Eredivisie title odds after Matchday 8
After the games up to 11 October 2026
PSV lead the title race at 67%. Feyenoord 2–0 AZ Alkmaar moved the odds the most.
Biggest risers and fallers
Title
Down
AZ Alkmaar6%2%−4 pts
Ajax6%3%−3 pts
FC Twente4%2%−2 pts
Feyenoord beat AZ Alkmaar 2–0 at home, and their title chances rose from 19% to 25%. AZ Alkmaar lost 2–0 at Feyenoord, and their title chances fell from 6% to 2%. PSV lead the title race at 67%.
Champions League
Down
- AZ Alkmaar22%11%−11 pts
- Ajax23%17%−6 pts
- FC Twente18%12%−6 pts
Feyenoord beat AZ Alkmaar 2–0 at home, and their Champions League chances rose from 50% to 68%. AZ Alkmaar lost 2–0 at Feyenoord, and their Champions League chances fell from 22% to 11%.
Relegation
Up
PEC Zwolle32%43%+11 pts
Willem II73%81%+8 pts
PEC Zwolle lost 1–0 to Cambuur at home, and their relegation chances rose from 32% to 43%. Cambuur won 1–0 at PEC Zwolle, and their relegation chances fell from 38% to 25%.
Changes since Matchday 7, in points of percentage.
Result of the round
Feyenoord 2–0 AZ Alkmaar moved the odds the most. Feyenoord beat AZ Alkmaar 2–0 at home, and their Champions League chances rose from 50% to 68%. AZ Alkmaar lost 2–0 at Feyenoord, and their Champions League chances fell from 22% to 11%.
Match previewThe game whose two clubs' chances changed the most since the last round.
The title race
- PSV
- Feyenoord
- Ajax
- AZ Alkmaar
- FC Twente
Show as a table
| Round | PSV | Feyenoord | Ajax | AZ Alkmaar | FC Twente |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 43% | 18% | 17% | 4% | 3% |
| 2 | 51% | 11% | 10% | 8% | 5% |
| 3 | 66% | 10% | 6% | 9% | 3% |
| 4 | 75% | 3% | 8% | 9% | 2% |
| 5 | 83% | 4% | 3% | 9% | 1% |
| 6 | 84% | 6% | 4% | 4% | 2% |
| 7 | 63% | 19% | 6% | 6% | 4% |
| 8 | 67% | 25% | 3% | 2% | 2% |
The top five clubs' title chances after each round.
Every club's chances
| # | Club | Pts | TitleTitle | Champions LeagueChampions League | RelegationRelegation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  FeyenoordFeyenoord | 20 | 25%+6 pts | 68%+18 pts | 0%±0 |
| 2 |  PSVPSV Eindhoven | 19 | 67%+4 pts | 91%+6 pts | 0%±0 |
| 3 | AZ AlkmaarAZ Alkmaar | 19 | 2%−4 pts | 11%−11 pts | 0%±0 |
| 4 | FC TwenteFC Twente | 17 | 2%−2 pts | 12%−6 pts | 0%±0 |
| 5 | AjaxAjax | 15 | 3%−3 pts | 17%−6 pts | 0%±0 |
| 6 |  GroningenGroningen | 14 | <1%±0 | 1%±0 | 0%±0 |
| 7 |  FortunaFortuna Sittard | 14 | 0%±0 | <1%±0 | <1%±0 |
| 8 |  Go Ahead EaglesGo Ahead Eagles | 11 | <1%±0 | <1%±0 | <1%±0 |
| 9 |  ExcelsiorExcelsior | 11 | 0%±0 | <1%±0 | <1%±0 |
| 10 |  HeerenveenHeerenveen | 9 | <1%±0 | <1%±0 | <1%±0 |
| 11 |  NECNEC Nijmegen | 9 | <1%±0 | <1%±0 | <1%±0 |
| 12 |  CambuurCambuur | 8 | 0%±0 | 0%±0 | 25%−13 pts |
| 13 |  FC UtrechtFC Utrecht | 8 | 0%±0 | <1%±0 | 1%±0 |
| 14 |  SpartaSparta Rotterdam | 6 | 0%±0 | 0%±0 | 8%−2 pts |
| 15 |  TelstarTelstar | 6 | 0%±0 | <1%±0 | 5%±0 |
| 16 | PEC ZwollePEC Zwolle | 4 | 0%±0 | 0%±0 | 43%+11 pts |
| 17 |  ADOADO Den Haag | 3 | 0%±0 | 0%±0 | 37%−5 pts |
| 18 | Willem IIWillem II | 2 | 0%±0 | 0%±0 | 81%+8 pts |
Chances after Matchday 8, from 10,000 simulated seasons; the change since Matchday 7 below each.