Segunda División title odds after Matchday 2
After the games up to 24 August 2026
Mallorca lead the title race at 32%. Ceuta 0–2 Las Palmas moved the odds the most.
Biggest risers and fallers
Title
Up
Las Palmas6%20%+14 pts
Sporting Gijón1%3%+2 pts
Granada<1%2%+2 pts
Down
Mallorca49%32%−17 pts
Real Oviedo4%2%−2 pts
Girona14%13%−1 pt
Las Palmas won 2–0 at Ceuta, and their title chances rose from 6% to 20%. Mallorca lost 2–0 at Granada, and their title chances fell from 49% to 32%. Mallorca lead the title race at 32%.
Promotion
Up
Las Palmas15%36%+21 pts
Sporting Gijón2%7%+5 pts
Granada1%5%+4 pts
Down
Mallorca69%50%−19 pts
Girona32%27%−5 pts
Real Oviedo12%7%−5 pts
Las Palmas won 2–0 at Ceuta, and their promotion chances rose from 15% to 36%. Mallorca lost 2–0 at Granada, and their promotion chances fell from 69% to 50%.
Relegation
Up
Ceuta38%63%+25 pts
Valladolid38%53%+15 pts
Albacete10%21%+11 pts
Down
Celta Fortuna50%28%−22 pts
Real Sociedad II28%16%−12 pts
Granada14%5%−9 pts
Ceuta lost 2–0 to Las Palmas at home, and their relegation chances rose from 38% to 63%. Celta Fortuna beat FC Andorra 4–2 at home, and their relegation chances fell from 50% to 28%.
Changes since Matchday 1, in points of percentage.
Result of the round
Ceuta 0–2 Las Palmas moved the odds the most. Ceuta lost 2–0 to Las Palmas at home, and their relegation chances rose from 38% to 63%. Las Palmas won 2–0 at Ceuta, and their promotion chances rose from 15% to 36%.
Match previewThe game whose two clubs' chances changed the most since the last round.
The title race
- Mallorca
- Las Palmas
- Girona
- Castellón
- Almería
Show as a table
| Round | Mallorca | Las Palmas | Girona | Castellón | Almería |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 49% | 6% | 14% | 8% | 9% |
| 2 | 32% | 20% | 13% | 9% | 8% |
The top five clubs' title chances after each round.
Every club's chances
| # | Club | Pts | TitleTitle | PromotionPromotion | RelegationRelegation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | 20%+14 pts | 36%+21 pts | <1%−1 pt | |
| 2 | 6 | <1%±0 | 1%+1 pt | 13%−6 pts | |
| 3 | 4 | <1%±0 | <1%±0 | 28%−22 pts | |
| 4 | 4 | 2%+2 pts | 5%+4 pts | 5%−9 pts | |
| 5 | 4 | 1%+1 pt | 3%+2 pts | 6%−8 pts | |
| 6 | 4 | 9%+1 pt | 19%−1 pt | 1%+1 pt | |
| 7 | 4 | 3%+2 pts | 7%+5 pts | 3%−3 pts | |
| 8 | 3 | 5%±0 | 12%−1 pt | 1%±0 | |
| 9 | 3 | 3%−1 pt | 6%−5 pts | 4%+3 pts | |
| 10 | 3 | 8%−1 pt | 18%−4 pts | 1%+1 pt | |
| 11 | 3 | 1%+1 pt | 3%+2 pts | 7%−5 pts | |
| 12 | 3 | 32%−17 pts | 50%−19 pts | <1%±0 | |
| 13 | 3 | <1%±0 | 1%+1 pt | 16%−12 pts | |
| 14 | 3 | 1%+1 pt | 3%+2 pts | 7%−2 pts | |
| 15 | 2 | <1%±0 | <1%±0 | 49%+3 pts | |
| 16 | 2 | <1%±0 | <1%±0 | 49%±0 | |
| 17 | 1 | 13%−1 pt | 27%−5 pts | <1%±0 | |
| 18 | 1 | 2%−2 pts | 7%−5 pts | 3%+2 pts | |
| 19 | 1 | 0%±0 | <1%±0 | 70%+5 pts | |
| 20 | 0 | <1%±0 | 1%±0 | 21%+11 pts | |
| 21 | 0 | <1%±0 | <1%±0 | 53%+15 pts | |
| 22 | 0 | 0%±0 | 0%±0 | 63%+25 pts |
Chances after Matchday 2, from 10,000 simulated seasons; the change since Matchday 1 below each.