Scottish Premiership title odds after Matchday 11
After the games up to 28 October 2026
Celtic lead the title race at 80%. Dundee 3–1 Kilmarnock moved the odds the most.
Biggest risers and fallers
Title
Rangers drew 2–2 at Hearts, and their title chances rose from 13% to 16%. Celtic drew 2–2 with Dundee Utd at home, and their title chances fell from 84% to 80%. Celtic lead the title race at 80%.
Champions League
Rangers drew 2–2 at Hearts, and their Champions League chances rose from 72% to 73%. Celtic drew 2–2 with Dundee Utd at home, and their Champions League chances fell from 98% to 97%.
Relegation
Up
Kilmarnock54%61%+7 pts
Aberdeen6%7%+1 pt
Down
St Mirren18%15%−3 pts
St Johnstone10%8%−2 pts
Dundee Utd2%1%−1 pt
Kilmarnock lost 3–1 at Dundee, and their relegation chances rose from 54% to 61%. St Mirren drew 1–1 with Hibernian at home, and their relegation chances fell from 18% to 15%.
Changes since Matchday 10, in points of percentage.
Result of the round
Dundee 3–1 Kilmarnock moved the odds the most. Dundee beat Kilmarnock 3–1 at home, and their relegation chances fell from 1% to <1%. Kilmarnock lost 3–1 at Dundee, and their relegation chances rose from 54% to 61%.
Match previewThe game whose two clubs' chances changed the most since the last round.
The title race
- Celtic
- Rangers
- Hearts
- Falkirk
- Dundee
Show as a table
| Round | Celtic | Rangers | Hearts | Falkirk | Dundee |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 34% | 21% | 15% | <1% | 0% |
| 2 | 51% | 7% | 25% | 0% | <1% |
| 3 | 50% | 10% | 26% | <1% | <1% |
| 4 | 53% | 7% | 28% | 0% | <1% |
| 5 | 57% | 9% | 27% | 0% | <1% |
| 6 | 73% | 12% | 15% | 0% | <1% |
| 7 | 62% | 25% | 12% | <1% | <1% |
| 8 | 63% | 20% | 17% | 0% | <1% |
| 9 | 88% | 9% | 2% | 0% | <1% |
| 10 | 84% | 13% | 3% | 0% | 0% |
| 11 | 80% | 16% | 4% | <1% | 0% |
The top five clubs' title chances after each round.
Every club's chances
| # | Club | Pts | TitleTitle | Champions LeagueChampions League | RelegationRelegation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  CelticCeltic | 28 | 80%−4 pts | 97%−1 pt | 0%±0 |
| 2 |  RangersRangers | 24 | 16%+3 pts | 73%+1 pt | 0%±0 |
| 3 |  HeartsHeart of Midlothian | 20 | 4%+1 pt | 30%+1 pt | 0%±0 |
| 4 |  DundeeDundee | 17 | 0%±0 | <1%±0 | <1%−1 pt |
| 5 | Dundee UtdDundee United | 16 | 0%±0 | <1%±0 | 1%−1 pt |
| 6 |  FalkirkFalkirk | 15 | <1%±0 | <1%±0 | 1%−1 pt |
| 7 | St MirrenSt Mirren | 14 | 0%±0 | 0%±0 | 15%−3 pts |
| 8 | St JohnstoneSt Johnstone | 13 | 0%±0 | 0%±0 | 8%−2 pts |
| 9 | AberdeenAberdeen | 11 | 0%±0 | 0%±0 | 7%+1 pt |
| 10 |  MotherwellMotherwell | 9 | 0%±0 | <1%±0 | 2%±0 |
| 11 |  HibernianHibernian | 8 | 0%±0 | <1%±0 | 5%±0 |
| 12 | KilmarnockKilmarnock | 8 | 0%±0 | 0%±0 | 61%+7 pts |
Chances after Matchday 11, from 10,000 simulated seasons; the change since Matchday 10 below each.