Scottish Premiership title odds after Matchday 8
After the games up to 11 October 2026
Celtic lead the title race at 63%. Hearts 5–0 St Mirren moved the odds the most.
Biggest risers and fallers
Title
Hearts beat St Mirren 5–0 at home, and their title chances rose from 12% to 17%. Rangers beat Kilmarnock 3–1 at home, and their title chances fell from 25% to 20%. Celtic lead the title race at 63%.
Champions League
Down
Rangers68%59%−9 pts
Motherwell2%1%−1 pt
Hibernian1%<1%−1 pt
Hearts beat St Mirren 5–0 at home, and their Champions League chances rose from 40% to 51%. Rangers beat Kilmarnock 3–1 at home, and their Champions League chances fell from 68% to 59%.
Relegation
Down
St Johnstone11%4%−7 pts
Dundee Utd7%3%−4 pts
Dundee2%1%−1 pt
St Mirren lost 5–0 at Hearts, and their relegation chances rose from 11% to 20%. St Johnstone won 1–0 at Aberdeen, and their relegation chances fell from 11% to 4%.
Changes since Matchday 7, in points of percentage.
Result of the round
Hearts 5–0 St Mirren moved the odds the most. Hearts beat St Mirren 5–0 at home, and their Champions League chances rose from 40% to 51%. St Mirren lost 5–0 at Hearts, and their relegation chances rose from 11% to 20%.
Match previewThe game whose two clubs' chances changed the most since the last round.
The title race
- Celtic
- Rangers
- Hearts
- Motherwell
- Dundee
Show as a table
| Round | Celtic | Rangers | Hearts | Motherwell | Dundee |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 34% | 21% | 15% | 25% | 0% |
| 2 | 51% | 7% | 25% | 12% | <1% |
| 3 | 50% | 10% | 26% | 7% | <1% |
| 4 | 53% | 7% | 28% | 10% | <1% |
| 5 | 57% | 9% | 27% | 5% | <1% |
| 6 | 73% | 12% | 15% | 1% | <1% |
| 7 | 62% | 25% | 12% | <1% | <1% |
| 8 | 63% | 20% | 17% | <1% | <1% |
The top five clubs' title chances after each round.
Every club's chances
| # | Club | Pts | TitleTitle | Champions LeagueChampions League | RelegationRelegation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  CelticCeltic | 21 | 63%+1 pt | 89%+1 pt | 0%±0 |
| 2 | RangersRangers | 19 | 20%−5 pts | 59%−9 pts | 0%±0 |
| 3 |  HeartsHeart of Midlothian | 16 | 17%+5 pts | 51%+11 pts | 0%±0 |
| 4 | DundeeDundee | 13 | <1%±0 | <1%±0 | 1%−1 pt |
| 5 | St JohnstoneSt Johnstone | 11 | <1%±0 | <1%±0 | 4%−7 pts |
| 6 | Dundee UtdDundee United | 11 | <1%±0 | <1%±0 | 3%−4 pts |
| 7 |  St MirrenSt Mirren | 10 | 0%±0 | 0%±0 | 20%+9 pts |
| 8 |  AberdeenAberdeen | 8 | 0%±0 | <1%±0 | 7%+2 pts |
| 9 | MotherwellMotherwell | 8 | <1%±0 | 1%−1 pt | 1%+1 pt |
| 10 | HibernianHibernian | 7 | 0%±0 | <1%−1 pt | 2%+1 pt |
| 11 |  FalkirkFalkirk | 6 | 0%±0 | 0%±0 | 9%+1 pt |
| 12 |  KilmarnockKilmarnock | 5 | 0%±0 | 0%±0 | 55%±0 |
Chances after Matchday 8, from 10,000 simulated seasons; the change since Matchday 7 below each.