Eredivisie title odds after Matchday 6
After the games up to 13 September 2026
PSV lead the title race at 84%. Cambuur 3–0 NEC moved the odds the most.
Biggest risers and fallers
Title
Down
AZ Alkmaar9%4%−5 pts
NEC1%<1%−1 pt
Feyenoord won 7–0 at PEC Zwolle, and their title chances rose from 4% to 6%. AZ Alkmaar drew 1–1 with Willem II at home, and their title chances fell from 9% to 4%. PSV lead the title race at 84%.
Champions League
Down
- AZ Alkmaar43%24%−19 pts
- NEC6%1%−5 pts
Excelsior2%1%−1 pt
Feyenoord won 7–0 at PEC Zwolle, and their Champions League chances rose from 22% to 37%. AZ Alkmaar drew 1–1 with Willem II at home, and their Champions League chances fell from 43% to 24%.
Relegation
Up
PEC Zwolle11%28%+17 pts
ADO38%53%+15 pts
Sparta3%5%+2 pts
PEC Zwolle lost 7–0 to Feyenoord at home, and their relegation chances rose from 11% to 28%. Cambuur beat NEC 3–0 at home, and their relegation chances fell from 76% to 42%.
Changes since Matchday 5, in points of percentage.
Result of the round
Cambuur 3–0 NEC moved the odds the most. Cambuur beat NEC 3–0 at home, and their relegation chances fell from 76% to 42%. NEC's Champions League chances fell from 6% to 1%.
Match previewThe game whose two clubs' chances changed the most since the last round.
The title race
- PSV
- Feyenoord
- Ajax
- AZ Alkmaar
- FC Twente
Show as a table
| Round | PSV | Feyenoord | Ajax | AZ Alkmaar | FC Twente |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 43% | 18% | 17% | 4% | 3% |
| 2 | 51% | 11% | 10% | 8% | 5% |
| 3 | 66% | 10% | 6% | 9% | 3% |
| 4 | 75% | 3% | 8% | 9% | 2% |
| 5 | 83% | 4% | 3% | 9% | 1% |
| 6 | 84% | 6% | 4% | 4% | 2% |
The top five clubs' title chances after each round.
Every club's chances
| # | Club | Pts | TitleTitle | Champions LeagueChampions League | RelegationRelegation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  PSVPSV Eindhoven | 16 | 84%+1 pt | 96%+1 pt | 0%±0 |
| 2 | AZ AlkmaarAZ Alkmaar | 16 | 4%−5 pts | 24%−19 pts | 0%±0 |
| 3 |  FeyenoordFeyenoord | 14 | 6%+2 pts | 37%+15 pts | 0%±0 |
| 4 |  FC TwenteFC Twente | 13 | 2%+1 pt | 14%+6 pts | 0%±0 |
| 5 |  AjaxAjax | 10 | 4%+1 pt | 28%+7 pts | 0%±0 |
| 6 | ExcelsiorExcelsior | 10 | <1%±0 | 1%−1 pt | <1%±0 |
| 7 |  FortunaFortuna Sittard | 10 | 0%±0 | <1%−1 pt | <1%±0 |
| 8 |  Go Ahead EaglesGo Ahead Eagles | 9 | <1%±0 | 1%±0 | <1%±0 |
| 9 |  GroningenGroningen | 8 | <1%±0 | <1%−1 pt | <1%±0 |
| 10 | NECNEC Nijmegen | 7 | <1%−1 pt | 1%−5 pts | <1%±0 |
| 11 |  HeerenveenHeerenveen | 6 | <1%±0 | <1%±0 | 1%+1 pt |
| 12 | SpartaSparta Rotterdam | 5 | 0%±0 | <1%±0 | 5%+2 pts |
| 13 |  TelstarTelstar | 5 | 0%±0 | 0%±0 | 5%+2 pts |
| 14 |  FC UtrechtFC Utrecht | 5 | <1%±0 | <1%±0 | 1%±0 |
| 15 |  CambuurCambuur | 4 | 0%±0 | 0%±0 | 42%−34 pts |
| 16 | PEC ZwollePEC Zwolle | 4 | 0%±0 | 0%±0 | 28%+17 pts |
| 17 |  Willem IIWillem II | 2 | 0%±0 | 0%±0 | 65%−3 pts |
| 18 | ADOADO Den Haag | 1 | 0%±0 | 0%±0 | 53%+15 pts |
Chances after Matchday 6, from 10,000 simulated seasons; the change since Matchday 5 below each.