Segunda División title odds after Matchday 5
After the games up to 14 September 2026
Mallorca lead the title race at 32%. Girona 1–2 Castellón moved the odds the most.
Biggest risers and fallers
Title
Down
Girona35%14%−21 pts
Leganés1%<1%−1 pt
Sporting Gijón1%<1%−1 pt
Eibar won 4–0 at Celta Fortuna, and their title chances rose from 6% to 15%. Girona lost 2–1 to Castellón at home, and their title chances fell from 35% to 14%. Mallorca lead the title race at 32%.
Promotion
Up
Eibar15%30%+15 pts
Castellón34%41%+7 pts
Real Oviedo7%14%+7 pts
Down
- Girona58%29%−29 pts
Granada4%2%−2 pts- Sporting Gijón3%1%−2 pts
Eibar won 4–0 at Celta Fortuna, and their promotion chances rose from 15% to 30%. Girona lost 2–1 to Castellón at home, and their promotion chances fell from 58% to 29%.
Relegation
Up
Celta Fortuna17%34%+17 pts
Valladolid30%46%+16 pts
Córdoba21%30%+9 pts
Celta Fortuna lost 4–0 to Eibar at home, and their relegation chances rose from 17% to 34%. Eldense won 1–0 at Sporting Gijón, and their relegation chances fell from 74% to 50%.
Changes since Matchday 4, in points of percentage.
Result of the round
Girona 1–2 Castellón moved the odds the most. Girona lost 2–1 to Castellón at home, and their promotion chances fell from 58% to 29%. Castellón won 2–1 at Girona, and their promotion chances rose from 34% to 41%.
Match previewThe game whose two clubs' chances changed the most since the last round.
The title race
- Mallorca
- Castellón
- Eibar
- Girona
- Real Oviedo
Show as a table
| Round | Mallorca | Castellón | Eibar | Girona | Real Oviedo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 49% | 8% | <1% | 14% | 4% |
| 2 | 32% | 9% | 1% | 13% | 2% |
| 3 | 41% | 11% | 2% | 20% | 4% |
| 4 | 28% | 16% | 6% | 35% | 2% |
| 5 | 32% | 21% | 15% | 14% | 6% |
The top five clubs' title chances after each round.
Every club's chances
| # | Club | Pts | TitleTitle | PromotionPromotion | RelegationRelegation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CastellónCastellón | 13 | 21%+5 pts | 41%+7 pts | 0%±0 |
| 2 | EibarEibar | 12 | 15%+9 pts | 30%+15 pts | <1%±0 |
| 3 |  MallorcaMallorca | 10 | 32%+4 pts | 53%+3 pts | <1%±0 |
| 4 |  TenerifeTenerife | 10 | <1%±0 | 1%+1 pt | 4%−13 pts |
| 5 |  Las PalmasLas Palmas | 10 | 3%±0 | 9%±0 | <1%−1 pt |
| 6 |  AlmeríaAlmería | 9 | 5%+2 pts | 12%+4 pts | <1%−1 pt |
| 7 | LeganésLeganés | 8 | <1%−1 pt | 1%−2 pts | 6%+3 pts |
| 8 | Real OviedoReal Oviedo | 8 | 6%+4 pts | 14%+7 pts | <1%−1 pt |
| 9 |  BurgosBurgos | 8 | 2%±0 | 6%+1 pt | 1%−1 pt |
| 10 |  Real Sociedad IIReal Sociedad II | 8 | <1%±0 | 1%±0 | 3%−11 pts |
| 11 | GranadaGranada | 8 | 1%±0 | 2%−2 pts | 3%+1 pt |
| 12 |  CD SabadellCD Sabadell | 8 | <1%±0 | <1%±0 | 18%+3 pts |
| 13 | GironaGirona | 7 | 14%−21 pts | 29%−29 pts | <1%±0 |
| 14 | Celta FortunaRC Celta Fortuna | 7 | <1%±0 | <1%±0 | 34%+17 pts |
| 15 | Sporting GijónSporting Gijón | 7 | <1%−1 pt | 1%−2 pts | 5%+2 pts |
| 16 |  EldenseEldense | 5 | 0%±0 | 0%±0 | 50%−24 pts |
| 17 | ValladolidReal Valladolid | 4 | 0%±0 | <1%±0 | 46%+16 pts |
| 18 |  FC AndorraFC Andorra | 3 | <1%±0 | <1%−1 pt | 19%+9 pts |
| 19 |  CádizCádiz | 3 | 0%±0 | <1%±0 | 59%+5 pts |
| 20 | CórdobaCórdoba | 3 | <1%±0 | <1%±0 | 30%+9 pts |
| 21 |  AlbaceteAlbacete | 1 | <1%±0 | <1%±0 | 32%−12 pts |
| 22 |  CeutaCeuta | 0 | 0%±0 | 0%±0 | 90%+2 pts |
Chances after Matchday 5, from 10,000 simulated seasons; the change since Matchday 4 below each.