Primeira Liga title odds after Matchday 2
After the games up to 17 August 2026
Porto lead the title race at 47%. Casa Pia 0–7 Benfica moved the odds the most.
Biggest risers and fallers
Title
Benfica won 7–0 at Casa Pia, and their title chances rose from 12% to 25%. Sporting beat V. Guimarães 3–2 at home, and their title chances fell from 40% to 26%. Porto lead the title race at 47%.
Champions League
Benfica won 7–0 at Casa Pia, and their Champions League chances rose from 34% to 57%. Sporting beat V. Guimarães 3–2 at home, and their Champions League chances fell from 74% to 59%.
Relegation
Up
Casa Pia48%72%+24 pts
Moreirense9%18%+9 pts
Académico Viseu13%18%+5 pts
Down
Marítimo14%4%−10 pts
Santa Clara12%3%−9 pts
Alverca25%18%−7 pts
Casa Pia lost 7–0 to Benfica at home, and their relegation chances rose from 48% to 72%. Marítimo won 2–1 at Famalicão, and their relegation chances fell from 14% to 4%.
Changes since Matchday 1, in points of percentage.
Result of the round
Casa Pia 0–7 Benfica moved the odds the most. Casa Pia lost 7–0 to Benfica at home, and their relegation chances rose from 48% to 72%. Benfica won 7–0 at Casa Pia, and their Champions League chances rose from 34% to 57%.
Match previewThe game whose two clubs' chances changed the most since the last round.
The title race
- Porto
- Sporting
- Benfica
- Braga
- Gil Vicente
Show as a table
| Round | Porto | Sporting | Benfica | Braga | Gil Vicente |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 45% | 40% | 12% | 2% | <1% |
| 2 | 47% | 26% | 25% | 1% | <1% |
The top five clubs' title chances after each round.
Every club's chances
| # | Club | Pts | TitleTitle | Champions LeagueChampions League | RelegationRelegation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  AroucaArouca | 6 | <1%±0 | <1%±0 | 1%−5 pts |
| 2 |  PortoPorto | 6 | 47%+2 pts | 77%±0 | 0%±0 |
| 3 | MarítimoMarítimo | 6 | 0%±0 | <1%±0 | 4%−10 pts |
| 4 |  NacionalNacional | 4 | <1%±0 | <1%±0 | 2%−5 pts |
| 5 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 4 | 0%±0 | <1%±0 | 3%−9 pts |
| 6 |  BenficaBenfica | 4 | 25%+13 pts | 57%+23 pts | 0%±0 |
| 7 |  SportingSporting | 4 | 26%−14 pts | 59%−15 pts | 0%±0 |
| 8 |  Gil VicenteGil Vicente | 3 | <1%±0 | 1%−2 pts | <1%±0 |
| 9 |  Estrela AmadoraEstrela da Amadora | 2 | 0%±0 | <1%±0 | 8%−3 pts |
| 10 |  BragaBraga | 1 | 1%−1 pt | 5%−4 pts | 0%±0 |
| 11 |  FamalicãoFamalicão | 1 | <1%±0 | <1%−3 pts | 1%+1 pt |
| 12 |  EstorilEstoril Praia | 1 | 0%±0 | <1%±0 | 5%+2 pts |
| 13 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 1 | 0%±0 | 0%±0 | 18%+9 pts |
| 14 | Académico ViseuAcadémico de Viseu | 1 | 0%±0 | 0%±0 | 18%+5 pts |
| 15 | AlvercaAlverca | 1 | 0%±0 | 0%±0 | 18%−7 pts |
| 16 |  V. GuimarãesVitória de Guimarães | 0 | 0%±0 | 0%±0 | 13%−5 pts |
| 17 |  Rio AveRio Ave | 0 | 0%±0 | 0%±0 | 37%+4 pts |
| 18 | Casa PiaCasa Pia | 0 | 0%±0 | 0%±0 | 72%+24 pts |
Chances after Matchday 2, from 10,000 simulated seasons; the change since Matchday 1 below each.