Foot Simu
Premier League 2026/27

Premier League title odds after Matchday 2

After the games up to 31 August 2026

Arsenal lead the title race at 56%. Coventry 0–1 Hull moved the odds the most.

Biggest risers and fallers

Title

Up

Down

Man City won 4–1 at Crystal Palace, and their title chances rose from 31% to 39%. Arsenal won 1–0 at Aston Villa, and their title chances fell from 58% to 56%. Arsenal lead the title race at 56%.

Champions League

Up

Down

Newcastle won 2–0 at Tottenham, and their Champions League chances rose from 6% to 15%. Brighton lost 4–3 at Chelsea, and their Champions League chances fell from 42% to 33%.

Relegation

Up

Down

Tottenham lost 2–0 to Newcastle at home, and their relegation chances rose from 22% to 36%. Hull won 1–0 at Coventry, and their relegation chances fell from 71% to 47%.

Changes since Matchday 1, in points of percentage.

Result of the round

Coventry 0–1 Hull moved the odds the most. Coventry lost 1–0 to Hull at home, and their relegation chances rose from 66% to 77%. Hull won 1–0 at Coventry, and their relegation chances fell from 71% to 47%.

Match preview

The game whose two clubs' chances changed the most since the last round.

The title race

  • Arsenal
  • Man City
  • Chelsea
  • Brighton
  • Brentford
0%15%30%45%60%12Arsenal 56%Man City 39%Chelsea 1%Brighton 1%Brentford 1%
Show as a table
RoundArsenalMan CityChelseaBrightonBrentford
158%31%3%3%1%
256%39%1%1%1%

The top five clubs' title chances after each round.

Every club's chances

#ClubTitleChampions LeagueRelegation
1Man City39%+8 pts96%+6 pts0%±0
2Arsenal56%−2 pts98%+2 pts0%±0
3Hull0%±0<1%±047%−24 pts
4Chelsea1%−2 pts41%+6 pts<1%±0
5Brentford1%±027%−1 pt<1%−1 pt
6Newcastle<1%±015%+9 pts1%−6 pts
7Everton<1%±014%±02%±0
8Leeds<1%±09%−2 pts3%±0
9Brighton1%−2 pts33%−9 pts<1%±0
10Man United1%±027%+7 pts1%±0
11Sunderland<1%±03%+1 pt7%−8 pts
12Ipswich0%±0<1%±056%+2 pts
13Liverpool<1%−2 pts18%−9 pts1%±0
14Bournemouth<1%−1 pt10%−5 pts3%+1 pt
15Nottm Forest<1%±03%±08%−4 pts
16Fulham<1%±01%−1 pt15%+2 pts
17Coventry0%±00%±077%+11 pts
18Crystal Palace0%±0<1%−1 pt34%+11 pts
19Aston Villa<1%±03%−3 pts9%+3 pts
20Tottenham0%±0<1%−1 pt36%+14 pts

Chances after Matchday 2, from 10,000 simulated seasons; the change since Matchday 1 below each.

All reports this season