League One title odds after Matchday 9
After the games up to 17 October 2026
Oxford Utd lead the title race at 40%. Sheffield Wed 5–0 Wimbledon moved the odds the most.
Biggest risers and fallers
Title
Up
Sheffield Wed10%24%+14 pts
Huddersfield5%10%+5 pts
Bradford3%6%+3 pts
Down
Oxford Utd50%40%−10 pts
Plymouth9%3%−6 pts
Stockport14%11%−3 pts
Sheffield Wed beat Wimbledon 5–0 at home, and their title chances rose from 10% to 24%. Oxford Utd drew 1–1 at Mansfield, and their title chances fell from 50% to 40%. Oxford Utd lead the title race at 40%.
Promotion
Up
- Sheffield Wed25%48%+23 pts
- Huddersfield14%23%+9 pts
- Bradford9%15%+6 pts
Down
- Plymouth21%8%−13 pts
Reading15%7%−8 pts- Oxford Utd70%63%−7 pts
Sheffield Wed beat Wimbledon 5–0 at home, and their promotion chances rose from 25% to 48%. Plymouth lost 2–0 to Huddersfield at home, and their promotion chances fell from 21% to 8%.
Relegation
Wimbledon lost 5–0 at Sheffield Wed, and their relegation chances rose from 23% to 40%. Wigan beat Reading 1–0 at home, and their relegation chances fell from 63% to 43%.
Changes since Matchday 8, in points of percentage.
Result of the round
Sheffield Wed 5–0 Wimbledon moved the odds the most. Sheffield Wed beat Wimbledon 5–0 at home, and their promotion chances rose from 25% to 48%. Wimbledon lost 5–0 at Sheffield Wed, and their relegation chances rose from 23% to 40%.
Match previewThe game whose two clubs' chances changed the most since the last round.
The title race
- Oxford Utd
- Sheffield Wed
- Stockport
- Huddersfield
- Bradford
Show as a table
| Round | Oxford Utd | Sheffield Wed | Stockport | Huddersfield | Bradford |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 20% | 6% | 9% | 6% | 3% |
| 2 | 36% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 10% |
| 3 | 33% | 10% | 16% | 9% | 3% |
| 4 | 20% | 16% | 8% | 16% | 1% |
| 5 | 45% | 17% | 13% | 8% | 1% |
| 6 | 62% | 10% | 6% | 6% | 2% |
| 7 | 49% | 12% | 9% | 3% | 5% |
| 8 | 50% | 10% | 14% | 5% | 3% |
| 9 | 40% | 24% | 11% | 10% | 6% |
The top five clubs' title chances after each round.
Every club's chances
| # | Club | Pts | TitleTitle | PromotionPromotion | RelegationRelegation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | BradfordBradford City | 20 | 6%+3 pts | 15%+6 pts | 0%±0 |
| 2 | StockportStockport County | 19 | 11%−3 pts | 26%−4 pts | 0%±0 |
| 3 | HuddersfieldHuddersfield Town | 19 | 10%+5 pts | 23%+9 pts | 0%±0 |
| 4 | PlymouthPlymouth Argyle | 19 | 3%−6 pts | 8%−13 pts | <1%±0 |
| 5 |  CambridgeCambridge United | 19 | <1%±0 | <1%±0 | 2%−3 pts |
| 6 | Sheffield WedSheffield Wednesday | 18 | 24%+14 pts | 48%+23 pts | 0%±0 |
| 7 | ReadingReading | 15 | 2%−3 pts | 7%−8 pts | <1%±0 |
| 8 | Oxford UtdOxford United | 15 | 40%−10 pts | 63%−7 pts | 0%±0 |
| 9 |  Leyton OrientLeyton Orient | 14 | <1%±0 | 1%+1 pt | 2%−2 pts |
| 10 |  Burton AlbionBurton Albion | 13 | <1%±0 | <1%±0 | 7%+1 pt |
| 11 |  WycombeWycombe Wanderers | 13 | <1%±0 | <1%±0 | 3%−2 pts |
| 12 |  StevenageStevenage | 12 | <1%−1 pt | 1%−2 pts | 1%+1 pt |
| 13 |  MansfieldMansfield Town | 12 | <1%±0 | 1%±0 | 1%−1 pt |
| 14 |  LeicesterLeicester City | 12 | 2%±0 | 5%−1 pt | <1%±0 |
| 15 |  WimbledonAFC Wimbledon | 12 | 0%±0 | 0%±0 | 40%+17 pts |
| 16 |  LutonLuton Town | 11 | <1%−2 pts | 2%−3 pts | 1%+1 pt |
| 17 |  DoncasterDoncaster Rovers | 9 | 0%±0 | <1%±0 | 22%+6 pts |
| 18 |  MK DonsMK Dons | 9 | 0%±0 | 0%±0 | 52%−19 pts |
| 19 |  PeterboroughPeterborough United | 9 | 0%±0 | 0%±0 | 21%−1 pt |
| 20 |  BlackpoolBlackpool | 8 | <1%±0 | <1%±0 | 20%+8 pts |
| 21 |  BarnsleyBarnsley | 8 | 0%±0 | 0%±0 | 33%+11 pts |
| 22 |  BromleyBromley | 8 | 0%±0 | 0%±0 | 88%−2 pts |
| 23 |  Notts CountyNotts County | 7 | 0%±0 | 0%±0 | 65%+7 pts |
| 24 |  WiganWigan Athletic | 7 | 0%±0 | 0%±0 | 43%−20 pts |
Chances after Matchday 9, from 10,000 simulated seasons; the change since Matchday 8 below each.