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Segunda División 2026/27

Segunda División title odds after Matchday 9

After the games up to 12 October 2026

Mallorca lead the title race at 25%. Celta Fortuna 4–1 Real Sociedad II moved the odds the most.

Biggest risers and fallers

Title

Up

Down

Almería beat Leganés 3–0 at home, and their title chances rose from 14% to 25%. Castellón lost 1–0 at FC Andorra, and their title chances fell from 32% to 22%. Mallorca lead the title race at 25%.

Promotion

Up

Down

Almería beat Leganés 3–0 at home, and their promotion chances rose from 29% to 46%. Castellón lost 1–0 at FC Andorra, and their promotion chances fell from 54% to 42%.

Relegation

Up

Down

Albacete lost 5–0 at Valladolid, and their relegation chances rose from 70% to 88%. Celta Fortuna beat Real Sociedad II 4–1 at home, and their relegation chances fell from 46% to 25%.

Changes since Matchday 8, in points of percentage.

Result of the round

Celta Fortuna 4–1 Real Sociedad II moved the odds the most. Celta Fortuna beat Real Sociedad II 4–1 at home, and their relegation chances fell from 46% to 25%. Real Sociedad II lost 4–1 at Celta Fortuna, and their relegation chances rose from 20% to 35%.

Match preview

The game whose two clubs' chances changed the most since the last round.

The title race

  • Mallorca
  • Almería
  • Castellón
  • Eibar
  • Girona
0%15%30%45%60%123456789Mallorca 25%Almería 25%Castellón 22%Eibar 16%Girona 9%
Show as a table
RoundMallorcaAlmeríaCastellónEibarGirona
149%9%8%<1%14%
232%8%9%1%13%
341%3%11%2%20%
428%3%16%6%35%
532%5%21%15%14%
631%4%35%11%13%
714%8%48%13%13%
815%14%32%24%13%
925%25%22%16%9%

The top five clubs' title chances after each round.

Every club's chances

#ClubTitlePromotionRelegation
1Almería25%+11 pts46%+17 pts0%±0
2Eibar16%−8 pts33%−12 pts0%±0
3Castellón22%−10 pts42%−12 pts0%±0
4Mallorca25%+10 pts47%+13 pts0%±0
5CD Sabadell<1%±0<1%±03%−5 pts
6Sporting Gijón<1%±02%+1 pt1%−1 pt
7Girona9%−4 pts23%−6 pts<1%±0
8Granada<1%±01%+1 pt1%−3 pts
9Real Oviedo1%+1 pt3%+2 pts<1%−1 pt
10Burgos1%−1 pt2%−3 pts1%+1 pt
11Valladolid<1%±0<1%±07%−16 pts
12Tenerife<1%±0<1%±021%−1 pt
13Leganés0%±00%±026%+8 pts
14Las Palmas<1%±0<1%−1 pt3%+2 pts
15Celta Fortuna<1%±0<1%±025%−21 pts
16Eldense0%±0<1%±022%−10 pts
17FC Andorra<1%±0<1%±09%−10 pts
18Córdoba0%±0<1%±026%+6 pts
19Real Sociedad II0%±00%±035%+15 pts
20Cádiz0%±00%±048%+12 pts
21Ceuta0%±00%±083%+7 pts
22Albacete0%±00%±088%+18 pts

Chances after Matchday 9, from 10,000 simulated seasons; the change since Matchday 8 below each.

All reports this season