League One title odds after Matchday 6
After the games up to 12 September 2026
Oxford Utd lead the title race at 62%. Oxford Utd 3–0 Burton Albion moved the odds the most.
Biggest risers and fallers
Title
Up
Oxford Utd45%62%+17 pts
Leicester6%8%+2 pts
Plymouth2%3%+1 pt
Down
Sheffield Wed17%10%−7 pts
Stockport13%6%−7 pts
Huddersfield8%6%−2 pts
Oxford Utd beat Burton Albion 3–0 at home, and their title chances rose from 45% to 62%. Sheffield Wed drew 0–0 with Wigan at home, and their title chances fell from 17% to 10%. Oxford Utd lead the title race at 62%.
Promotion
Up
Oxford Utd67%80%+13 pts
Leicester14%23%+9 pts
Plymouth5%9%+4 pts
Down
Stockport30%19%−11 pts
Sheffield Wed36%27%−9 pts
Reading11%6%−5 pts
Oxford Utd beat Burton Albion 3–0 at home, and their promotion chances rose from 67% to 80%. Stockport lost 4–3 to Leicester at home, and their promotion chances fell from 30% to 19%.
Relegation
Up
Doncaster40%50%+10 pts
Barnsley11%21%+10 pts
Notts County38%47%+9 pts
Doncaster lost 1–0 at Wimbledon, and their relegation chances rose from 40% to 50%. Cambridge beat Reading 2–1 at home, and their relegation chances fell from 29% to 15%.
Changes since Matchday 5, in points of percentage.
Result of the round
Oxford Utd 3–0 Burton Albion moved the odds the most. Oxford Utd beat Burton Albion 3–0 at home, and their title chances rose from 45% to 62%. Burton Albion lost 3–0 at Oxford Utd, and their relegation chances rose from 3% to 5%.
Match previewThe game whose two clubs' chances changed the most since the last round.
The title race
- Oxford Utd
- Sheffield Wed
- Leicester
- Huddersfield
- Stockport
Show as a table
| Round | Oxford Utd | Sheffield Wed | Leicester | Huddersfield | Stockport |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 20% | 6% | 40% | 6% | 9% |
| 2 | 36% | 4% | 22% | 7% | 6% |
| 3 | 33% | 10% | 16% | 9% | 16% |
| 4 | 20% | 16% | 27% | 16% | 8% |
| 5 | 45% | 17% | 6% | 8% | 13% |
| 6 | 62% | 10% | 8% | 6% | 6% |
The top five clubs' title chances after each round.
Every club's chances
| # | Club | Pts | TitleTitle | PromotionPromotion | RelegationRelegation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 13 | 10%−7 pts | 27%−9 pts | <1%±0 | |
| 2 | 12 | 6%−2 pts | 20%−1 pt | <1%±0 | |
| 3 | 12 | 2%+1 pt | 6%+2 pts | <1%−1 pt | |
| 4 | 11 | <1%±0 | <1%±0 | 15%−14 pts | |
| 5 | 10 | 62%+17 pts | 80%+13 pts | 0%±0 | |
| 6 | 10 | 3%+1 pt | 9%+4 pts | <1%−1 pt | |
| 7 | 10 | 0%±0 | <1%±0 | 21%−10 pts | |
| 8 | 9 | 6%−7 pts | 19%−11 pts | <1%±0 | |
| 9 | 9 | 1%±0 | 4%+1 pt | 1%±0 | |
| 10 | 8 | <1%±0 | <1%−1 pt | 5%+2 pts | |
| 11 | 8 | <1%±0 | <1%−1 pt | 5%+2 pts | |
| 12 | 8 | 1%−1 pt | 3%−2 pts | 1%±0 | |
| 13 | 8 | 8%+2 pts | 23%+9 pts | <1%±0 | |
| 14 | 7 | 2%−2 pts | 6%−5 pts | 1%+1 pt | |
| 15 | 7 | <1%±0 | <1%−1 pt | 6%+3 pts | |
| 16 | 7 | 0%±0 | 0%±0 | 47%+9 pts | |
| 17 | 7 | <1%±0 | 1%±0 | 3%+1 pt | |
| 18 | 7 | 0%±0 | <1%±0 | 21%+10 pts | |
| 19 | 6 | <1%±0 | 1%+1 pt | 4%−4 pts | |
| 20 | 5 | 0%±0 | 0%±0 | 51%±0 | |
| 21 | 5 | 0%±0 | <1%±0 | 26%+1 pt | |
| 22 | 5 | 0%±0 | 0%±0 | 96%−2 pts | |
| 23 | 4 | 0%±0 | 0%±0 | 46%−7 pts | |
| 24 | 3 | 0%±0 | 0%±0 | 50%+10 pts |
Chances after Matchday 6, from 10,000 simulated seasons; the change since Matchday 5 below each.