Segunda División title odds after Matchday 8
After the games up to 5 October 2026
Castellón lead the title race at 32%. Albacete 1–3 Eibar moved the odds the most.
Biggest risers and fallers
Title
Down
Castellón48%32%−16 pts
Real Oviedo2%<1%−2 pts
Eibar won 3–1 at Albacete, and their title chances rose from 13% to 24%. Castellón drew 1–1 with Ceuta at home, and their title chances fell from 48% to 32%. Castellón lead the title race at 32%.
Promotion
Down
- Castellón70%54%−16 pts
- Real Oviedo6%1%−5 pts
Girona32%29%−3 pts
Eibar won 3–1 at Albacete, and their promotion chances rose from 30% to 45%. Castellón drew 1–1 with Ceuta at home, and their promotion chances fell from 70% to 54%.
Relegation
Up
Albacete51%70%+19 pts
Leganés5%18%+13 pts
Real Sociedad II10%20%+10 pts
Albacete lost 3–1 to Eibar at home, and their relegation chances rose from 51% to 70%. Eldense beat Real Oviedo 4–1 at home, and their relegation chances fell from 59% to 32%.
Changes since Matchday 7, in points of percentage.
Result of the round
Albacete 1–3 Eibar moved the odds the most. Albacete lost 3–1 to Eibar at home, and their relegation chances rose from 51% to 70%. Eibar won 3–1 at Albacete, and their promotion chances rose from 30% to 45%.
Match previewThe game whose two clubs' chances changed the most since the last round.
The title race
- Castellón
- Eibar
- Mallorca
- Almería
- Girona
Show as a table
| Round | Castellón | Eibar | Mallorca | Almería | Girona |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8% | <1% | 49% | 9% | 14% |
| 2 | 9% | 1% | 32% | 8% | 13% |
| 3 | 11% | 2% | 41% | 3% | 20% |
| 4 | 16% | 6% | 28% | 3% | 35% |
| 5 | 21% | 15% | 32% | 5% | 14% |
| 6 | 35% | 11% | 31% | 4% | 13% |
| 7 | 48% | 13% | 14% | 8% | 13% |
| 8 | 32% | 24% | 15% | 14% | 13% |
The top five clubs' title chances after each round.
Every club's chances
| # | Club | Pts | TitleTitle | PromotionPromotion | RelegationRelegation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  EibarEibar | 21 | 24%+11 pts | 45%+15 pts | 0%±0 |
| 2 | CastellónCastellón | 20 | 32%−16 pts | 54%−16 pts | 0%±0 |
| 3 |  AlmeríaAlmería | 18 | 14%+6 pts | 29%+9 pts | 0%±0 |
| 4 | GironaGirona | 14 | 13%±0 | 29%−3 pts | 0%±0 |
| 5 |  MallorcaMallorca | 14 | 15%+1 pt | 34%+1 pt | 0%±0 |
| 6 |  BurgosBurgos | 14 | 2%±0 | 5%−3 pts | <1%±0 |
| 7 |  CD SabadellCD Sabadell | 13 | <1%±0 | <1%±0 | 8%+4 pts |
| 8 |  Sporting GijónSporting Gijón | 13 | <1%±0 | 1%+1 pt | 2%−1 pt |
| 9 | LeganésLeganés | 11 | <1%±0 | <1%±0 | 18%+13 pts |
| 10 |  TenerifeTenerife | 11 | 0%±0 | <1%±0 | 22%+7 pts |
| 11 |  GranadaGranada | 11 | <1%±0 | <1%±0 | 4%−4 pts |
| 12 | Real OviedoReal Oviedo | 11 | <1%−2 pts | 1%−5 pts | 1%+1 pt |
| 13 |  Las PalmasLas Palmas | 11 | <1%±0 | 1%±0 | 1%±0 |
| 14 |  ValladolidReal Valladolid | 9 | 0%±0 | <1%±0 | 23%±0 |
| 15 |  CórdobaCórdoba | 9 | 0%±0 | 0%±0 | 20%−5 pts |
| 16 | Real Sociedad IIReal Sociedad II | 8 | 0%±0 | <1%±0 | 20%+10 pts |
| 17 |  EldenseEldense | 8 | 0%±0 | <1%±0 | 32%−27 pts |
| 18 |  Celta FortunaRC Celta Fortuna | 8 | 0%±0 | 0%±0 | 46%+7 pts |
| 19 |  CádizCádiz | 7 | 0%±0 | 0%±0 | 36%−25 pts |
| 20 |  FC AndorraFC Andorra | 7 | <1%±0 | <1%±0 | 19%+1 pt |
| 21 |  CeutaCeuta | 5 | 0%±0 | 0%±0 | 76%−2 pts |
| 22 | AlbaceteAlbacete | 1 | 0%±0 | 0%±0 | 70%+19 pts |
Chances after Matchday 8, from 10,000 simulated seasons; the change since Matchday 7 below each.