Segunda División title odds after Matchday 3
After the games up to 31 August 2026
Mallorca lead the title race at 41%. Girona 5–2 Las Palmas moved the odds the most.
Biggest risers and fallers
Title
Down
Las Palmas20%6%−14 pts
Almería8%3%−5 pts
Burgos5%2%−3 pts
Mallorca beat Ceuta 3–0 at home, and their title chances rose from 32% to 41%. Las Palmas lost 5–2 at Girona, and their title chances fell from 20% to 6%. Mallorca lead the title race at 41%.
Promotion
Down
Las Palmas36%15%−21 pts
Almería18%8%−10 pts
Burgos12%6%−6 pts
Girona beat Las Palmas 5–2 at home, and their promotion chances rose from 27% to 39%. Las Palmas lost 5–2 at Girona, and their promotion chances fell from 36% to 15%.
Relegation
Down
CD Sabadell49%28%−21 pts
Valladolid53%45%−8 pts
Real Sociedad II16%10%−6 pts
Ceuta lost 3–0 at Mallorca, and their relegation chances rose from 63% to 72%. CD Sabadell beat Almería 1–0 at home, and their relegation chances fell from 49% to 28%.
Changes since Matchday 2, in points of percentage.
Result of the round
Girona 5–2 Las Palmas moved the odds the most. Girona beat Las Palmas 5–2 at home, and their promotion chances rose from 27% to 39%. Las Palmas lost 5–2 at Girona, and their promotion chances fell from 36% to 15%.
Match previewThe game whose two clubs' chances changed the most since the last round.
The title race
- Mallorca
- Girona
- Castellón
- Las Palmas
- Granada
Show as a table
| Round | Mallorca | Girona | Castellón | Las Palmas | Granada |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 49% | 14% | 8% | 6% | <1% |
| 2 | 32% | 13% | 9% | 20% | 2% |
| 3 | 41% | 20% | 11% | 6% | 5% |
The top five clubs' title chances after each round.
Every club's chances
| # | Club | Pts | TitleTitle | PromotionPromotion | RelegationRelegation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | 5%+3 pts | 12%+7 pts | 1%−4 pts | |
| 2 | 7 | 11%+2 pts | 24%+5 pts | <1%−1 pt | |
| 3 | 7 | 1%±0 | 3%±0 | 4%−2 pts | |
| 4 | 7 | 4%+1 pt | 10%+3 pts | 1%−2 pts | |
| 5 | 6 | <1%±0 | <1%−1 pt | 19%+6 pts | |
| 6 | 6 | 41%+9 pts | 61%+11 pts | <1%±0 | |
| 7 | 6 | 6%−14 pts | 15%−21 pts | 1%+1 pt | |
| 8 | 6 | 2%+1 pt | 7%+4 pts | 2%−5 pts | |
| 9 | 5 | <1%±0 | <1%±0 | 28%−21 pts | |
| 10 | 4 | 2%−3 pts | 6%−6 pts | 2%+1 pt | |
| 11 | 4 | <1%±0 | 1%±0 | 10%−6 pts | |
| 12 | 4 | 20%+7 pts | 39%+12 pts | <1%±0 | |
| 13 | 4 | <1%±0 | <1%±0 | 35%+7 pts | |
| 14 | 4 | 4%+2 pts | 10%+3 pts | 1%−2 pts | |
| 15 | 3 | 1%−2 pts | 2%−4 pts | 7%+3 pts | |
| 16 | 3 | 3%−5 pts | 8%−10 pts | 2%+1 pt | |
| 17 | 3 | 0%±0 | <1%±0 | 51%+2 pts | |
| 18 | 3 | <1%−1 pt | 1%−2 pts | 15%+8 pts | |
| 19 | 1 | <1%±0 | <1%±0 | 45%−8 pts | |
| 20 | 1 | 0%±0 | 0%±0 | 76%+6 pts | |
| 21 | 0 | <1%±0 | <1%−1 pt | 30%+9 pts | |
| 22 | 0 | 0%±0 | 0%±0 | 72%+9 pts |
Chances after Matchday 3, from 10,000 simulated seasons; the change since Matchday 2 below each.