Scottish Premiership title odds after Matchday 3
After the games up to 30 August 2026
Celtic lead the title race at 50%. Kilmarnock 0–4 Dundee Utd moved the odds the most.
Biggest risers and fallers
Title
Down
Motherwell12%7%−5 pts
Celtic51%50%−1 pt
Rangers won 1–0 at Aberdeen, and their title chances rose from 7% to 10%. Motherwell drew 3–3 at St Mirren, and their title chances fell from 12% to 7%. Celtic lead the title race at 50%.
Champions League
Down
- Motherwell33%22%−11 pts
Rangers won 1–0 at Aberdeen, and their Champions League chances rose from 22% to 27%. Motherwell drew 3–3 at St Mirren, and their Champions League chances fell from 33% to 22%.
Relegation
Up
Kilmarnock35%59%+24 pts
Down
Dundee Utd15%6%−9 pts
St Johnstone18%13%−5 pts
Dundee7%2%−5 pts
Kilmarnock lost 4–0 to Dundee Utd at home, and their relegation chances rose from 35% to 59%. Dundee Utd's relegation chances fell from 15% to 6%.
Changes since Matchday 2, in points of percentage.
Result of the round
Kilmarnock 0–4 Dundee Utd moved the odds the most. Kilmarnock lost 4–0 to Dundee Utd at home, and their relegation chances rose from 35% to 59%. Dundee Utd's relegation chances fell from 15% to 6%.
Match previewThe game whose two clubs' chances changed the most since the last round.
The title race
- Celtic
- Hearts
- Rangers
- Motherwell
- Hibernian
Show as a table
| Round | Celtic | Hearts | Rangers | Motherwell | Hibernian |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 34% | 15% | 21% | 25% | 3% |
| 2 | 51% | 25% | 7% | 12% | 5% |
| 3 | 50% | 26% | 10% | 7% | 7% |
The top five clubs' title chances after each round.
Every club's chances
| # | Club | Pts | TitleTitle | Champions LeagueChampions League | RelegationRelegation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CelticCeltic | 9 | 50%−1 pt | 75%±0 | 0%±0 |
| 2 |  St MirrenSt Mirren | 7 | <1%±0 | <1%±0 | 3%−3 pts |
| 3 |  HeartsHeart of Midlothian | 6 | 26%+1 pt | 55%+1 pt | 0%±0 |
| 4 | DundeeDundee | 6 | <1%±0 | <1%±0 | 2%−5 pts |
| 5 |  HibernianHibernian | 6 | 7%+2 pts | 20%+3 pts | 0%±0 |
| 6 | MotherwellMotherwell | 5 | 7%−5 pts | 22%−11 pts | 0%±0 |
| 7 |  RangersRangers | 4 | 10%+3 pts | 27%+5 pts | <1%±0 |
| 8 | Dundee UtdDundee United | 4 | <1%±0 | <1%±0 | 6%−9 pts |
| 9 | St JohnstoneSt Johnstone | 3 | 0%±0 | <1%±0 | 13%−5 pts |
| 10 |  AberdeenAberdeen | 3 | 0%±0 | <1%±0 | 9%±0 |
| 11 |  FalkirkFalkirk | 1 | <1%±0 | <1%±0 | 8%−2 pts |
| 12 | KilmarnockKilmarnock | 0 | 0%±0 | 0%±0 | 59%+24 pts |
Chances after Matchday 3, from 10,000 simulated seasons; the change since Matchday 2 below each.