Premier League title odds after Matchday 1
After the games up to 24 August 2026
Arsenal lead the title race at 58%.
Biggest risers and fallers
This is the season's first report: the changes start with the next round.
The title race
- Arsenal
- Man City
- Brighton
- Chelsea
- Liverpool
Show as a table
| Round | Arsenal | Man City | Brighton | Chelsea | Liverpool |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 58% | 31% | 3% | 3% | 2% |
The top five clubs' title chances after each round.
Every club's chances
| # | Club | Pts | TitleTitle | Champions LeagueChampions League | RelegationRelegation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  BrightonBrighton & Hove Albion | 3 | 3% | 42% | <1% |
| 2 |  ArsenalArsenal | 3 | 58% | 96% | 0% |
| 3 |  BrentfordBrentford | 3 | 1% | 28% | 1% |
| 4 |  EvertonEverton | 3 | <1% | 14% | 2% |
| 5 |  HullHull City | 3 | 0% | <1% | 71% |
| 6 |  ChelseaChelsea | 3 | 3% | 35% | <1% |
| 7 |  IpswichIpswich Town | 3 | 0% | <1% | 54% |
| 8 |  Man CityManchester City | 3 | 31% | 90% | 0% |
| 9 |  LeedsLeeds United | 3 | <1% | 11% | 3% |
| 10 |  LiverpoolLiverpool | 1 | 2% | 27% | 1% |
| 11 |  NewcastleNewcastle United | 1 | <1% | 6% | 7% |
| 12 |  FulhamFulham | 0 | <1% | 2% | 13% |
| 13 |  BournemouthBournemouth | 0 | 1% | 15% | 2% |
| 14 |  SunderlandSunderland | 0 | <1% | 2% | 15% |
| 15 |  Nottm ForestNottingham Forest | 0 | <1% | 3% | 12% |
| 16 |  Crystal PalaceCrystal Palace | 0 | 0% | 1% | 23% |
| 17 |  Man UnitedManchester United | 0 | 1% | 20% | 1% |
| 18 |  CoventryCoventry City | 0 | 0% | <1% | 66% |
| 19 |  TottenhamTottenham Hotspur | 0 | 0% | 1% | 22% |
| 20 |  Aston VillaAston Villa | 0 | <1% | 6% | 6% |
Chances after Matchday 1, from 10,000 simulated seasons.