Premier League title odds after Matchday 9

After the games up to 2 November 2026Latest

Arsenal lead the title race at 64%. Coventry 3–1 Sunderland moved the odds the most.

Biggest risers and fallers

Title

Arsenal52%64%+12 pts
Brighton10%16%+6 pts
Chelsea<1%1%+1 pt

Down

Man City37%19%−18 pts
Liverpool1%<1%−1 pt

Arsenal won 1–0 at Liverpool, and their title chances rose from 52% to 64%. Man City lost 1–0 to Brighton at home, and their title chances fell from 37% to 19%. Arsenal lead the title race at 64%.

Champions League

Chelsea26%37%+11 pts
Brentford15%21%+6 pts
Brighton91%95%+4 pts

Down

Liverpool44%29%−15 pts
Leeds7%3%−4 pts
Man City98%96%−2 pts

Chelsea beat Man United 2–0 at home, and their Champions League chances rose from 26% to 37%. Liverpool lost 1–0 to Arsenal at home, and their Champions League chances fell from 44% to 29%.

Relegation

Sunderland32%44%+12 pts
Crystal Palace47%57%+10 pts
Nottm Forest23%31%+8 pts

Down

Coventry73%51%−22 pts
Tottenham11%4%−7 pts
Everton5%2%−3 pts

Sunderland lost 3–1 at Coventry, and their relegation chances rose from 32% to 44%. Coventry beat Sunderland 3–1 at home, and their relegation chances fell from 73% to 51%.

Changes since Matchday 8, in points of percentage.

Result of the round

Coventry City

3–1

Sunderland

Coventry 3–1 Sunderland moved the odds the most. Coventry beat Sunderland 3–1 at home, and their relegation chances fell from 73% to 51%. Sunderland lost 3–1 at Coventry, and their relegation chances rose from 32% to 44%.

Match preview

The game whose two clubs' chances changed the most since the last round.

The title race

Arsenal
Man City
Brighton
Chelsea
Liverpool

Show as a table

Round	Arsenal	Man City	Brighton	Chelsea	Liverpool
1	58%	31%	3%	3%	2%
2	56%	39%	1%	1%	<1%
3	58%	38%	<1%	2%	1%
4	61%	36%	1%	<1%	<1%
5	34%	56%	8%	<1%	1%
6	27%	64%	8%	<1%	<1%
7	33%	50%	16%	1%	<1%
8	52%	37%	10%	<1%	1%
9	64%	19%	16%	1%	<1%

The top five clubs' title chances after each round.

Every club's chances

#	Club	Pts	TitleTitle	Champions LeagueChampions League	RelegationRelegation
1	ArsenalArsenal	24	64%+12 pts	>99%+1 pt	0%±0
2	Man CityManchester City	21	19%−18 pts	96%−2 pts	0%±0
3	BrightonBrighton & Hove Albion	19	16%+6 pts	95%+4 pts	0%±0
4	ChelseaChelsea	16	1%+1 pt	37%+11 pts	<1%±0
5	LiverpoolLiverpool	15	<1%−1 pt	29%−15 pts	<1%±0
6	BrentfordBrentford	14	<1%±0	21%+6 pts	<1%±0
7	EvertonEverton	13	<1%±0	3%+1 pt	2%−3 pts
8	BournemouthBournemouth	12	<1%±0	8%+3 pts	<1%−1 pt
9	TottenhamTottenham Hotspur	12	0%±0	1%+1 pt	4%−7 pts
10	Aston VillaAston Villa	12	<1%±0	5%−2 pts	1%±0
11	HullHull City	11	0%±0	<1%±0	41%−2 pts
12	LeedsLeeds United	11	0%±0	3%−4 pts	2%+1 pt
13	NewcastleNewcastle United	11	0%±0	<1%−1 pt	10%+4 pts
14	IpswichIpswich Town	11	0%±0	<1%±0	37%−1 pt
15	FulhamFulham	9	0%±0	<1%±0	14%−2 pts
16	CoventryCoventry City	9	0%±0	<1%±0	51%−22 pts
17	Man UnitedManchester United	7	0%±0	1%−2 pts	6%+2 pts
18	Crystal PalaceCrystal Palace	7	0%±0	0%±0	57%+10 pts
19	Nottm ForestNottingham Forest	6	0%±0	<1%±0	31%+8 pts
20	SunderlandSunderland	5	0%±0	<1%±0	44%+12 pts

Chances after Matchday 9, from 10,000 simulated seasons; the change since Matchday 8 below each.

Round	Arsenal	Man City	Brighton	Chelsea	Liverpool
1	58%	31%	3%	3%	2%
2	56%	39%	1%	1%	<1%
3	58%	38%	<1%	2%	1%
4	61%	36%	1%	<1%	<1%
5	34%	56%	8%	<1%	1%
6	27%	64%	8%	<1%	<1%
7	33%	50%	16%	1%	<1%
8	52%	37%	10%	<1%	1%
9	64%	19%	16%	1%	<1%

Round	Arsenal	Man City	Brighton	Chelsea	Liverpool
1	58%	31%	3%	3%	2%
2	56%	39%	1%	1%	<1%
3	58%	38%	<1%	2%	1%
4	61%	36%	1%	<1%	<1%
5	34%	56%	8%	<1%	1%
6	27%	64%	8%	<1%	<1%
7	33%	50%	16%	1%	<1%
8	52%	37%	10%	<1%	1%
9	64%	19%	16%	1%	<1%

Biggest risers and fallers

Title

Champions League

Relegation

Result of the round

The title race

Every club's chances

All reports this season

Round	Arsenal	Man City	Brighton	Chelsea	Liverpool
1	58%	31%	3%	3%	2%
2	56%	39%	1%	1%	<1%
3	58%	38%	<1%	2%	1%
4	61%	36%	1%	<1%	<1%
5	34%	56%	8%	<1%	1%
6	27%	64%	8%	<1%	<1%
7	33%	50%	16%	1%	<1%
8	52%	37%	10%	<1%	1%
9	64%	19%	16%	1%	<1%