La Liga title odds after Matchday 9
After the games up to 19 October 2026
Barcelona lead the title race at 93%. Osasuna 2–0 Racing moved the odds the most.
Biggest risers and fallers
Title
Up
Barcelona92%93%+1 pt
Down
Real Madrid6%5%−1 pt
Barcelona won 5–2 at Betis, and their title chances rose from 92% to 93%. Real Madrid beat Sevilla 4–1 at home, and their title chances fell from 6% to 5%. Barcelona lead the title race at 93%.
Champions League
Up
Real Sociedad6%15%+9 pts
Atlético92%96%+4 pts
Celta Vigo2%4%+2 pts
Down
Betis71%63%−8 pts
Villarreal14%10%−4 pts
Sevilla7%5%−2 pts
Real Sociedad won 5–2 at Málaga, and their Champions League chances rose from 6% to 15%. Betis lost 5–2 to Barcelona at home, and their Champions League chances fell from 71% to 63%.
Changes since Matchday 8, in points of percentage.
Result of the round
Osasuna 2–0 Racing moved the odds the most. Osasuna beat Racing 2–0 at home, and their relegation chances fell from 24% to 14%. Racing lost 2–0 at Osasuna, and their relegation chances rose from 59% to 67%.
Match previewThe game whose two clubs' chances changed the most since the last round.
The title race
- Barcelona
- Real Madrid
- Atlético
- Betis
- Real Sociedad
Show as a table
| Round | Barcelona | Real Madrid | Atlético | Betis | Real Sociedad |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 60% | 27% | 5% | 1% | <1% |
| 2 | 76% | 20% | 1% | 1% | <1% |
| 3 | 72% | 26% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| 4 | 89% | 10% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| 5 | 87% | 13% | <1% | <1% | 0% |
| 6 | 85% | 14% | 1% | <1% | 0% |
| 7 | 92% | 7% | 1% | <1% | 0% |
| 8 | 92% | 6% | 1% | <1% | 0% |
| 9 | 93% | 5% | 1% | <1% | 0% |
The top five clubs' title chances after each round.
Every club's chances
| # | Club | Pts | TitleTitle | Champions LeagueChampions League | RelegationRelegation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | BarcelonaBarcelona | 27 | 93%+1 pt | 100%±0 | 0%±0 |
| 2 | AtléticoAtlético Madrid | 22 | 1%±0 | 96%+4 pts | 0%±0 |
| 3 | Real MadridReal Madrid | 21 | 5%−1 pt | 99%±0 | 0%±0 |
| 4 | BetisReal Betis | 19 | <1%±0 | 63%−8 pts | 0%±0 |
| 5 | Real SociedadReal Sociedad | 16 | 0%±0 | 15%+9 pts | <1%−1 pt |
| 6 | SevillaSevilla | 14 | 0%±0 | 5%−2 pts | 1%±0 |
| 7 |  AlavésAlavés | 11 | 0%±0 | 2%−1 pt | 3%+1 pt |
| 8 | Celta VigoCelta Vigo | 11 | 0%±0 | 4%+2 pts | 1%−2 pts |
| 9 |  OsasunaOsasuna | 11 | 0%±0 | <1%±0 | 14%−10 pts |
| 10 |  DeportivoDeportivo La Coruña | 11 | 0%±0 | <1%±0 | 25%+1 pt |
| 11 |  RayoRayo Vallecano | 9 | 0%±0 | 2%±0 | 4%±0 |
| 12 |  GetafeGetafe | 9 | 0%±0 | <1%±0 | 21%−1 pt |
| 13 |  AthleticAthletic Club | 9 | 0%±0 | 3%±0 | 3%+1 pt |
| 14 | VillarrealVillarreal | 9 | 0%±0 | 10%−4 pts | <1%±0 |
| 15 |  EspanyolEspanyol | 8 | 0%±0 | <1%−1 pt | 11%+2 pts |
| 16 |  RacingRacing Santander | 8 | 0%±0 | 0%±0 | 67%+8 pts |
| 17 |  LevanteLevante | 7 | 0%±0 | <1%±0 | 11%±0 |
| 18 |  ElcheElche | 7 | 0%±0 | <1%±0 | 11%−3 pts |
| 19 |  ValenciaValencia | 6 | 0%±0 | <1%±0 | 37%+1 pt |
| 20 |  MálagaMálaga | 4 | 0%±0 | 0%±0 | 92%+5 pts |
Chances after Matchday 9, from 10,000 simulated seasons; the change since Matchday 8 below each.