Eredivisie title odds after Matchday 9
After the games up to 18 October 2026
PSV lead the title race at 48%. ADO 2–1 PSV moved the odds the most.
Biggest risers and fallers
Title
Feyenoord won 4–3 at Telstar, and their title chances rose from 25% to 39%. PSV lost 2–1 at ADO, and their title chances fell from 67% to 48%. PSV lead the title race at 48%.
Champions League
Down
PSV91%79%−12 pts
FC Twente12%8%−4 pts
AZ Alkmaar11%8%−3 pts
Ajax won 5–2 at Groningen, and their Champions League chances rose from 17% to 31%. PSV lost 2–1 at ADO, and their Champions League chances fell from 91% to 79%.
Relegation
Down
PEC Zwolle43%27%−16 pts
ADO37%27%−10 pts
FC Utrecht1%<1%−1 pt
Willem II lost 3–2 at Sparta, and their relegation chances rose from 81% to 93%. PEC Zwolle beat Go Ahead Eagles 4–1 at home, and their relegation chances fell from 43% to 27%.
Changes since Matchday 8, in points of percentage.
Result of the round
ADO 2–1 PSV moved the odds the most. ADO beat PSV 2–1 at home, and their relegation chances fell from 37% to 27%. PSV lost 2–1 at ADO, and their title chances fell from 67% to 48%.
Match previewThe game whose two clubs' chances changed the most since the last round.
The title race
- PSV
- Feyenoord
- Ajax
- AZ Alkmaar
- FC Twente
Show as a table
| Round | PSV | Feyenoord | Ajax | AZ Alkmaar | FC Twente |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 43% | 18% | 17% | 4% | 3% |
| 2 | 51% | 11% | 10% | 8% | 5% |
| 3 | 66% | 10% | 6% | 9% | 3% |
| 4 | 75% | 3% | 8% | 9% | 2% |
| 5 | 83% | 4% | 3% | 9% | 1% |
| 6 | 84% | 6% | 4% | 4% | 2% |
| 7 | 63% | 19% | 6% | 6% | 4% |
| 8 | 67% | 25% | 3% | 2% | 2% |
| 9 | 48% | 39% | 10% | 2% | 2% |
The top five clubs' title chances after each round.
Every club's chances
| # | Club | Pts | TitleTitle | Champions LeagueChampions League | RelegationRelegation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  FeyenoordFeyenoord | 23 | 39%+14 pts | 73%+5 pts | 0%±0 |
| 2 | AZ AlkmaarAZ Alkmaar | 20 | 2%±0 | 8%−3 pts | 0%±0 |
| 3 | PSVPSV Eindhoven | 19 | 48%−19 pts | 79%−12 pts | 0%±0 |
| 4 |  AjaxAjax | 18 | 10%+7 pts | 31%+14 pts | 0%±0 |
| 5 | FC TwenteFC Twente | 17 | 2%±0 | 8%−4 pts | 0%±0 |
| 6 |  FortunaFortuna Sittard | 15 | 0%±0 | <1%±0 | <1%±0 |
| 7 |  GroningenGroningen | 14 | <1%±0 | 1%±0 | <1%±0 |
| 8 |  HeerenveenHeerenveen | 12 | <1%±0 | <1%±0 | <1%±0 |
| 9 |  Go Ahead EaglesGo Ahead Eagles | 11 | 0%±0 | 0%±0 | 1%+1 pt |
| 10 |  ExcelsiorExcelsior | 11 | 0%±0 | <1%±0 | 1%+1 pt |
| 11 | FC UtrechtFC Utrecht | 11 | <1%±0 | <1%±0 | <1%−1 pt |
| 12 |  NECNEC Nijmegen | 10 | 0%±0 | <1%±0 | <1%±0 |
| 13 |  SpartaSparta Rotterdam | 9 | 0%±0 | 0%±0 | 10%+2 pts |
| 14 |  CambuurCambuur | 9 | 0%±0 | 0%±0 | 31%+6 pts |
| 15 | PEC ZwollePEC Zwolle | 7 | 0%±0 | 0%±0 | 27%−16 pts |
| 16 |  TelstarTelstar | 6 | 0%±0 | 0%±0 | 8%+3 pts |
| 17 | ADOADO Den Haag | 6 | 0%±0 | 0%±0 | 27%−10 pts |
| 18 |  Willem IIWillem II | 2 | 0%±0 | 0%±0 | 93%+12 pts |
Chances after Matchday 9, from 10,000 simulated seasons; the change since Matchday 8 below each.