Foot Simu
League One 2026/27

League One title odds after Matchday 6

After the games up to 12 September 2026

Oxford Utd lead the title race at 62%. Oxford Utd 3–0 Burton Albion moved the odds the most.

Biggest risers and fallers

Title

Up

Down

Oxford Utd beat Burton Albion 3–0 at home, and their title chances rose from 45% to 62%. Sheffield Wed drew 0–0 with Wigan at home, and their title chances fell from 17% to 10%. Oxford Utd lead the title race at 62%.

Promotion

Up

Down

Oxford Utd beat Burton Albion 3–0 at home, and their promotion chances rose from 67% to 80%. Stockport lost 4–3 to Leicester at home, and their promotion chances fell from 30% to 19%.

Relegation

Up

Down

Doncaster lost 1–0 at Wimbledon, and their relegation chances rose from 40% to 50%. Cambridge beat Reading 2–1 at home, and their relegation chances fell from 29% to 15%.

Changes since Matchday 5, in points of percentage.

Result of the round

Oxford Utd 3–0 Burton Albion moved the odds the most. Oxford Utd beat Burton Albion 3–0 at home, and their title chances rose from 45% to 62%. Burton Albion lost 3–0 at Oxford Utd, and their relegation chances rose from 3% to 5%.

Match preview

The game whose two clubs' chances changed the most since the last round.

The title race

  • Oxford Utd
  • Sheffield Wed
  • Leicester
  • Huddersfield
  • Stockport
0%20%40%60%80%123456Oxford Utd 62%Sheffield W… 10%Leicester 8%Huddersfield 6%Stockport 6%
Show as a table
RoundOxford UtdSheffield WedLeicesterHuddersfieldStockport
120%6%40%6%9%
236%4%22%7%6%
333%10%16%9%16%
420%16%27%16%8%
545%17%6%8%13%
662%10%8%6%6%

The top five clubs' title chances after each round.

Every club's chances

#ClubTitlePromotionRelegation
1Sheffield Wed10%−7 pts27%−9 pts<1%±0
2Huddersfield6%−2 pts20%−1 pt<1%±0
3Bradford2%+1 pt6%+2 pts<1%−1 pt
4Cambridge<1%±0<1%±015%−14 pts
5Oxford Utd62%+17 pts80%+13 pts0%±0
6Plymouth3%+1 pt9%+4 pts<1%−1 pt
7Wimbledon0%±0<1%±021%−10 pts
8Stockport6%−7 pts19%−11 pts<1%±0
9Stevenage1%±04%+1 pt1%±0
10Blackpool<1%±0<1%−1 pt5%+2 pts
11Burton Albion<1%±0<1%−1 pt5%+2 pts
12Luton1%−1 pt3%−2 pts1%±0
13Leicester8%+2 pts23%+9 pts<1%±0
14Reading2%−2 pts6%−5 pts1%+1 pt
15Leyton Orient<1%±0<1%−1 pt6%+3 pts
16Notts County0%±00%±047%+9 pts
17Mansfield<1%±01%±03%+1 pt
18Barnsley0%±0<1%±021%+10 pts
19Wycombe<1%±01%+1 pt4%−4 pts
20MK Dons0%±00%±051%±0
21Peterborough0%±0<1%±026%+1 pt
22Bromley0%±00%±096%−2 pts
23Wigan0%±00%±046%−7 pts
24Doncaster0%±00%±050%+10 pts

Chances after Matchday 6, from 10,000 simulated seasons; the change since Matchday 5 below each.

All reports this season