Segunda División title odds after Matchday 10
After the games up to 19 October 2026
Almería lead the title race at 30%. Eibar 1–1 Mallorca moved the odds the most.
Biggest risers and fallers
Title
Castellón won 3–0 at Las Palmas, and their title chances rose from 22% to 29%. Mallorca drew 1–1 at Eibar, and their title chances fell from 25% to 18%. Almería lead the title race at 30%.
Promotion
Castellón won 3–0 at Las Palmas, and their promotion chances rose from 42% to 53%. Mallorca drew 1–1 at Eibar, and their promotion chances fell from 47% to 37%.
Relegation
Up
Leganés26%36%+10 pts
Cádiz48%55%+7 pts
Real Sociedad II35%40%+5 pts
Leganés lost 1–0 to Córdoba at home, and their relegation chances rose from 26% to 36%. Córdoba won 1–0 at Leganés, and their relegation chances fell from 26% to 12%.
Changes since Matchday 9, in points of percentage.
Result of the round
Eibar 1–1 Mallorca moved the odds the most. Eibar drew 1–1 with Mallorca at home, and their promotion chances fell from 33% to 24%. Mallorca drew 1–1 at Eibar, and their promotion chances fell from 47% to 37%.
Match previewThe game whose two clubs' chances changed the most since the last round.
The title race
- Almería
- Castellón
- Mallorca
- Eibar
- Girona
Show as a table
| Round | Almería | Castellón | Mallorca | Eibar | Girona |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9% | 8% | 49% | <1% | 14% |
| 2 | 8% | 9% | 32% | 1% | 13% |
| 3 | 3% | 11% | 41% | 2% | 20% |
| 4 | 3% | 16% | 28% | 6% | 35% |
| 5 | 5% | 21% | 32% | 15% | 14% |
| 6 | 4% | 35% | 31% | 11% | 13% |
| 7 | 8% | 48% | 14% | 13% | 13% |
| 8 | 14% | 32% | 15% | 24% | 13% |
| 9 | 25% | 22% | 25% | 16% | 9% |
| 10 | 30% | 29% | 18% | 11% | 10% |
The top five clubs' title chances after each round.
Every club's chances
| # | Club | Pts | TitleTitle | PromotionPromotion | RelegationRelegation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 24 | 30%+5 pts | 52%+6 pts | 0%±0 | |
| 2 | 23 | 29%+7 pts | 53%+11 pts | 0%±0 | |
| 3 | 22 | 11%−5 pts | 24%−9 pts | 0%±0 | |
| 4 | 19 | <1%±0 | 2%±0 | <1%−1 pt | |
| 5 | 18 | 10%+1 pt | 25%+2 pts | 0%±0 | |
| 6 | 18 | 18%−7 pts | 37%−10 pts | 0%±0 | |
| 7 | 17 | <1%±0 | 1%±0 | 1%±0 | |
| 8 | 17 | 1%±0 | 4%+1 pt | <1%±0 | |
| 9 | 17 | 1%±0 | 2%±0 | <1%−1 pt | |
| 10 | 16 | <1%±0 | <1%±0 | 3%±0 | |
| 11 | 14 | 0%±0 | <1%±0 | 9%−13 pts | |
| 12 | 13 | 0%±0 | 0%±0 | 16%−5 pts | |
| 13 | 12 | 0%±0 | <1%±0 | 11%+4 pts | |
| 14 | 12 | 0%±0 | 0%±0 | 26%+1 pt | |
| 15 | 12 | 0%±0 | <1%±0 | 12%−14 pts | |
| 16 | 11 | 0%±0 | <1%±0 | 6%+3 pts | |
| 17 | 11 | 0%±0 | 0%±0 | 36%+10 pts | |
| 18 | 10 | 0%±0 | <1%±0 | 10%+1 pt | |
| 19 | 8 | 0%±0 | 0%±0 | 40%+5 pts | |
| 20 | 7 | 0%±0 | 0%±0 | 55%+7 pts | |
| 21 | 5 | 0%±0 | 0%±0 | 86%+3 pts | |
| 22 | 1 | 0%±0 | 0%±0 | 89%+1 pt |
Chances after Matchday 10, from 10,000 simulated seasons; the change since Matchday 9 below each.