Scottish Premiership title odds after Matchday 12
After the games up to 1 November 2026Latest
Celtic lead the title race at 68%. Falkirk 2–0 Celtic moved the odds the most.
Biggest risers and fallers
Title
Rangers didn't play, and their title chances rose from 16% to 25%. Celtic lost 2–0 at Falkirk, and their title chances fell from 80% to 68%. Celtic lead the title race at 68%.
Champions League
Hearts didn't play, and their Champions League chances rose from 30% to 32%. Celtic lost 2–0 at Falkirk, and their Champions League chances fell from 97% to 93%.
Relegation
Up
St Mirren15%17%+2 pts
Kilmarnock61%62%+1 pt
Down
Hibernian5%4%−1 pt
Motherwell2%1%−1 pt
Falkirk1%<1%−1 pt
St Mirren lost 1–0 at Motherwell, and their relegation chances rose from 15% to 17%. Hibernian didn't play, and their relegation chances fell from 5% to 4%.
Changes since Matchday 11, in points of percentage.
Result of the round
Falkirk 2–0 Celtic moved the odds the most. Falkirk beat Celtic 2–0 at home, and their Champions League chances rose from <1% to 1%. Celtic lost 2–0 at Falkirk, and their title chances fell from 80% to 68%.
Match previewThe game whose two clubs' chances changed the most since the last round.
The title race
- Celtic
- Rangers
- Hearts
- Falkirk
- Dundee
Show as a table
| Round | Celtic | Rangers | Hearts | Falkirk | Dundee |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 34% | 21% | 15% | <1% | 0% |
| 2 | 51% | 7% | 25% | 0% | <1% |
| 3 | 50% | 10% | 26% | <1% | <1% |
| 4 | 53% | 7% | 28% | 0% | <1% |
| 5 | 57% | 9% | 27% | 0% | <1% |
| 6 | 73% | 12% | 15% | 0% | <1% |
| 7 | 62% | 25% | 12% | <1% | <1% |
| 8 | 63% | 20% | 17% | 0% | <1% |
| 9 | 88% | 9% | 2% | 0% | <1% |
| 10 | 84% | 13% | 3% | 0% | 0% |
| 11 | 80% | 16% | 4% | <1% | 0% |
| 12 | 68% | 25% | 7% | <1% | <1% |
The top five clubs' title chances after each round.
Every club's chances
| # | Club | Pts | TitleTitle | Champions LeagueChampions League | RelegationRelegation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  CelticCeltic | 28 | 68%−12 pts | 93%−4 pts | 0%±0 |
| 2 |  RangersRangers | 24 | 25%+9 pts | 73%±0 | 0%±0 |
| 3 |  HeartsHeart of Midlothian | 20 | 7%+3 pts | 32%+2 pts | 0%±0 |
| 4 | FalkirkFalkirk | 18 | <1%±0 | 1%+1 pt | <1%−1 pt |
| 5 |  DundeeDundee | 17 | <1%±0 | 1%+1 pt | <1%±0 |
| 6 |  Dundee UtdDundee United | 16 | <1%±0 | <1%±0 | 1%±0 |
| 7 |  St JohnstoneSt Johnstone | 14 | 0%±0 | 0%±0 | 8%±0 |
| 8 | St MirrenSt Mirren | 14 | 0%±0 | 0%±0 | 17%+2 pts |
| 9 | MotherwellMotherwell | 12 | 0%±0 | <1%±0 | 1%−1 pt |
| 10 |  AberdeenAberdeen | 11 | 0%±0 | 0%±0 | 7%±0 |
| 11 | KilmarnockKilmarnock | 9 | 0%±0 | 0%±0 | 62%+1 pt |
| 12 | HibernianHibernian | 8 | <1%±0 | <1%±0 | 4%−1 pt |
Chances after Matchday 12, from 10,000 simulated seasons; the change since Matchday 11 below each.