Segunda División title odds after Matchday 7
After the games up to 28 September 2026
Castellón lead the title race at 48%. Mallorca 0–1 Almería moved the odds the most.
Biggest risers and fallers
Title
Down
Mallorca31%14%−17 pts
Las Palmas1%<1%−1 pt
Castellón won 2–0 at Leganés, and their title chances rose from 35% to 48%. Mallorca lost 1–0 to Almería at home, and their title chances fell from 31% to 14%. Castellón lead the title race at 48%.
Promotion
Down
- Mallorca55%33%−22 pts
- Las Palmas3%1%−2 pts
Sporting Gijón1%<1%−1 pt
Castellón won 2–0 at Leganés, and their promotion chances rose from 59% to 70%. Mallorca lost 1–0 to Almería at home, and their promotion chances fell from 55% to 33%.
Relegation
Down
Valladolid45%23%−22 pts
Ceuta91%78%−13 pts
FC Andorra31%18%−13 pts
Córdoba lost 3–1 at Valladolid, and their relegation chances rose from 14% to 25%. Valladolid beat Córdoba 3–1 at home, and their relegation chances fell from 45% to 23%.
Changes since Matchday 6, in points of percentage.
Result of the round
Mallorca 0–1 Almería moved the odds the most. Mallorca lost 1–0 to Almería at home, and their promotion chances fell from 55% to 33%. Almería won 1–0 at Mallorca, and their promotion chances rose from 12% to 20%.
Match previewThe game whose two clubs' chances changed the most since the last round.
The title race
- Castellón
- Mallorca
- Girona
- Eibar
- Almería
Show as a table
| Round | Castellón | Mallorca | Girona | Eibar | Almería |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8% | 49% | 14% | <1% | 9% |
| 2 | 9% | 32% | 13% | 1% | 8% |
| 3 | 11% | 41% | 20% | 2% | 3% |
| 4 | 16% | 28% | 35% | 6% | 3% |
| 5 | 21% | 32% | 14% | 15% | 5% |
| 6 | 35% | 31% | 13% | 11% | 4% |
| 7 | 48% | 14% | 13% | 13% | 8% |
The top five clubs' title chances after each round.
Every club's chances
| # | Club | Pts | TitleTitle | PromotionPromotion | RelegationRelegation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  CastellónCastellón | 19 | 48%+13 pts | 70%+11 pts | 0%±0 |
| 2 |  EibarEibar | 18 | 13%+2 pts | 30%+4 pts | 0%±0 |
| 3 |  AlmeríaAlmería | 15 | 8%+4 pts | 20%+8 pts | <1%±0 |
| 4 |  BurgosBurgos | 14 | 2%±0 | 8%±0 | <1%±0 |
| 5 |  GironaGirona | 13 | 13%±0 | 32%+2 pts | <1%±0 |
| 6 | MallorcaMallorca | 13 | 14%−17 pts | 33%−22 pts | 0%±0 |
| 7 |  CD SabadellCD Sabadell | 12 | <1%±0 | <1%±0 | 4%±0 |
| 8 |  TenerifeTenerife | 11 | 0%±0 | <1%±0 | 15%+4 pts |
| 9 |  LeganésLeganés | 11 | <1%±0 | <1%−1 pt | 5%+3 pts |
| 10 |  Real OviedoReal Oviedo | 11 | 2%+1 pt | 6%+3 pts | <1%−1 pt |
| 11 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 10 | <1%−1 pt | 1%−2 pts | 1%+1 pt |
| 12 | Sporting GijónSporting Gijón | 10 | <1%±0 | <1%−1 pt | 3%+2 pts |
| 13 |  GranadaGranada | 8 | 0%±0 | <1%−1 pt | 8%+5 pts |
| 14 |  Real Sociedad IIReal Sociedad II | 8 | 0%±0 | <1%±0 | 10%+6 pts |
| 15 |  Celta FortunaRC Celta Fortuna | 8 | 0%±0 | 0%±0 | 39%+1 pt |
| 16 | ValladolidReal Valladolid | 8 | 0%±0 | 0%±0 | 23%−22 pts |
| 17 | FC AndorraFC Andorra | 6 | <1%±0 | <1%±0 | 18%−13 pts |
| 18 |  CórdobaCórdoba | 6 | 0%±0 | <1%±0 | 25%+11 pts |
| 19 |  EldenseEldense | 5 | 0%±0 | 0%±0 | 59%+8 pts |
| 20 |  CádizCádiz | 4 | 0%±0 | 0%±0 | 61%±0 |
| 21 | CeutaCeuta | 4 | 0%±0 | 0%±0 | 78%−13 pts |
| 22 |  AlbaceteAlbacete | 1 | 0%±0 | <1%±0 | 51%+10 pts |
Chances after Matchday 7, from 10,000 simulated seasons; the change since Matchday 6 below each.