Premier League title odds after Matchday 2
After the games up to 31 August 2026
Arsenal lead the title race at 56%. Coventry 0–1 Hull moved the odds the most.
Biggest risers and fallers
Title
Man City won 4–1 at Crystal Palace, and their title chances rose from 31% to 39%. Arsenal won 1–0 at Aston Villa, and their title chances fell from 58% to 56%. Arsenal lead the title race at 56%.
Champions League
Up
Newcastle6%15%+9 pts
Man United20%27%+7 pts
Man City90%96%+6 pts
Down
Brighton42%33%−9 pts
Liverpool27%18%−9 pts
Bournemouth15%10%−5 pts
Newcastle won 2–0 at Tottenham, and their Champions League chances rose from 6% to 15%. Brighton lost 4–3 at Chelsea, and their Champions League chances fell from 42% to 33%.
Relegation
Up
Tottenham22%36%+14 pts
Coventry66%77%+11 pts
Crystal Palace23%34%+11 pts
Down
Hull71%47%−24 pts
Sunderland15%7%−8 pts
Newcastle7%1%−6 pts
Tottenham lost 2–0 to Newcastle at home, and their relegation chances rose from 22% to 36%. Hull won 1–0 at Coventry, and their relegation chances fell from 71% to 47%.
Changes since Matchday 1, in points of percentage.
Result of the round
Coventry 0–1 Hull moved the odds the most. Coventry lost 1–0 to Hull at home, and their relegation chances rose from 66% to 77%. Hull won 1–0 at Coventry, and their relegation chances fell from 71% to 47%.
Match previewThe game whose two clubs' chances changed the most since the last round.
The title race
- Arsenal
- Man City
- Chelsea
- Brighton
- Brentford
Show as a table
| Round | Arsenal | Man City | Chelsea | Brighton | Brentford |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 58% | 31% | 3% | 3% | 1% |
| 2 | 56% | 39% | 1% | 1% | 1% |
The top five clubs' title chances after each round.
Every club's chances
| # | Club | Pts | TitleTitle | Champions LeagueChampions League | RelegationRelegation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | 39%+8 pts | 96%+6 pts | 0%±0 | |
| 2 | 6 | 56%−2 pts | 98%+2 pts | 0%±0 | |
| 3 | 6 | 0%±0 | <1%±0 | 47%−24 pts | |
| 4 | 6 | 1%−2 pts | 41%+6 pts | <1%±0 | |
| 5 | 4 | 1%±0 | 27%−1 pt | <1%−1 pt | |
| 6 | 4 | <1%±0 | 15%+9 pts | 1%−6 pts | |
| 7 | 4 | <1%±0 | 14%±0 | 2%±0 | |
| 8 | 4 | <1%±0 | 9%−2 pts | 3%±0 | |
| 9 | 3 | 1%−2 pts | 33%−9 pts | <1%±0 | |
| 10 | 3 | 1%±0 | 27%+7 pts | 1%±0 | |
| 11 | 3 | <1%±0 | 3%+1 pt | 7%−8 pts | |
| 12 | 3 | 0%±0 | <1%±0 | 56%+2 pts | |
| 13 | 2 | <1%−2 pts | 18%−9 pts | 1%±0 | |
| 14 | 1 | <1%−1 pt | 10%−5 pts | 3%+1 pt | |
| 15 | 1 | <1%±0 | 3%±0 | 8%−4 pts | |
| 16 | 0 | <1%±0 | 1%−1 pt | 15%+2 pts | |
| 17 | 0 | 0%±0 | 0%±0 | 77%+11 pts | |
| 18 | 0 | 0%±0 | <1%−1 pt | 34%+11 pts | |
| 19 | 0 | <1%±0 | 3%−3 pts | 9%+3 pts | |
| 20 | 0 | 0%±0 | <1%−1 pt | 36%+14 pts |
Chances after Matchday 2, from 10,000 simulated seasons; the change since Matchday 1 below each.