Segunda División title odds after Matchday 6
After the games up to 20 September 2026
Castellón lead the title race at 35%. Castellón 5–0 Tenerife moved the odds the most.
Biggest risers and fallers
Title
Up
Castellón21%35%+14 pts
Down
Real Oviedo6%1%−5 pts
Eibar15%11%−4 pts
Las Palmas3%1%−2 pts
Castellón beat Tenerife 5–0 at home, and their title chances rose from 21% to 35%. Real Oviedo lost 3–1 at CD Sabadell, and their title chances fell from 6% to 1%. Castellón lead the title race at 35%.
Promotion
Down
Real Oviedo14%3%−11 pts
Las Palmas9%3%−6 pts
Eibar30%26%−4 pts
Castellón beat Tenerife 5–0 at home, and their promotion chances rose from 41% to 59%. Real Oviedo lost 3–1 at CD Sabadell, and their promotion chances fell from 14% to 3%.
Relegation
Up
FC Andorra19%31%+12 pts
Albacete32%41%+9 pts
Tenerife4%11%+7 pts
Down
Córdoba30%14%−16 pts
CD Sabadell18%4%−14 pts
Leganés6%2%−4 pts
FC Andorra lost 3–1 to Sporting Gijón at home, and their relegation chances rose from 19% to 31%. Córdoba won 2–1 at Albacete, and their relegation chances fell from 30% to 14%.
Changes since Matchday 5, in points of percentage.
Result of the round
Castellón 5–0 Tenerife moved the odds the most. Castellón beat Tenerife 5–0 at home, and their promotion chances rose from 41% to 59%. Tenerife lost 5–0 at Castellón, and their relegation chances rose from 4% to 11%.
Match previewThe game whose two clubs' chances changed the most since the last round.
The title race
- Castellón
- Mallorca
- Girona
- Eibar
- Almería
Show as a table
| Round | Castellón | Mallorca | Girona | Eibar | Almería |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8% | 49% | 14% | <1% | 9% |
| 2 | 9% | 32% | 13% | 1% | 8% |
| 3 | 11% | 41% | 20% | 2% | 3% |
| 4 | 16% | 28% | 35% | 6% | 3% |
| 5 | 21% | 32% | 14% | 15% | 5% |
| 6 | 35% | 31% | 13% | 11% | 4% |
The top five clubs' title chances after each round.
Every club's chances
| # | Club | Pts | TitleTitle | PromotionPromotion | RelegationRelegation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 16 | 35%+14 pts | 59%+18 pts | 0%±0 | |
| 2 | 15 | 11%−4 pts | 26%−4 pts | 0%±0 | |
| 3 | 13 | 31%−1 pt | 55%+2 pts | 0%±0 | |
| 4 | 12 | 4%−1 pt | 12%±0 | <1%±0 | |
| 5 | 11 | 2%±0 | 8%+2 pts | <1%−1 pt | |
| 6 | 11 | <1%±0 | <1%±0 | 4%−14 pts | |
| 7 | 11 | <1%±0 | 1%±0 | 2%−4 pts | |
| 8 | 10 | 13%−1 pt | 30%+1 pt | <1%±0 | |
| 9 | 10 | <1%±0 | 1%±0 | 1%−4 pts | |
| 10 | 10 | 1%−2 pts | 3%−6 pts | <1%±0 | |
| 11 | 10 | <1%±0 | <1%−1 pt | 11%+7 pts | |
| 12 | 8 | 1%−5 pts | 3%−11 pts | 1%+1 pt | |
| 13 | 8 | <1%−1 pt | 1%−1 pt | 3%±0 | |
| 14 | 8 | <1%±0 | <1%−1 pt | 4%+1 pt | |
| 15 | 7 | 0%±0 | 0%±0 | 38%+4 pts | |
| 16 | 6 | <1%±0 | <1%±0 | 14%−16 pts | |
| 17 | 5 | 0%±0 | 0%±0 | 51%+1 pt | |
| 18 | 5 | 0%±0 | 0%±0 | 45%−1 pt | |
| 19 | 3 | 0%±0 | 0%±0 | 61%+2 pts | |
| 20 | 3 | 0%±0 | 0%±0 | 31%+12 pts | |
| 21 | 1 | 0%±0 | 0%±0 | 41%+9 pts | |
| 22 | 1 | 0%±0 | 0%±0 | 91%+1 pt |
Chances after Matchday 6, from 10,000 simulated seasons; the change since Matchday 5 below each.