Primeira Liga title odds after Matchday 6
After the games up to 14 September 2026
Porto lead the title race at 47%. Famalicão 1–1 Sporting moved the odds the most.
Biggest risers and fallers
Title
Benfica's title chances rose from 20% to 34%. Sporting drew 1–1 at Famalicão, and their title chances fell from 30% to 18%. Porto lead the title race at 47%.
Champions League
Benfica's Champions League chances rose from 50% to 70%. Sporting drew 1–1 at Famalicão, and their Champions League chances fell from 66% to 49%.
Relegation
Up
Marítimo9%16%+7 pts
Nacional5%12%+7 pts
V. Guimarães10%15%+5 pts
Down
Alverca17%6%−11 pts
Rio Ave40%33%−7 pts
Académico Viseu8%4%−4 pts
Marítimo lost 3–1 at Moreirense, and their relegation chances rose from 9% to 16%. Alverca won 3–1 at Nacional, and their relegation chances fell from 17% to 6%.
Changes since Matchday 5, in points of percentage.
Result of the round
Famalicão 1–1 Sporting moved the odds the most. Sporting drew 1–1 at Famalicão, and their Champions League chances fell from 66% to 49%.
Match previewThe game whose two clubs' chances changed the most since the last round.
The title race
- Porto
- Benfica
- Sporting
- Braga
- Santa Clara
Show as a table
| Round | Porto | Benfica | Sporting | Braga | Santa Clara |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 45% | 12% | 40% | 2% | <1% |
| 2 | 47% | 25% | 26% | 1% | 0% |
| 3 | 52% | 22% | 25% | 1% | <1% |
| 4 | 56% | 14% | 29% | 1% | 0% |
| 5 | 50% | 20% | 30% | 1% | 0% |
| 6 | 47% | 34% | 18% | <1% | <1% |
The top five clubs' title chances after each round.
Every club's chances
| # | Club | Pts | TitleTitle | Champions LeagueChampions League | RelegationRelegation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  PortoPorto | 18 | 47%−3 pts | 79%−1 pt | 0%±0 |
| 2 |  BenficaBenfica | 16 | 34%+14 pts | 70%+20 pts | 0%±0 |
| 3 |  SportingSporting | 14 | 18%−12 pts | 49%−17 pts | 0%±0 |
| 4 |  Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 14 | <1%±0 | <1%±0 | <1%±0 |
| 5 |  Estrela AmadoraEstrela da Amadora | 10 | 0%±0 | <1%±0 | 1%−1 pt |
| 6 |  AroucaArouca | 10 | 0%±0 | 0%±0 | 1%+1 pt |
| 7 |  BragaBraga | 10 | <1%−1 pt | 2%−2 pts | 0%±0 |
| 8 | Académico ViseuAcadémico de Viseu | 8 | 0%±0 | 0%±0 | 4%−4 pts |
| 9 |  MoreirenseMoreirense | 7 | 0%±0 | 0%±0 | 7%−1 pt |
| 10 |  Gil VicenteGil Vicente | 7 | <1%±0 | <1%±0 | <1%±0 |
| 11 | MarítimoMarítimo | 7 | 0%±0 | 0%±0 | 16%+7 pts |
| 12 | AlvercaAlverca | 5 | 0%±0 | 0%±0 | 6%−11 pts |
| 13 | V. GuimarãesVitória de Guimarães | 4 | 0%±0 | 0%±0 | 15%+5 pts |
| 14 |  FamalicãoFamalicão | 4 | 0%±0 | <1%±0 | 1%±0 |
| 15 | NacionalNacional | 4 | 0%±0 | 0%±0 | 12%+7 pts |
| 16 | Rio AveRio Ave | 4 | 0%±0 | 0%±0 | 33%−7 pts |
| 17 |  EstorilEstoril Praia | 2 | 0%±0 | 0%±0 | 16%+3 pts |
| 18 |  Casa PiaCasa Pia | 1 | 0%±0 | 0%±0 | 89%+4 pts |
Chances after Matchday 6, from 10,000 simulated seasons; the change since Matchday 5 below each.