League One title odds after Matchday 7
After the games up to 19 September 2026
Oxford Utd lead the title race at 49%. Peterborough 0–2 Doncaster moved the odds the most.
Biggest risers and fallers
Title
Down
Oxford Utd62%49%−13 pts
Huddersfield6%3%−3 pts
Leicester8%7%−1 pt
Plymouth won 4–2 at Blackpool, and their title chances rose from 3% to 9%. Oxford Utd drew 1–1 with Cambridge at home, and their title chances fell from 62% to 49%. Oxford Utd lead the title race at 49%.
Promotion
Down
Oxford Utd80%70%−10 pts
Huddersfield20%10%−10 pts
Leicester23%19%−4 pts
Plymouth won 4–2 at Blackpool, and their promotion chances rose from 9% to 21%. Oxford Utd drew 1–1 with Cambridge at home, and their promotion chances fell from 80% to 70%.
Relegation
Up
Peterborough26%44%+18 pts
Notts County47%57%+10 pts
Wigan46%56%+10 pts
Peterborough lost 2–0 to Doncaster at home, and their relegation chances rose from 26% to 44%. Doncaster won 2–0 at Peterborough, and their relegation chances fell from 50% to 29%.
Changes since Matchday 6, in points of percentage.
Result of the round
Peterborough 0–2 Doncaster moved the odds the most. Peterborough lost 2–0 to Doncaster at home, and their relegation chances rose from 26% to 44%. Doncaster won 2–0 at Peterborough, and their relegation chances fell from 50% to 29%.
Match previewThe game whose two clubs' chances changed the most since the last round.
The title race
- Oxford Utd
- Sheffield Wed
- Stockport
- Plymouth
- Leicester
Show as a table
| Round | Oxford Utd | Sheffield Wed | Stockport | Plymouth | Leicester |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 20% | 6% | 9% | 1% | 40% |
| 2 | 36% | 4% | 6% | 2% | 22% |
| 3 | 33% | 10% | 16% | 3% | 16% |
| 4 | 20% | 16% | 8% | 1% | 27% |
| 5 | 45% | 17% | 13% | 2% | 6% |
| 6 | 62% | 10% | 6% | 3% | 8% |
| 7 | 49% | 12% | 9% | 9% | 7% |
The top five clubs' title chances after each round.
Every club's chances
| # | Club | Pts | TitleTitle | PromotionPromotion | RelegationRelegation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 15 | 5%+3 pts | 13%+7 pts | <1%±0 | |
| 2 | 14 | 12%+2 pts | 28%+1 pt | <1%±0 | |
| 3 | 13 | 9%+6 pts | 21%+12 pts | <1%±0 | |
| 4 | 12 | 3%−3 pts | 10%−10 pts | <1%±0 | |
| 5 | 12 | <1%±0 | <1%±0 | 9%−6 pts | |
| 6 | 11 | 49%−13 pts | 70%−10 pts | 0%±0 | |
| 7 | 11 | <1%±0 | <1%±0 | 21%±0 | |
| 8 | 10 | 3%+1 pt | 10%+4 pts | <1%−1 pt | |
| 9 | 10 | 9%+3 pts | 23%+4 pts | <1%±0 | |
| 10 | 10 | <1%±0 | 1%+1 pt | 3%−3 pts | |
| 11 | 9 | 1%±0 | 2%−2 pts | 1%±0 | |
| 12 | 9 | <1%±0 | <1%±0 | 6%+1 pt | |
| 13 | 9 | 7%−1 pt | 19%−4 pts | <1%±0 | |
| 14 | 9 | <1%±0 | 1%±0 | 2%−2 pts | |
| 15 | 8 | <1%±0 | <1%±0 | 9%+4 pts | |
| 16 | 8 | <1%−1 pt | 1%−2 pts | 2%+1 pt | |
| 17 | 8 | <1%±0 | 1%±0 | 3%±0 | |
| 18 | 8 | <1%±0 | <1%±0 | 17%−4 pts | |
| 19 | 8 | 0%±0 | 0%±0 | 88%−8 pts | |
| 20 | 7 | 0%±0 | 0%±0 | 57%+10 pts | |
| 21 | 6 | 0%±0 | <1%±0 | 29%−21 pts | |
| 22 | 6 | 0%±0 | 0%±0 | 53%+2 pts | |
| 23 | 5 | 0%±0 | 0%±0 | 44%+18 pts | |
| 24 | 4 | 0%±0 | 0%±0 | 56%+10 pts |
Chances after Matchday 7, from 10,000 simulated seasons; the change since Matchday 6 below each.