Premier League title odds after Matchday 8

After the games up to 25 October 2026

Arsenal lead the title race at 52%. Chelsea 0–2 Tottenham moved the odds the most.

Biggest risers and fallers

Title

Arsenal33%52%+19 pts
Liverpool<1%1%+1 pt

Down

Man City50%37%−13 pts
Brighton16%10%−6 pts
Chelsea1%<1%−1 pt

Arsenal beat Everton 2–0 at home, and their title chances rose from 33% to 52%. Man City lost 2–1 at Aston Villa, and their title chances fell from 50% to 37%. Arsenal lead the title race at 52%.

Champions League

Liverpool21%44%+23 pts
Aston Villa3%7%+4 pts
Bournemouth1%5%+4 pts

Down

Chelsea48%26%−22 pts
Brighton95%91%−4 pts
Man United7%3%−4 pts

Liverpool beat Brighton 2–0 at home, and their Champions League chances rose from 21% to 44%. Chelsea lost 2–0 to Tottenham at home, and their Champions League chances fell from 48% to 26%.

Relegation

Crystal Palace26%47%+21 pts
Coventry62%73%+11 pts
Ipswich34%38%+4 pts

Down

Tottenham27%11%−16 pts
Newcastle16%6%−10 pts
Fulham25%16%−9 pts

Crystal Palace lost 2–0 to Newcastle at home, and their relegation chances rose from 26% to 47%. Tottenham won 2–0 at Chelsea, and their relegation chances fell from 27% to 11%.

Changes since Matchday 7, in points of percentage.

Result of the round

Chelsea

0–2

Tottenham Hotspur

Chelsea 0–2 Tottenham moved the odds the most. Chelsea lost 2–0 to Tottenham at home, and their Champions League chances fell from 48% to 26%. Tottenham won 2–0 at Chelsea, and their relegation chances fell from 27% to 11%.

Match preview

The game whose two clubs' chances changed the most since the last round.

The title race

Arsenal
Man City
Brighton
Liverpool
Chelsea

Show as a table

Round	Arsenal	Man City	Brighton	Liverpool	Chelsea
1	58%	31%	3%	2%	3%
2	56%	39%	1%	<1%	1%
3	58%	38%	<1%	1%	2%
4	61%	36%	1%	<1%	<1%
5	34%	56%	8%	1%	<1%
6	27%	64%	8%	<1%	<1%
7	33%	50%	16%	<1%	1%
8	52%	37%	10%	1%	<1%

The top five clubs' title chances after each round.

Every club's chances

#	Club	Pts	TitleTitle	Champions LeagueChampions League	RelegationRelegation
1	Man CityManchester City	21	37%−13 pts	98%−1 pt	0%±0
2	ArsenalArsenal	21	52%+19 pts	99%+1 pt	0%±0
3	BrightonBrighton & Hove Albion	16	10%−6 pts	91%−4 pts	0%±0
4	LiverpoolLiverpool	15	1%+1 pt	44%+23 pts	0%±0
5	ChelseaChelsea	13	<1%−1 pt	26%−22 pts	<1%±0
6	BrentfordBrentford	11	<1%±0	15%±0	<1%±0
7	LeedsLeeds United	11	<1%±0	7%−1 pt	1%±0
8	NewcastleNewcastle United	11	0%±0	1%+1 pt	6%−10 pts
9	Aston VillaAston Villa	11	0%±0	7%+4 pts	1%−2 pts
10	HullHull City	10	0%±0	<1%±0	43%−2 pts
11	EvertonEverton	10	0%±0	2%±0	5%+2 pts
12	IpswichIpswich Town	10	0%±0	<1%±0	38%+4 pts
13	BournemouthBournemouth	9	<1%±0	5%+4 pts	1%−5 pts
14	TottenhamTottenham Hotspur	9	0%±0	<1%±0	11%−16 pts
15	FulhamFulham	8	0%±0	<1%±0	16%−9 pts
16	Man UnitedManchester United	7	0%±0	3%−4 pts	4%+3 pts
17	Crystal PalaceCrystal Palace	7	0%±0	<1%±0	47%+21 pts
18	Nottm ForestNottingham Forest	6	0%±0	<1%±0	23%±0
19	CoventryCoventry City	6	0%±0	<1%±0	73%+11 pts
20	SunderlandSunderland	5	0%±0	<1%±0	32%+3 pts

Chances after Matchday 8, from 10,000 simulated seasons; the change since Matchday 7 below each.

Round	Arsenal	Man City	Brighton	Liverpool	Chelsea
1	58%	31%	3%	2%	3%
2	56%	39%	1%	<1%	1%
3	58%	38%	<1%	1%	2%
4	61%	36%	1%	<1%	<1%
5	34%	56%	8%	1%	<1%
6	27%	64%	8%	<1%	<1%
7	33%	50%	16%	<1%	1%
8	52%	37%	10%	1%	<1%

Round	Arsenal	Man City	Brighton	Liverpool	Chelsea
1	58%	31%	3%	2%	3%
2	56%	39%	1%	<1%	1%
3	58%	38%	<1%	1%	2%
4	61%	36%	1%	<1%	<1%
5	34%	56%	8%	1%	<1%
6	27%	64%	8%	<1%	<1%
7	33%	50%	16%	<1%	1%
8	52%	37%	10%	1%	<1%

Biggest risers and fallers

Title

Champions League

Relegation

Result of the round

The title race

Every club's chances

All reports this season

Round	Arsenal	Man City	Brighton	Liverpool	Chelsea
1	58%	31%	3%	2%	3%
2	56%	39%	1%	<1%	1%
3	58%	38%	<1%	1%	2%
4	61%	36%	1%	<1%	<1%
5	34%	56%	8%	1%	<1%
6	27%	64%	8%	<1%	<1%
7	33%	50%	16%	<1%	1%
8	52%	37%	10%	1%	<1%