League One title odds after Matchday 3
After the games up to 30 August 2026
Oxford Utd lead the title race at 33%. Stockport 5–1 Wycombe moved the odds the most.
Biggest risers and fallers
Title
Up
Stockport6%16%+10 pts
Sheffield Wed4%10%+6 pts
Mansfield3%6%+3 pts
Down
Bradford10%3%−7 pts
Leicester22%16%−6 pts
Oxford Utd36%33%−3 pts
Stockport beat Wycombe 5–1 at home, and their title chances rose from 6% to 16%. Bradford lost 2–0 at Plymouth, and their title chances fell from 10% to 3%. Oxford Utd lead the title race at 33%.
Promotion
Up
Stockport14%31%+17 pts
Sheffield Wed11%21%+10 pts
Mansfield8%14%+6 pts
Stockport beat Wycombe 5–1 at home, and their promotion chances rose from 14% to 31%. Bradford lost 2–0 at Plymouth, and their promotion chances fell from 22% to 8%.
Relegation
Up
Bromley62%78%+16 pts
Peterborough6%16%+10 pts
Cambridge46%55%+9 pts
Down
Notts County65%48%−17 pts
Wimbledon48%33%−15 pts
Barnsley14%5%−9 pts
Bromley lost 7–2 at Sheffield Wed, and their relegation chances rose from 62% to 78%. Notts County beat Burton Albion 2–1 at home, and their relegation chances fell from 65% to 48%.
Changes since Matchday 2, in points of percentage.
Result of the round
Stockport 5–1 Wycombe moved the odds the most. Stockport beat Wycombe 5–1 at home, and their promotion chances rose from 14% to 31%. Wycombe lost 5–1 at Stockport, and their promotion chances fell from 7% to 2%.
Match previewThe game whose two clubs' chances changed the most since the last round.
The title race
- Oxford Utd
- Stockport
- Leicester
- Sheffield Wed
- Huddersfield
Show as a table
| Round | Oxford Utd | Stockport | Leicester | Sheffield Wed | Huddersfield |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 20% | 9% | 40% | 6% | 6% |
| 2 | 36% | 6% | 22% | 4% | 7% |
| 3 | 33% | 16% | 16% | 10% | 9% |
The top five clubs' title chances after each round.
Every club's chances
| # | Club | Pts | TitleTitle | PromotionPromotion | RelegationRelegation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | 2%+1 pt | 6%+4 pts | 1%−4 pts | |
| 2 | 7 | 9%+2 pts | 19%+3 pts | <1%±0 | |
| 3 | 6 | 10%+6 pts | 21%+10 pts | <1%−1 pt | |
| 4 | 6 | 16%+10 pts | 31%+17 pts | <1%±0 | |
| 5 | 6 | 6%+3 pts | 14%+6 pts | <1%−1 pt | |
| 6 | 6 | 3%−7 pts | 8%−14 pts | <1%±0 | |
| 7 | 5 | 0%±0 | <1%±0 | 48%−17 pts | |
| 8 | 4 | 33%−3 pts | 53%−4 pts | <1%±0 | |
| 9 | 4 | <1%±0 | 1%+1 pt | 5%−9 pts | |
| 10 | 4 | 0%±0 | 0%±0 | 55%+9 pts | |
| 11 | 4 | <1%−1 pt | 1%−1 pt | 8%+4 pts | |
| 12 | 4 | 3%+1 pt | 7%+3 pts | 1%−2 pts | |
| 13 | 4 | 1%−3 pts | 4%−6 pts | 2%+1 pt | |
| 14 | 4 | 0%±0 | <1%±0 | 33%−15 pts | |
| 15 | 4 | 0%±0 | 0%±0 | 78%+16 pts | |
| 16 | 3 | 0%±0 | 0%±0 | 47%−3 pts | |
| 17 | 3 | <1%±0 | <1%−1 pt | 16%+9 pts | |
| 18 | 3 | <1%−1 pt | <1%−2 pts | 16%+10 pts | |
| 19 | 2 | <1%±0 | <1%−1 pt | 8%+1 pt | |
| 20 | 2 | <1%±0 | <1%±0 | 25%−8 pts | |
| 21 | 2 | 16%−6 pts | 31%−10 pts | <1%±0 | |
| 22 | 2 | <1%−3 pts | 2%−5 pts | 4%+3 pts | |
| 23 | 1 | <1%−1 pt | 1%−1 pt | 5%−1 pt | |
| 24 | 0 | 0%±0 | 0%±0 | 49%+9 pts |
Chances after Matchday 3, from 10,000 simulated seasons; the change since Matchday 2 below each.