 47% to 32%.

Changes since Matchday 15, in points of percentage.

Result of the round

Universidad Católica

3–3

La Serena

U Católica 3–3 La Serena moved the odds the most. U Católica drew 3–3 with La Serena at home, and their Libertadores chances fell from 77% to 65%. La Serena drew 3–3 at U Católica, and their relegation chances fell from 12% to 10%.

Match preview

The game whose two clubs' chances changed the most since the last round.

The title race

Colo Colo
U Católica
U de Chile
Coquimbo
Palestino

Show as a table

Round	Colo Colo	U Católica	U de Chile	Coquimbo	Palestino
1	3%	14%	22%	38%	4%
2	3%	15%	10%	44%	2%
3	3%	8%	8%	54%	1%
4	9%	18%	6%	32%	1%
5	6%	37%	13%	15%	2%
6	13%	24%	9%	31%	5%
7	23%	15%	18%	17%	2%
8	23%	20%	20%	12%	<1%
9	22%	32%	12%	13%	<1%
10	16%	17%	13%	11%	2%
11	23%	11%	17%	14%	<1%
12	51%	18%	7%	9%	1%
13	72%	8%	6%	6%	1%
14	77%	11%	4%	7%	<1%
15	84%	11%	2%	3%	<1%
16	90%	4%	3%	2%	<1%

The top five clubs' title chances after each round.

Every club's chances

#	Club	Pts	TitleTitle	LibertadoresLibertadores	RelegationRelegation
1	Colo ColoColo Colo	39	90%+6 pts	99%±0	0%±0
2	U CatólicaUniversidad Católica	27	4%−7 pts	65%−12 pts	0%±0
3	U de ChileUniversidad de Chile	27	3%+1 pt	63%+28 pts	0%±0
4	ÑublenseÑublense	25	<1%±0	3%+1 pt	<1%−1 pt
5	CoquimboCoquimbo Unido	24	2%−1 pt	48%−1 pt	0%±0
6	HuachipatoHuachipato	24	<1%±0	6%−4 pts	<1%±0
7	PalestinoPalestino	24	<1%±0	8%−7 pts	<1%±0
8	Everton CDEverton CD	23	0%±0	2%−1 pt	1%±0
9	LimacheDeportes Limache	21	<1%±0	5%−2 pts	1%+1 pt
10	O'HigginsO'Higgins	20	0%±0	1%−2 pts	4%+3 pts
11	La SerenaLa Serena	19	0%±0	<1%±0	10%−2 pts
12	U ConcepciónUniversidad de Concepción	19	0%±0	<1%±0	21%+2 pts
13	ConcepcionDeportes Concepcion	17	0%±0	<1%±0	32%−15 pts
14	Audax ItalianoAudax Italiano	16	0%±0	<1%±0	14%+6 pts
15	CobresalCobresal	14	0%±0	<1%±0	35%±0
16	Unión La CaleraUnión La Calera	13	0%±0	0%±0	81%+6 pts

Chances after Matchday 16, from 10,000 simulated seasons; the change since Matchday 15 below each.

Round	Colo Colo	U Católica	U de Chile	Coquimbo	Palestino
1	3%	14%	22%	38%	4%
2	3%	15%	10%	44%	2%
3	3%	8%	8%	54%	1%
4	9%	18%	6%	32%	1%
5	6%	37%	13%	15%	2%
6	13%	24%	9%	31%	5%
7	23%	15%	18%	17%	2%
8	23%	20%	20%	12%	<1%
9	22%	32%	12%	13%	<1%
10	16%	17%	13%	11%	2%
11	23%	11%	17%	14%	<1%
12	51%	18%	7%	9%	1%
13	72%	8%	6%	6%	1%
14	77%	11%	4%	7%	<1%
15	84%	11%	2%	3%	<1%
16	90%	4%	3%	2%	<1%

Round	Colo Colo	U Católica	U de Chile	Coquimbo	Palestino
1	3%	14%	22%	38%	4%
2	3%	15%	10%	44%	2%
3	3%	8%	8%	54%	1%
4	9%	18%	6%	32%	1%
5	6%	37%	13%	15%	2%
6	13%	24%	9%	31%	5%
7	23%	15%	18%	17%	2%
8	23%	20%	20%	12%	<1%
9	22%	32%	12%	13%	<1%
10	16%	17%	13%	11%	2%
11	23%	11%	17%	14%	<1%
12	51%	18%	7%	9%	1%
13	72%	8%	6%	6%	1%
14	77%	11%	4%	7%	<1%
15	84%	11%	2%	3%	<1%
16	90%	4%	3%	2%	<1%

Biggest risers and fallers

Title

Libertadores

Relegation

Result of the round

The title race

Every club's chances

All reports this season

Round	Colo Colo	U Católica	U de Chile	Coquimbo	Palestino
1	3%	14%	22%	38%	4%
2	3%	15%	10%	44%	2%
3	3%	8%	8%	54%	1%
4	9%	18%	6%	32%	1%
5	6%	37%	13%	15%	2%
6	13%	24%	9%	31%	5%
7	23%	15%	18%	17%	2%
8	23%	20%	20%	12%	<1%
9	22%	32%	12%	13%	<1%
10	16%	17%	13%	11%	2%
11	23%	11%	17%	14%	<1%
12	51%	18%	7%	9%	1%
13	72%	8%	6%	6%	1%
14	77%	11%	4%	7%	<1%
15	84%	11%	2%	3%	<1%
16	90%	4%	3%	2%	<1%