Scottish Premiership title odds after Matchday 9
After the games up to 18 October 2026
Celtic lead the title race at 88%. Celtic 7–1 Hearts moved the odds the most.
Biggest risers and fallers
Title
Celtic beat Hearts 7–1 at home, and their title chances rose from 63% to 88%. Hearts lost 7–1 at Celtic, and their title chances fell from 17% to 2%. Celtic lead the title race at 88%.
Champions League
Rangers drew 2–2 at Dundee, and their Champions League chances rose from 59% to 70%. Hearts lost 7–1 at Celtic, and their Champions League chances fell from 51% to 29%.
Relegation
Up
St Mirren20%37%+17 pts
St Johnstone4%6%+2 pts
Hibernian2%4%+2 pts
Down
Kilmarnock55%38%−17 pts
Falkirk9%6%−3 pts
Aberdeen7%4%−3 pts
St Mirren lost 3–1 at Aberdeen, and their relegation chances rose from 20% to 37%. Kilmarnock beat Motherwell 3–2 at home, and their relegation chances fell from 55% to 38%.
Changes since Matchday 8, in points of percentage.
Result of the round
Celtic 7–1 Hearts moved the odds the most. Celtic beat Hearts 7–1 at home, and their title chances rose from 63% to 88%. Hearts lost 7–1 at Celtic, and their Champions League chances fell from 51% to 29%.
Match previewThe game whose two clubs' chances changed the most since the last round.
The title race
- Celtic
- Rangers
- Hearts
- Dundee
- St Johnstone
Show as a table
| Round | Celtic | Rangers | Hearts | Dundee | St Johnstone |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 34% | 21% | 15% | 0% | <1% |
| 2 | 51% | 7% | 25% | <1% | 0% |
| 3 | 50% | 10% | 26% | <1% | 0% |
| 4 | 53% | 7% | 28% | <1% | 0% |
| 5 | 57% | 9% | 27% | <1% | <1% |
| 6 | 73% | 12% | 15% | <1% | 0% |
| 7 | 62% | 25% | 12% | <1% | 0% |
| 8 | 63% | 20% | 17% | <1% | <1% |
| 9 | 88% | 9% | 2% | <1% | 0% |
The top five clubs' title chances after each round.
Every club's chances
| # | Club | Pts | TitleTitle | Champions LeagueChampions League | RelegationRelegation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  CelticCeltic | 24 | 88%+25 pts | 99%+10 pts | 0%±0 |
| 2 |  RangersRangers | 20 | 9%−11 pts | 70%+11 pts | 0%±0 |
| 3 |  HeartsHeart of Midlothian | 16 | 2%−15 pts | 29%−22 pts | 0%±0 |
| 4 |  DundeeDundee | 14 | <1%±0 | 1%+1 pt | 1%±0 |
| 5 | St JohnstoneSt Johnstone | 12 | 0%±0 | <1%±0 | 6%+2 pts |
| 6 |  Dundee UtdDundee United | 12 | 0%±0 | <1%±0 | 3%±0 |
| 7 | AberdeenAberdeen | 11 | 0%±0 | <1%±0 | 4%−3 pts |
| 8 | St MirrenSt Mirren | 10 | 0%±0 | 0%±0 | 37%+17 pts |
| 9 | FalkirkFalkirk | 9 | 0%±0 | <1%±0 | 6%−3 pts |
| 10 |  MotherwellMotherwell | 8 | 0%±0 | 1%±0 | 2%+1 pt |
| 11 | KilmarnockKilmarnock | 8 | 0%±0 | 0%±0 | 38%−17 pts |
| 12 | HibernianHibernian | 7 | 0%±0 | <1%±0 | 4%+2 pts |
Chances after Matchday 9, from 10,000 simulated seasons; the change since Matchday 8 below each.