Scottish Premiership title odds after Matchday 7
After the games up to 20 September 2026
Celtic lead the title race at 62%. Celtic 0–1 Rangers moved the odds the most.
Biggest risers and fallers
Title
Up
Rangers12%25%+13 pts
Down
Celtic73%62%−11 pts
Hearts15%12%−3 pts
Motherwell1%<1%−1 pt
Rangers won 1–0 at Celtic, and their title chances rose from 12% to 25%. Celtic lost 1–0 to Rangers at home, and their title chances fell from 73% to 62%. Celtic lead the title race at 62%.
Champions League
Up
- Rangers46%68%+22 pts
Down
- Hearts53%40%−13 pts
- Celtic92%88%−4 pts
- Motherwell6%2%−4 pts
Rangers won 1–0 at Celtic, and their Champions League chances rose from 46% to 68%. Hearts drew 1–1 at Kilmarnock, and their Champions League chances fell from 53% to 40%.
Relegation
Up
St Mirren3%11%+8 pts
St Johnstone8%11%+3 pts
Falkirk6%8%+2 pts
Down
Dundee Utd15%7%−8 pts
Kilmarnock59%55%−4 pts
Dundee4%2%−2 pts
St Mirren lost 3–0 to Dundee Utd at home, and their relegation chances rose from 3% to 11%. Dundee Utd won 3–0 at St Mirren, and their relegation chances fell from 15% to 7%.
Changes since Matchday 6, in points of percentage.
Result of the round
Celtic 0–1 Rangers moved the odds the most. Celtic lost 1–0 to Rangers at home, and their title chances fell from 73% to 62%. Rangers won 1–0 at Celtic, and their Champions League chances rose from 46% to 68%.
Match previewThe game whose two clubs' chances changed the most since the last round.
The title race
- Celtic
- Rangers
- Hearts
- Motherwell
- Hibernian
Show as a table
| Round | Celtic | Rangers | Hearts | Motherwell | Hibernian |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 34% | 21% | 15% | 25% | 3% |
| 2 | 51% | 7% | 25% | 12% | 5% |
| 3 | 50% | 10% | 26% | 7% | 7% |
| 4 | 53% | 7% | 28% | 10% | 2% |
| 5 | 57% | 9% | 27% | 5% | <1% |
| 6 | 73% | 12% | 15% | 1% | <1% |
| 7 | 62% | 25% | 12% | <1% | <1% |
The top five clubs' title chances after each round.
Every club's chances
| # | Club | Pts | TitleTitle | Champions LeagueChampions League | RelegationRelegation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CelticCeltic | 18 | 62%−11 pts | 88%−4 pts | 0%±0 |
| 2 | RangersRangers | 16 | 25%+13 pts | 68%+22 pts | 0%±0 |
| 3 | HeartsHeart of Midlothian | 13 | 12%−3 pts | 40%−13 pts | 0%±0 |
| 4 | DundeeDundee | 10 | <1%±0 | <1%±0 | 2%−2 pts |
| 5 | St MirrenSt Mirren | 10 | 0%±0 | <1%±0 | 11%+8 pts |
| 6 | St JohnstoneSt Johnstone | 8 | 0%±0 | <1%±0 | 11%+3 pts |
| 7 |  AberdeenAberdeen | 8 | <1%±0 | <1%±0 | 5%+1 pt |
| 8 | MotherwellMotherwell | 8 | <1%−1 pt | 2%−4 pts | <1%±0 |
| 9 | Dundee UtdDundee United | 8 | 0%±0 | <1%±0 | 7%−8 pts |
| 10 |  HibernianHibernian | 7 | <1%±0 | 1%±0 | 1%±0 |
| 11 | FalkirkFalkirk | 6 | <1%±0 | <1%±0 | 8%+2 pts |
| 12 | KilmarnockKilmarnock | 5 | 0%±0 | 0%±0 | 55%−4 pts |
Chances after Matchday 7, from 10,000 simulated seasons; the change since Matchday 6 below each.