League One title odds after Matchday 8
After the games up to 10 October 2026
Oxford Utd lead the title race at 50%. MK Dons 1–5 Reading moved the odds the most.
Biggest risers and fallers
Title
Up
Stockport9%14%+5 pts
Reading3%5%+2 pts
Huddersfield3%5%+2 pts
Down
Leicester7%2%−5 pts
Sheffield Wed12%10%−2 pts
Bradford5%3%−2 pts
Stockport's title chances rose from 9% to 14%. Leicester lost 3–1 to Peterborough at home, and their title chances fell from 7% to 2%. Oxford Utd lead the title race at 50%.
Promotion
Up
- Stockport23%30%+7 pts
- Reading10%15%+5 pts
- Huddersfield10%14%+4 pts
Down
- Leicester19%6%−13 pts
- Bradford13%9%−4 pts
- Sheffield Wed28%25%−3 pts
Stockport's promotion chances rose from 23% to 30%. Leicester lost 3–1 to Peterborough at home, and their promotion chances fell from 19% to 6%.
Changes since Matchday 7, in points of percentage.
Result of the round
MK Dons 1–5 Reading moved the odds the most. MK Dons lost 5–1 to Reading at home, and their relegation chances rose from 53% to 71%. Reading's promotion chances rose from 10% to 15%.
Match previewThe game whose two clubs' chances changed the most since the last round.
The title race
- Oxford Utd
- Stockport
- Sheffield Wed
- Plymouth
- Reading
Show as a table
| Round | Oxford Utd | Stockport | Sheffield Wed | Plymouth | Reading |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 20% | 9% | 6% | 1% | 1% |
| 2 | 36% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 1% |
| 3 | 33% | 16% | 10% | 3% | <1% |
| 4 | 20% | 8% | 16% | 1% | 2% |
| 5 | 45% | 13% | 17% | 2% | 4% |
| 6 | 62% | 6% | 10% | 3% | 2% |
| 7 | 49% | 9% | 12% | 9% | 3% |
| 8 | 50% | 14% | 10% | 9% | 5% |
The top five clubs' title chances after each round.
Every club's chances
| # | Club | Pts | TitleTitle | PromotionPromotion | RelegationRelegation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  PlymouthPlymouth Argyle | 19 | 9%±0 | 21%±0 | <1%±0 |
| 2 | BradfordBradford City | 17 | 3%−2 pts | 9%−4 pts | <1%±0 |
| 3 | StockportStockport County | 16 | 14%+5 pts | 30%+7 pts | <1%±0 |
| 4 | HuddersfieldHuddersfield Town | 16 | 5%+2 pts | 14%+4 pts | <1%±0 |
| 5 |  CambridgeCambridge United | 16 | <1%±0 | <1%±0 | 5%−4 pts |
| 6 | ReadingReading | 15 | 5%+2 pts | 15%+5 pts | <1%±0 |
| 7 | Sheffield WedSheffield Wednesday | 15 | 10%−2 pts | 25%−3 pts | <1%±0 |
| 8 |  Oxford UtdOxford United | 14 | 50%+1 pt | 70%±0 | 0%±0 |
| 9 |  StevenageStevenage | 12 | 1%±0 | 3%+1 pt | <1%−1 pt |
| 10 |  Burton AlbionBurton Albion | 12 | <1%±0 | <1%±0 | 6%±0 |
| 11 |  WimbledonAFC Wimbledon | 12 | 0%±0 | <1%±0 | 23%+2 pts |
| 12 |  Leyton OrientLeyton Orient | 11 | <1%±0 | <1%−1 pt | 4%+1 pt |
| 13 |  LutonLuton Town | 11 | 2%+2 pts | 5%+4 pts | <1%−2 pts |
| 14 |  MansfieldMansfield Town | 11 | <1%±0 | 1%±0 | 2%−1 pt |
| 15 |  WycombeWycombe Wanderers | 10 | <1%±0 | <1%−1 pt | 5%+3 pts |
| 16 |  DoncasterDoncaster Rovers | 9 | 0%±0 | <1%±0 | 16%−13 pts |
| 17 | LeicesterLeicester City | 9 | 2%−5 pts | 6%−13 pts | <1%±0 |
| 18 |  BlackpoolBlackpool | 8 | 0%±0 | <1%±0 | 12%+3 pts |
| 19 |  BarnsleyBarnsley | 8 | 0%±0 | <1%±0 | 22%+5 pts |
| 20 |  PeterboroughPeterborough United | 8 | <1%±0 | <1%±0 | 22%−22 pts |
| 21 |  BromleyBromley | 8 | 0%±0 | 0%±0 | 90%+2 pts |
| 22 |  Notts CountyNotts County | 7 | 0%±0 | 0%±0 | 58%+1 pt |
| 23 |  MK DonsMK Dons | 6 | 0%±0 | 0%±0 | 71%+18 pts |
| 24 |  WiganWigan Athletic | 4 | 0%±0 | 0%±0 | 63%+7 pts |
Chances after Matchday 8, from 10,000 simulated seasons; the change since Matchday 7 below each.