La Liga title odds after Matchday 7
After the games up to 20 September 2026
Barcelona lead the title race at 92%. Celta Vigo 5–0 Racing moved the odds the most.
Biggest risers and fallers
Title
Up
Barcelona85%92%+7 pts
Down
Real Madrid14%7%−7 pts
Barcelona won 3–1 at Sevilla, and their title chances rose from 85% to 92%. Real Madrid lost 2–1 at Atlético, and their title chances fell from 14% to 7%. Barcelona lead the title race at 92%.
Champions League
Up
Atlético81%88%+7 pts
Villarreal15%19%+4 pts
Real Sociedad3%6%+3 pts
Atlético beat Real Madrid 2–1 at home, and their Champions League chances rose from 81% to 88%. Betis drew 1–1 at Deportivo, and their Champions League chances fell from 66% to 61%.
Changes since Matchday 6, in points of percentage.
Result of the round
Celta Vigo 5–0 Racing moved the odds the most. Celta Vigo beat Racing 5–0 at home, and their relegation chances fell from 13% to 3%. Racing lost 5–0 at Celta Vigo, and their relegation chances rose from 42% to 60%.
Match previewThe game whose two clubs' chances changed the most since the last round.
The title race
- Barcelona
- Real Madrid
- Atlético
- Betis
- Sevilla
Show as a table
| Round | Barcelona | Real Madrid | Atlético | Betis | Sevilla |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 60% | 27% | 5% | 1% | <1% |
| 2 | 76% | 20% | 1% | 1% | <1% |
| 3 | 72% | 26% | 1% | <1% | 0% |
| 4 | 89% | 10% | <1% | <1% | 0% |
| 5 | 87% | 13% | <1% | <1% | 0% |
| 6 | 85% | 14% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| 7 | 92% | 7% | 1% | <1% | 0% |
The top five clubs' title chances after each round.
Every club's chances
| # | Club | Pts | TitleTitle | Champions LeagueChampions League | RelegationRelegation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | BarcelonaBarcelona | 21 | 92%+7 pts | >99%±0 | 0%±0 |
| 2 | AtléticoAtlético Madrid | 16 | 1%±0 | 88%+7 pts | 0%±0 |
| 3 |  BetisReal Betis | 16 | <1%±0 | 61%−5 pts | 0%±0 |
| 4 | Real MadridReal Madrid | 15 | 7%−7 pts | 98%−1 pt | 0%±0 |
| 5 |  SevillaSevilla | 13 | 0%±0 | 9%−5 pts | 1%+1 pt |
| 6 |  AlavésAlavés | 11 | 0%±0 | 7%±0 | 1%±0 |
| 7 |  DeportivoDeportivo La Coruña | 10 | 0%±0 | <1%±0 | 24%−1 pt |
| 8 | Real SociedadReal Sociedad | 10 | 0%±0 | 6%+3 pts | 1%−3 pts |
| 9 |  OsasunaOsasuna | 8 | 0%±0 | <1%±0 | 17%−1 pt |
| 10 |  RayoRayo Vallecano | 8 | 0%±0 | 3%±0 | 5%+1 pt |
| 11 | VillarrealVillarreal | 8 | 0%±0 | 19%+4 pts | <1%−1 pt |
| 12 |  AthleticAthletic Club | 8 | 0%±0 | 4%±0 | 3%±0 |
| 13 |  GetafeGetafe | 8 | 0%±0 | <1%±0 | 19%−9 pts |
| 14 |  Celta VigoCelta Vigo | 7 | 0%±0 | 3%+2 pts | 3%−10 pts |
| 15 |  EspanyolEspanyol | 7 | 0%±0 | 1%−3 pts | 9%+6 pts |
| 16 |  RacingRacing Santander | 7 | 0%±0 | <1%±0 | 60%+18 pts |
| 17 |  LevanteLevante | 5 | 0%±0 | 1%−1 pt | 12%+4 pts |
| 18 |  ElcheElche | 5 | 0%±0 | <1%±0 | 15%−16 pts |
| 19 |  ValenciaValencia | 4 | 0%±0 | <1%±0 | 41%+8 pts |
| 20 |  MálagaMálaga | 3 | 0%±0 | 0%±0 | 89%+4 pts |
Chances after Matchday 7, from 10,000 simulated seasons; the change since Matchday 6 below each.