Scottish Premiership title odds after Matchday 5
After the games up to 6 September 2026
Celtic lead the title race at 57%. Rangers 1–0 Motherwell moved the odds the most.
Biggest risers and fallers
Title
Down
Motherwell10%5%−5 pts
Hibernian2%<1%−2 pts
Hearts28%27%−1 pt
Celtic won 2–1 at St Mirren, and their title chances rose from 53% to 57%. Motherwell lost 1–0 at Rangers, and their title chances fell from 10% to 5%. Celtic lead the title race at 57%.
Champions League
Down
- Motherwell29%19%−10 pts
- Hibernian7%3%−4 pts
Rangers beat Motherwell 1–0 at home, and their Champions League chances rose from 23% to 31%. Motherwell lost 1–0 at Rangers, and their Champions League chances fell from 29% to 19%.
Relegation
Up
Kilmarnock66%69%+3 pts
Aberdeen11%12%+1 pt
Dundee1%2%+1 pt
Down
St Johnstone8%3%−5 pts
Falkirk7%6%−1 pt
Kilmarnock drew 0–0 at Aberdeen, and their relegation chances rose from 66% to 69%. St Johnstone beat Hibernian 2–1 at home, and their relegation chances fell from 8% to 3%.
Changes since Matchday 4, in points of percentage.
Result of the round
Rangers 1–0 Motherwell moved the odds the most. Rangers beat Motherwell 1–0 at home, and their Champions League chances rose from 23% to 31%. Motherwell lost 1–0 at Rangers, and their Champions League chances fell from 29% to 19%.
Match previewThe game whose two clubs' chances changed the most since the last round.
The title race
- Celtic
- Hearts
- Rangers
- Motherwell
- Hibernian
Show as a table
| Round | Celtic | Hearts | Rangers | Motherwell | Hibernian |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 34% | 15% | 21% | 25% | 3% |
| 2 | 51% | 25% | 7% | 12% | 5% |
| 3 | 50% | 26% | 10% | 7% | 7% |
| 4 | 53% | 28% | 7% | 10% | 2% |
| 5 | 57% | 27% | 9% | 5% | <1% |
The top five clubs' title chances after each round.
Every club's chances
| # | Club | Pts | TitleTitle | Champions LeagueChampions League | RelegationRelegation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  CelticCeltic | 15 | 57%+4 pts | 83%+4 pts | 0%±0 |
| 2 | HeartsHeart of Midlothian | 12 | 27%−1 pt | 63%+2 pts | 0%±0 |
| 3 |  St MirrenSt Mirren | 10 | 0%±0 | <1%±0 | 1%±0 |
| 4 |  RangersRangers | 10 | 9%+2 pts | 31%+8 pts | 0%±0 |
| 5 | MotherwellMotherwell | 8 | 5%−5 pts | 19%−10 pts | 0%±0 |
| 6 | DundeeDundee | 7 | <1%±0 | <1%±0 | 2%+1 pt |
| 7 | St JohnstoneSt Johnstone | 7 | <1%±0 | <1%±0 | 3%−5 pts |
| 8 | HibernianHibernian | 6 | <1%−2 pts | 3%−4 pts | <1%±0 |
| 9 |  Dundee UtdDundee United | 5 | 0%±0 | <1%±0 | 7%±0 |
| 10 | AberdeenAberdeen | 4 | 0%±0 | <1%±0 | 12%+1 pt |
| 11 | FalkirkFalkirk | 2 | 0%±0 | <1%±0 | 6%−1 pt |
| 12 | KilmarnockKilmarnock | 1 | 0%±0 | 0%±0 | 69%+3 pts |
Chances after Matchday 5, from 10,000 simulated seasons; the change since Matchday 4 below each.