Segunda División title odds after Matchday 12
After the games up to 2 November 2026Latest
Castellón lead the title race at 48%. Real Sociedad II 1–0 Girona moved the odds the most.
Biggest risers and fallers
Title
Down
Girona14%9%−5 pts
Real Oviedo1%<1%−1 pt
Mallorca beat Cádiz 2–1 at home, and their title chances rose from 12% to 15%. Girona lost 1–0 at Real Sociedad II, and their title chances fell from 14% to 9%. Castellón lead the title race at 48%.
Promotion
Down
- Girona35%25%−10 pts
- Real Oviedo4%2%−2 pts
Eibar12%11%−1 pt
Mallorca beat Cádiz 2–1 at home, and their promotion chances rose from 30% to 35%. Girona lost 1–0 at Real Sociedad II, and their promotion chances fell from 35% to 25%.
Relegation
Up
Eldense15%27%+12 pts
Celta Fortuna37%42%+5 pts
Ceuta92%96%+4 pts
Down
Real Sociedad II46%30%−16 pts
Albacete78%68%−10 pts
Valladolid15%10%−4 pts
Eldense lost 2–0 to Granada at home, and their relegation chances rose from 15% to 27%. Real Sociedad II beat Girona 1–0 at home, and their relegation chances fell from 46% to 30%.
Changes since Matchday 11, in points of percentage.
Result of the round
Real Sociedad II 1–0 Girona moved the odds the most. Real Sociedad II beat Girona 1–0 at home, and their relegation chances fell from 46% to 30%. Girona lost 1–0 at Real Sociedad II, and their promotion chances fell from 35% to 25%.
Match previewThe game whose two clubs' chances changed the most since the last round.
The title race
- Castellón
- Almería
- Mallorca
- Girona
- Eibar
Show as a table
| Round | Castellón | Almería | Mallorca | Girona | Eibar |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8% | 9% | 49% | 14% | <1% |
| 2 | 9% | 8% | 32% | 13% | 1% |
| 3 | 11% | 3% | 41% | 20% | 2% |
| 4 | 16% | 3% | 28% | 35% | 6% |
| 5 | 21% | 5% | 32% | 14% | 15% |
| 6 | 35% | 4% | 31% | 13% | 11% |
| 7 | 48% | 8% | 14% | 13% | 13% |
| 8 | 32% | 14% | 15% | 13% | 24% |
| 9 | 22% | 25% | 25% | 9% | 16% |
| 10 | 29% | 30% | 18% | 10% | 11% |
| 11 | 48% | 19% | 12% | 14% | 4% |
| 12 | 48% | 21% | 15% | 9% | 4% |
The top five clubs' title chances after each round.
Every club's chances
| # | Club | Pts | TitleTitle | PromotionPromotion | RelegationRelegation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  CastellónCastellón | 27 | 48%±0 | 72%+2 pts | 0%±0 |
| 2 |  AlmeríaAlmería | 26 | 21%+2 pts | 45%+2 pts | 0%±0 |
| 3 | EibarEibar | 23 | 4%±0 | 11%−1 pt | <1%±0 |
| 4 |  GranadaGranada | 23 | 1%+1 pt | 4%+2 pts | <1%±0 |
| 5 |  MallorcaMallorca | 22 | 15%+3 pts | 35%+5 pts | 0%±0 |
| 6 |  Sporting GijónSporting Gijón | 22 | <1%±0 | 1%+1 pt | <1%−1 pt |
| 7 | GironaGirona | 21 | 9%−5 pts | 25%−10 pts | 0%±0 |
| 8 |  BurgosBurgos | 21 | 1%±0 | 4%±0 | <1%±0 |
| 9 | Real OviedoReal Oviedo | 18 | <1%−1 pt | 2%−2 pts | <1%±0 |
| 10 |  CD SabadellCD Sabadell | 17 | 0%±0 | <1%±0 | 8%+4 pts |
| 11 |  Las PalmasLas Palmas | 17 | <1%±0 | <1%±0 | 1%−3 pts |
| 12 |  CórdobaCórdoba | 16 | 0%±0 | <1%±0 | 5%±0 |
| 13 | ValladolidReal Valladolid | 15 | <1%±0 | <1%±0 | 10%−4 pts |
| 14 |  TenerifeTenerife | 15 | 0%±0 | <1%±0 | 18%+3 pts |
| 15 | EldenseEldense | 14 | 0%±0 | 0%±0 | 27%+12 pts |
| 16 | Celta FortunaRC Celta Fortuna | 13 | 0%±0 | 0%±0 | 42%+5 pts |
| 17 |  LeganésLeganés | 12 | 0%±0 | <1%±0 | 33%+4 pts |
| 18 | Real Sociedad IIReal Sociedad II | 11 | 0%±0 | 0%±0 | 30%−16 pts |
| 19 |  FC AndorraFC Andorra | 11 | 0%±0 | <1%±0 | 16%−1 pt |
| 20 |  CádizCádiz | 10 | 0%±0 | 0%±0 | 45%+2 pts |
| 21 | AlbaceteAlbacete | 7 | 0%±0 | 0%±0 | 68%−10 pts |
| 22 | CeutaCeuta | 5 | 0%±0 | 0%±0 | 96%+4 pts |
Chances after Matchday 12, from 10,000 simulated seasons; the change since Matchday 11 below each.