Segunda División title odds after Matchday 9
After the games up to 12 October 2026
Mallorca lead the title race at 25%. Celta Fortuna 4–1 Real Sociedad II moved the odds the most.
Biggest risers and fallers
Title
Up
Almería14%25%+11 pts
Mallorca15%25%+10 pts
Real Oviedo<1%1%+1 pt
Almería beat Leganés 3–0 at home, and their title chances rose from 14% to 25%. Castellón lost 1–0 at FC Andorra, and their title chances fell from 32% to 22%. Mallorca lead the title race at 25%.
Promotion
Up
Almería29%46%+17 pts
Mallorca34%47%+13 pts
Real Oviedo1%3%+2 pts
Almería beat Leganés 3–0 at home, and their promotion chances rose from 29% to 46%. Castellón lost 1–0 at FC Andorra, and their promotion chances fell from 54% to 42%.
Relegation
Up
Albacete70%88%+18 pts
Real Sociedad II20%35%+15 pts
Cádiz36%48%+12 pts
Down
Celta Fortuna46%25%−21 pts
Valladolid23%7%−16 pts
Eldense32%22%−10 pts
Albacete lost 5–0 at Valladolid, and their relegation chances rose from 70% to 88%. Celta Fortuna beat Real Sociedad II 4–1 at home, and their relegation chances fell from 46% to 25%.
Changes since Matchday 8, in points of percentage.
Result of the round
Celta Fortuna 4–1 Real Sociedad II moved the odds the most. Celta Fortuna beat Real Sociedad II 4–1 at home, and their relegation chances fell from 46% to 25%. Real Sociedad II lost 4–1 at Celta Fortuna, and their relegation chances rose from 20% to 35%.
Match previewThe game whose two clubs' chances changed the most since the last round.
The title race
- Mallorca
- Almería
- Castellón
- Eibar
- Girona
Show as a table
| Round | Mallorca | Almería | Castellón | Eibar | Girona |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 49% | 9% | 8% | <1% | 14% |
| 2 | 32% | 8% | 9% | 1% | 13% |
| 3 | 41% | 3% | 11% | 2% | 20% |
| 4 | 28% | 3% | 16% | 6% | 35% |
| 5 | 32% | 5% | 21% | 15% | 14% |
| 6 | 31% | 4% | 35% | 11% | 13% |
| 7 | 14% | 8% | 48% | 13% | 13% |
| 8 | 15% | 14% | 32% | 24% | 13% |
| 9 | 25% | 25% | 22% | 16% | 9% |
The top five clubs' title chances after each round.
Every club's chances
| # | Club | Pts | TitleTitle | PromotionPromotion | RelegationRelegation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 21 | 25%+11 pts | 46%+17 pts | 0%±0 | |
| 2 | 21 | 16%−8 pts | 33%−12 pts | 0%±0 | |
| 3 | 20 | 22%−10 pts | 42%−12 pts | 0%±0 | |
| 4 | 17 | 25%+10 pts | 47%+13 pts | 0%±0 | |
| 5 | 16 | <1%±0 | <1%±0 | 3%−5 pts | |
| 6 | 16 | <1%±0 | 2%+1 pt | 1%−1 pt | |
| 7 | 15 | 9%−4 pts | 23%−6 pts | <1%±0 | |
| 8 | 14 | <1%±0 | 1%+1 pt | 1%−3 pts | |
| 9 | 14 | 1%+1 pt | 3%+2 pts | <1%−1 pt | |
| 10 | 14 | 1%−1 pt | 2%−3 pts | 1%+1 pt | |
| 11 | 12 | <1%±0 | <1%±0 | 7%−16 pts | |
| 12 | 12 | <1%±0 | <1%±0 | 21%−1 pt | |
| 13 | 11 | 0%±0 | 0%±0 | 26%+8 pts | |
| 14 | 11 | <1%±0 | <1%−1 pt | 3%+2 pts | |
| 15 | 11 | <1%±0 | <1%±0 | 25%−21 pts | |
| 16 | 11 | 0%±0 | <1%±0 | 22%−10 pts | |
| 17 | 10 | <1%±0 | <1%±0 | 9%−10 pts | |
| 18 | 9 | 0%±0 | <1%±0 | 26%+6 pts | |
| 19 | 8 | 0%±0 | 0%±0 | 35%+15 pts | |
| 20 | 7 | 0%±0 | 0%±0 | 48%+12 pts | |
| 21 | 5 | 0%±0 | 0%±0 | 83%+7 pts | |
| 22 | 1 | 0%±0 | 0%±0 | 88%+18 pts |
Chances after Matchday 9, from 10,000 simulated seasons; the change since Matchday 8 below each.