Primeira Liga title odds after Matchday 1
After the games up to 10 August 2026
Porto lead the title race at 45%.
Biggest risers and fallers
This is the season's first report: the changes start with the next round.
The title race
- Porto
- Sporting
- Benfica
- Braga
- Gil Vicente
Show as a table
| Round | Porto | Sporting | Benfica | Braga | Gil Vicente |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 45% | 40% | 12% | 2% | <1% |
The top five clubs' title chances after each round.
Every club's chances
| # | Club | Pts | TitleTitle | Champions LeagueChampions League | RelegationRelegation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  PortoPorto | 3 | 45% | 77% | 0% |
| 2 |  AroucaArouca | 3 | <1% | <1% | 6% |
| 3 |  Gil VicenteGil Vicente | 3 | <1% | 3% | <1% |
| 4 |  MarítimoMarítimo | 3 | 0% | <1% | 14% |
| 5 |  Académico ViseuAcadémico de Viseu | 1 | 0% | <1% | 13% |
| 6 |  BenficaBenfica | 1 | 12% | 34% | 0% |
| 7 |  BragaBraga | 1 | 2% | 9% | <1% |
| 8 |  Estrela AmadoraEstrela da Amadora | 1 | 0% | <1% | 11% |
| 9 |  MoreirenseMoreirense | 1 | 0% | <1% | 9% |
| 10 |  NacionalNacional | 1 | <1% | <1% | 7% |
| 11 |  Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 1 | <1% | <1% | 12% |
| 12 |  SportingSporting | 1 | 40% | 74% | 0% |
| 13 |  EstorilEstoril Praia | 1 | <1% | <1% | 3% |
| 14 |  FamalicãoFamalicão | 1 | <1% | 3% | <1% |
| 15 |  Casa PiaCasa Pia | 0 | 0% | 0% | 48% |
| 16 |  Rio AveRio Ave | 0 | 0% | 0% | 33% |
| 17 |  V. GuimarãesVitória de Guimarães | 0 | 0% | <1% | 18% |
| 18 |  AlvercaAlverca | 0 | 0% | 0% | 25% |
Chances after Matchday 1, from 10,000 simulated seasons.