Scottish Premiership title odds after Matchday 6
After the games up to 15 September 2026
Celtic lead the title race at 73%. St Johnstone 0–1 Celtic moved the odds the most.
Biggest risers and fallers
Title
Down
Hearts27%15%−12 pts
Motherwell5%1%−4 pts
Celtic won 1–0 at St Johnstone, and their title chances rose from 57% to 73%. Hearts lost 2–1 at Falkirk, and their title chances fell from 27% to 15%. Celtic lead the title race at 73%.
Champions League
Down
- Motherwell19%6%−13 pts
- Hearts63%53%−10 pts
Hibernian3%1%−2 pts
Rangers beat St Mirren 1–0 at home, and their Champions League chances rose from 31% to 46%. Motherwell lost 4–0 to Aberdeen at home, and their Champions League chances fell from 19% to 6%.
Relegation
Up
Dundee Utd7%15%+8 pts
St Johnstone3%8%+5 pts
Dundee2%4%+2 pts
Down
Kilmarnock69%59%−10 pts
Aberdeen12%4%−8 pts
Dundee Utd didn't play, and their relegation chances rose from 7% to 15%. Kilmarnock won 1–0 at Hibernian, and their relegation chances fell from 69% to 59%.
Changes since Matchday 5, in points of percentage.
Result of the round
St Johnstone 0–1 Celtic moved the odds the most. St Johnstone lost 1–0 to Celtic at home, and their relegation chances rose from 3% to 8%. Celtic won 1–0 at St Johnstone, and their title chances rose from 57% to 73%.
Match previewThe game whose two clubs' chances changed the most since the last round.
The title race
- Celtic
- Hearts
- Rangers
- Motherwell
- Hibernian
Show as a table
| Round | Celtic | Hearts | Rangers | Motherwell | Hibernian |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 34% | 15% | 21% | 25% | 3% |
| 2 | 51% | 25% | 7% | 12% | 5% |
| 3 | 50% | 26% | 10% | 7% | 7% |
| 4 | 53% | 28% | 7% | 10% | 2% |
| 5 | 57% | 27% | 9% | 5% | <1% |
| 6 | 73% | 15% | 12% | 1% | <1% |
The top five clubs' title chances after each round.
Every club's chances
| # | Club | Pts | TitleTitle | Champions LeagueChampions League | RelegationRelegation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  CelticCeltic | 18 | 73%+16 pts | 92%+9 pts | 0%±0 |
| 2 |  RangersRangers | 13 | 12%+3 pts | 46%+15 pts | 0%±0 |
| 3 | HeartsHeart of Midlothian | 12 | 15%−12 pts | 53%−10 pts | 0%±0 |
| 4 |  St MirrenSt Mirren | 10 | <1%±0 | <1%±0 | 3%+2 pts |
| 5 | MotherwellMotherwell | 8 | 1%−4 pts | 6%−13 pts | <1%±0 |
| 6 | DundeeDundee | 7 | <1%±0 | <1%±0 | 4%+2 pts |
| 7 | St JohnstoneSt Johnstone | 7 | 0%±0 | <1%±0 | 8%+5 pts |
| 8 | AberdeenAberdeen | 7 | <1%±0 | <1%±0 | 4%−8 pts |
| 9 | HibernianHibernian | 6 | <1%±0 | 1%−2 pts | 1%+1 pt |
| 10 |  FalkirkFalkirk | 5 | 0%±0 | <1%±0 | 6%±0 |
| 11 | Dundee UtdDundee United | 5 | 0%±0 | <1%±0 | 15%+8 pts |
| 12 | KilmarnockKilmarnock | 4 | 0%±0 | 0%±0 | 59%−10 pts |
Chances after Matchday 6, from 10,000 simulated seasons; the change since Matchday 5 below each.