Scottish Premiership title odds after Matchday 10
After the games up to 25 October 2026
Celtic lead the title race at 84%. St Mirren 2–1 Dundee moved the odds the most.
Biggest risers and fallers
Title
Rangers beat St Johnstone 4–0 at home, and their title chances rose from 9% to 13%. Celtic won 2–1 at Hibernian, and their title chances fell from 88% to 84%. Celtic lead the title race at 84%.
Champions League
Up
Rangers70%72%+2 pts
Down
Celtic99%98%−1 pt
Dundee1%<1%−1 pt
Motherwell1%<1%−1 pt
Rangers beat St Johnstone 4–0 at home, and their Champions League chances rose from 70% to 72%. Celtic won 2–1 at Hibernian, and their Champions League chances fell from 99% to 98%.
Relegation
Up
Kilmarnock38%54%+16 pts
St Johnstone6%10%+4 pts
Aberdeen4%6%+2 pts
Down
St Mirren37%18%−19 pts
Falkirk6%2%−4 pts
Dundee Utd3%2%−1 pt
Kilmarnock lost 3–0 at Falkirk, and their relegation chances rose from 38% to 54%. St Mirren beat Dundee 2–1 at home, and their relegation chances fell from 37% to 18%.
Changes since Matchday 9, in points of percentage.
Result of the round
St Mirren 2–1 Dundee moved the odds the most. St Mirren beat Dundee 2–1 at home, and their relegation chances fell from 37% to 18%. Dundee lost 2–1 at St Mirren, and their Champions League chances fell from 1% to <1%.
Match previewThe game whose two clubs' chances changed the most since the last round.
The title race
- Celtic
- Rangers
- Hearts
- Dundee Utd
- Dundee
Show as a table
| Round | Celtic | Rangers | Hearts | Dundee Utd | Dundee |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 34% | 21% | 15% | <1% | 0% |
| 2 | 51% | 7% | 25% | <1% | <1% |
| 3 | 50% | 10% | 26% | <1% | <1% |
| 4 | 53% | 7% | 28% | 0% | <1% |
| 5 | 57% | 9% | 27% | 0% | <1% |
| 6 | 73% | 12% | 15% | 0% | <1% |
| 7 | 62% | 25% | 12% | 0% | <1% |
| 8 | 63% | 20% | 17% | <1% | <1% |
| 9 | 88% | 9% | 2% | 0% | <1% |
| 10 | 84% | 13% | 3% | 0% | 0% |
The top five clubs' title chances after each round.
Every club's chances
| # | Club | Pts | TitleTitle | Champions LeagueChampions League | RelegationRelegation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CelticCeltic | 27 | 84%−4 pts | 98%−1 pt | 0%±0 |
| 2 | RangersRangers | 23 | 13%+4 pts | 72%+2 pts | 0%±0 |
| 3 |  HeartsHeart of Midlothian | 19 | 3%+1 pt | 29%±0 | 0%±0 |
| 4 | Dundee UtdDundee United | 15 | 0%±0 | <1%±0 | 2%−1 pt |
| 5 | DundeeDundee | 14 | 0%±0 | <1%−1 pt | 1%±0 |
| 6 | St MirrenSt Mirren | 13 | 0%±0 | 0%±0 | 18%−19 pts |
| 7 | FalkirkFalkirk | 12 | 0%±0 | <1%±0 | 2%−4 pts |
| 8 | St JohnstoneSt Johnstone | 12 | 0%±0 | <1%±0 | 10%+4 pts |
| 9 | AberdeenAberdeen | 11 | 0%±0 | <1%±0 | 6%+2 pts |
| 10 | MotherwellMotherwell | 8 | 0%±0 | <1%−1 pt | 2%±0 |
| 11 | KilmarnockKilmarnock | 8 | 0%±0 | 0%±0 | 54%+16 pts |
| 12 |  HibernianHibernian | 7 | 0%±0 | <1%±0 | 5%+1 pt |
Chances after Matchday 10, from 10,000 simulated seasons; the change since Matchday 9 below each.