Premier League title odds after Matchday 7

After the games up to 19 October 2026

Man City lead the title race at 50%. Everton 0–2 Chelsea moved the odds the most.

Biggest risers and fallers

Title

Brighton8%16%+8 pts
Arsenal27%33%+6 pts
Chelsea<1%1%+1 pt

Down

Man City64%50%−14 pts

Brighton beat Crystal Palace 5–0 at home, and their title chances rose from 8% to 16%. Man City beat Ipswich 3–2 at home, and their title chances fell from 64% to 50%. Man City lead the title race at 50%.

Champions League

Chelsea30%48%+18 pts
Liverpool14%21%+7 pts
Brighton89%95%+6 pts

Down

Brentford33%15%−18 pts
Everton8%2%−6 pts
Leeds12%8%−4 pts

Chelsea won 2–0 at Everton, and their Champions League chances rose from 30% to 48%. Brentford lost 2–1 to Liverpool at home, and their Champions League chances fell from 33% to 15%.

Relegation

Crystal Palace14%26%+12 pts
Coventry53%62%+9 pts
Sunderland20%29%+9 pts

Down

Tottenham45%27%−18 pts
Fulham34%25%−9 pts
Ipswich41%34%−7 pts

Crystal Palace lost 5–0 at Brighton, and their relegation chances rose from 14% to 26%. Tottenham beat Coventry 3–1 at home, and their relegation chances fell from 45% to 27%.

Changes since Matchday 6, in points of percentage.

Result of the round

Everton

0–2

Chelsea

Everton 0–2 Chelsea moved the odds the most. Everton lost 2–0 to Chelsea at home, and their Champions League chances fell from 8% to 2%. Chelsea won 2–0 at Everton, and their Champions League chances rose from 30% to 48%.

Match preview

The game whose two clubs' chances changed the most since the last round.

The title race

Man City
Arsenal
Brighton
Chelsea
Liverpool

Show as a table

Round	Man City	Arsenal	Brighton	Chelsea	Liverpool
1	31%	58%	3%	3%	2%
2	39%	56%	1%	1%	<1%
3	38%	58%	<1%	2%	1%
4	36%	61%	1%	<1%	<1%
5	56%	34%	8%	<1%	1%
6	64%	27%	8%	<1%	<1%
7	50%	33%	16%	1%	<1%

The top five clubs' title chances after each round.

Every club's chances

#	Club	Pts	TitleTitle	Champions LeagueChampions League	RelegationRelegation
1	Man CityManchester City	21	50%−14 pts	99%−1 pt	0%±0
2	ArsenalArsenal	18	33%+6 pts	98%±0	0%±0
3	BrightonBrighton & Hove Albion	16	16%+8 pts	95%+6 pts	0%±0
4	ChelseaChelsea	13	1%+1 pt	48%+18 pts	<1%±0
5	LiverpoolLiverpool	12	<1%±0	21%+7 pts	<1%−1 pt
6	BrentfordBrentford	10	<1%±0	15%−18 pts	<1%±0
7	LeedsLeeds United	10	<1%±0	8%−4 pts	1%±0
8	EvertonEverton	10	0%±0	2%−6 pts	3%+2 pts
9	HullHull City	9	0%±0	<1%±0	45%+4 pts
10	IpswichIpswich Town	9	0%±0	<1%±0	34%−7 pts
11	NewcastleNewcastle United	8	<1%±0	<1%−1 pt	16%+5 pts
12	Aston VillaAston Villa	8	<1%±0	3%+1 pt	3%−5 pts
13	Man UnitedManchester United	7	<1%±0	7%−4 pts	1%±0
14	Crystal PalaceCrystal Palace	7	0%±0	<1%−1 pt	26%+12 pts
15	BournemouthBournemouth	6	0%±0	1%±0	6%−6 pts
16	TottenhamTottenham Hotspur	6	0%±0	<1%±0	27%−18 pts
17	CoventryCoventry City	6	0%±0	0%±0	62%+9 pts
18	FulhamFulham	5	0%±0	<1%±0	25%−9 pts
19	Nottm ForestNottingham Forest	5	0%±0	<1%±0	23%+4 pts
20	SunderlandSunderland	4	0%±0	<1%±0	29%+9 pts

Chances after Matchday 7, from 10,000 simulated seasons; the change since Matchday 6 below each.

Round	Man City	Arsenal	Brighton	Chelsea	Liverpool
1	31%	58%	3%	3%	2%
2	39%	56%	1%	1%	<1%
3	38%	58%	<1%	2%	1%
4	36%	61%	1%	<1%	<1%
5	56%	34%	8%	<1%	1%
6	64%	27%	8%	<1%	<1%
7	50%	33%	16%	1%	<1%

Round	Man City	Arsenal	Brighton	Chelsea	Liverpool
1	31%	58%	3%	3%	2%
2	39%	56%	1%	1%	<1%
3	38%	58%	<1%	2%	1%
4	36%	61%	1%	<1%	<1%
5	56%	34%	8%	<1%	1%
6	64%	27%	8%	<1%	<1%
7	50%	33%	16%	1%	<1%

Biggest risers and fallers

Title

Champions League

Relegation

Result of the round

The title race

Every club's chances

All reports this season

Round	Man City	Arsenal	Brighton	Chelsea	Liverpool
1	31%	58%	3%	3%	2%
2	39%	56%	1%	1%	<1%
3	38%	58%	<1%	2%	1%
4	36%	61%	1%	<1%	<1%
5	56%	34%	8%	<1%	1%
6	64%	27%	8%	<1%	<1%
7	50%	33%	16%	1%	<1%