La Liga title odds after Matchday 2
After the games up to 24 August 2026
Barcelona lead the title race at 76%. Elche 0–5 Barcelona moved the odds the most.
Biggest risers and fallers
Title
Up
Barcelona60%76%+16 pts
Down
Real Madrid27%20%−7 pts
Atlético5%1%−4 pts
Villarreal4%2%−2 pts
Barcelona won 5–0 at Elche, and their title chances rose from 60% to 76%. Real Madrid won 2–1 at Espanyol, and their title chances fell from 27% to 20%. Barcelona lead the title race at 76%.
Champions League
Up
Betis29%39%+10 pts
Sevilla5%14%+9 pts- Real Madrid89%93%+4 pts
Down
- Atlético55%48%−7 pts
Real Sociedad11%7%−4 pts
Celta Vigo19%16%−3 pts
Betis beat Real Sociedad 1–0 at home, and their Champions League chances rose from 29% to 39%. Atlético drew 2–2 with Villarreal at home, and their Champions League chances fell from 55% to 48%.
Changes since Matchday 1, in points of percentage.
Result of the round
Elche 0–5 Barcelona moved the odds the most. Elche lost 5–0 to Barcelona at home, and their relegation chances rose from 6% to 18%. Barcelona won 5–0 at Elche, and their title chances rose from 60% to 76%.
Match previewThe game whose two clubs' chances changed the most since the last round.
The title race
- Barcelona
- Real Madrid
- Villarreal
- Atlético
- Betis
Show as a table
| Round | Barcelona | Real Madrid | Villarreal | Atlético | Betis |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 60% | 27% | 4% | 5% | 1% |
| 2 | 76% | 20% | 2% | 1% | 1% |
The top five clubs' title chances after each round.
Every club's chances
| # | Club | Pts | TitleTitle | Champions LeagueChampions League | RelegationRelegation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SevillaSevilla | 6 | <1%±0 | 14%+9 pts | 1%−5 pts |
| 2 |  AlavésAlavés | 4 | <1%±0 | 12%+1 pt | 2%±0 |
| 3 | AtléticoAtlético Madrid | 4 | 1%−4 pts | 48%−7 pts | <1%±0 |
| 4 | Real MadridReal Madrid | 3 | 20%−7 pts | 93%+4 pts | 0%±0 |
| 5 | BarcelonaBarcelona | 3 | 76%+16 pts | 99%+2 pts | 0%±0 |
| 6 |  EspanyolEspanyol | 3 | <1%±0 | 6%−3 pts | 3%±0 |
| 7 | BetisReal Betis | 3 | 1%±0 | 39%+10 pts | <1%±0 |
| 8 |  GetafeGetafe | 3 | 0%±0 | 2%+1 pt | 11%−9 pts |
| 9 | VillarrealVillarreal | 2 | 2%−2 pts | 50%−2 pts | <1%±0 |
| 10 |  DeportivoDeportivo La Coruña | 2 | 0%±0 | 0%±0 | 60%−6 pts |
| 11 | Celta VigoCelta Vigo | 1 | <1%−1 pt | 16%−3 pts | 1%±0 |
| 12 |  OsasunaOsasuna | 1 | <1%±0 | 5%−1 pt | 5%±0 |
| 13 |  ValenciaValencia | 1 | <1%±0 | 4%±0 | 6%−1 pt |
| 14 |  LevanteLevante | 1 | 0%±0 | 1%±0 | 22%−2 pts |
| 15 |  RacingRacing Santander | 1 | 0%±0 | <1%±0 | 65%+2 pts |
| 16 |  RayoRayo Vallecano | 1 | <1%±0 | 3%−2 pts | 7%±0 |
| 17 |  MálagaMálaga | 1 | 0%±0 | <1%±0 | 72%−1 pt |
| 18 |  ElcheElche | 1 | 0%±0 | 1%−3 pts | 18%+12 pts |
| 19 | Real SociedadReal Sociedad | 0 | <1%±0 | 7%−4 pts | 4%+1 pt |
| 20 |  AthleticAthletic Club | 0 | 0%±0 | 1%−1 pt | 24%+11 pts |
Chances after Matchday 2, from 10,000 simulated seasons; the change since Matchday 1 below each.