League One title odds after Matchday 12
After the games up to 27 October 2026
Oxford Utd lead the title race at 55%. Oxford Utd 1–0 Stockport moved the odds the most.
Biggest risers and fallers
Title
Up
Oxford Utd45%55%+10 pts
Leicester2%4%+2 pts
Down
Stockport13%8%−5 pts
Huddersfield20%17%−3 pts
Sheffield Wed4%2%−2 pts
Oxford Utd beat Stockport 1–0 at home, and their title chances rose from 45% to 55%. Stockport lost 1–0 at Oxford Utd, and their title chances fell from 13% to 8%. Oxford Utd lead the title race at 55%.
Promotion
Up
- Oxford Utd65%74%+9 pts
- Leicester7%12%+5 pts
Luton5%7%+2 pts
Down
- Stockport30%22%−8 pts
- Sheffield Wed12%7%−5 pts
- Huddersfield41%39%−2 pts
Oxford Utd beat Stockport 1–0 at home, and their promotion chances rose from 65% to 74%. Stockport lost 1–0 at Oxford Utd, and their promotion chances fell from 30% to 22%.
Relegation
Down
MK Dons44%26%−18 pts
Barnsley40%39%−1 pt
Peterborough33%32%−1 pt
Wigan lost 3–0 at Leicester, and their relegation chances rose from 49% to 62%. MK Dons beat Bromley 4–1 at home, and their relegation chances fell from 44% to 26%.
Changes since Matchday 11, in points of percentage.
Result of the round
Oxford Utd 1–0 Stockport moved the odds the most. Oxford Utd beat Stockport 1–0 at home, and their title chances rose from 45% to 55%. Stockport lost 1–0 at Oxford Utd, and their promotion chances fell from 30% to 22%.
Match previewThe game whose two clubs' chances changed the most since the last round.
The title race
- Oxford Utd
- Huddersfield
- Stockport
- Bradford
- Leicester
Show as a table
| Round | Oxford Utd | Huddersfield | Stockport | Bradford | Leicester |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 20% | 6% | 9% | 3% | 40% |
| 2 | 36% | 7% | 6% | 10% | 22% |
| 3 | 33% | 9% | 16% | 3% | 16% |
| 4 | 20% | 16% | 8% | 1% | 27% |
| 5 | 45% | 8% | 13% | 1% | 6% |
| 6 | 62% | 6% | 6% | 2% | 8% |
| 7 | 49% | 3% | 9% | 5% | 7% |
| 8 | 50% | 5% | 14% | 3% | 2% |
| 9 | 40% | 10% | 11% | 6% | 2% |
| 10 | 46% | 14% | 16% | 5% | 4% |
| 11 | 45% | 20% | 13% | 5% | 2% |
| 12 | 55% | 17% | 8% | 4% | 4% |
The top five clubs' title chances after each round.
Every club's chances
| # | Club | Pts | TitleTitle | PromotionPromotion | RelegationRelegation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | HuddersfieldHuddersfield Town | 25 | 17%−3 pts | 39%−2 pts | 0%±0 |
| 2 | StockportStockport County | 23 | 8%−5 pts | 22%−8 pts | 0%±0 |
| 3 | Oxford UtdOxford United | 22 | 55%+10 pts | 74%+9 pts | 0%±0 |
| 4 |  BradfordBradford City | 22 | 4%−1 pt | 13%±0 | <1%±0 |
| 5 |  PlymouthPlymouth Argyle | 22 | 2%±0 | 6%±0 | <1%±0 |
| 6 |  ReadingReading | 21 | 4%−1 pt | 11%−1 pt | <1%±0 |
| 7 |  CambridgeCambridge United | 21 | <1%±0 | <1%±0 | 2%−1 pt |
| 8 | LutonLuton Town | 20 | 2%±0 | 7%+2 pts | <1%±0 |
| 9 | Sheffield WedSheffield Wednesday | 19 | 2%−2 pts | 7%−5 pts | <1%±0 |
| 10 |  MansfieldMansfield Town | 18 | 2%−1 pt | 7%−1 pt | <1%±0 |
| 11 | LeicesterLeicester City | 18 | 4%+2 pts | 12%+5 pts | <1%±0 |
| 12 |  Burton AlbionBurton Albion | 17 | <1%±0 | <1%±0 | 3%±0 |
| 13 |  StevenageStevenage | 15 | <1%±0 | 1%±0 | 1%±0 |
| 14 | MK DonsMK Dons | 15 | 0%±0 | <1%±0 | 26%−18 pts |
| 15 |  WycombeWycombe Wanderers | 15 | <1%±0 | <1%±0 | 3%±0 |
| 16 |  Leyton OrientLeyton Orient | 14 | <1%±0 | <1%±0 | 4%±0 |
| 17 |  WimbledonAFC Wimbledon | 13 | 0%±0 | 0%±0 | 57%+1 pt |
| 18 |  DoncasterDoncaster Rovers | 12 | 0%±0 | 0%±0 | 18%+6 pts |
| 19 |  Notts CountyNotts County | 11 | 0%±0 | <1%±0 | 33%±0 |
| 20 |  BlackpoolBlackpool | 11 | 0%±0 | 0%±0 | 23%±0 |
| 21 | PeterboroughPeterborough United | 10 | 0%±0 | 0%±0 | 32%−1 pt |
| 22 |  BromleyBromley | 9 | 0%±0 | 0%±0 | 97%+3 pts |
| 23 | BarnsleyBarnsley | 8 | 0%±0 | 0%±0 | 39%−1 pt |
| 24 |  WiganWigan Athletic | 7 | 0%±0 | 0%±0 | 62%+13 pts |
Chances after Matchday 12, from 10,000 simulated seasons; the change since Matchday 11 below each.