Eredivisie title odds after Matchday 4
After the games up to 30 August 2026
PSV lead the title race at 75%. Feyenoord 2–2 ADO moved the odds the most.
Biggest risers and fallers
Title
Down
Feyenoord10%3%−7 pts
Go Ahead Eagles2%<1%−2 pts
FC Twente3%2%−1 pt
PSV won 6–1 at FC Utrecht, and their title chances rose from 66% to 75%. Feyenoord drew 2–2 with ADO at home, and their title chances fell from 10% to 3%. PSV lead the title race at 75%.
Champions League
Up
Ajax20%32%+12 pts
AZ Alkmaar28%36%+8 pts
PSV85%90%+5 pts
Down
- Feyenoord30%14%−16 pts
- Go Ahead Eagles7%2%−5 pts
Groningen3%1%−2 pts
Ajax won 4–0 at Telstar, and their Champions League chances rose from 20% to 32%. Feyenoord drew 2–2 with ADO at home, and their Champions League chances fell from 30% to 14%.
Changes since Matchday 3, in points of percentage.
Result of the round
Feyenoord 2–2 ADO moved the odds the most. Feyenoord drew 2–2 with ADO at home, and their Champions League chances fell from 30% to 14%. ADO drew 2–2 at Feyenoord, and their relegation chances fell from 44% to 38%.
Match previewThe game whose two clubs' chances changed the most since the last round.
The title race
- PSV
- AZ Alkmaar
- Ajax
- Feyenoord
- FC Twente
Show as a table
| Round | PSV | AZ Alkmaar | Ajax | Feyenoord | FC Twente |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 43% | 4% | 17% | 18% | 3% |
| 2 | 51% | 8% | 10% | 11% | 5% |
| 3 | 66% | 9% | 6% | 10% | 3% |
| 4 | 75% | 9% | 8% | 3% | 2% |
The top five clubs' title chances after each round.
Every club's chances
| # | Club | Pts | TitleTitle | Champions LeagueChampions League | RelegationRelegation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | AZ AlkmaarAZ Alkmaar | 12 | 9%±0 | 36%+8 pts | 0%±0 |
| 2 | PSVPSV Eindhoven | 10 | 75%+9 pts | 90%+5 pts | 0%±0 |
| 3 | FeyenoordFeyenoord | 8 | 3%−7 pts | 14%−16 pts | <1%±0 |
| 4 | AjaxAjax | 7 | 8%+2 pts | 32%+12 pts | 0%±0 |
| 5 | Go Ahead EaglesGo Ahead Eagles | 7 | <1%−2 pts | 2%−5 pts | <1%±0 |
| 6 |  FortunaFortuna Sittard | 7 | <1%±0 | <1%±0 | <1%−1 pt |
| 7 |  NECNEC Nijmegen | 6 | 2%−1 pt | 12%−1 pt | 0%±0 |
| 8 |  ExcelsiorExcelsior | 6 | <1%±0 | 1%±0 | <1%−1 pt |
| 9 | FC TwenteFC Twente | 6 | 2%−1 pt | 11%±0 | 0%±0 |
| 10 | GroningenGroningen | 6 | <1%−1 pt | 1%−2 pts | <1%±0 |
| 11 |  HeerenveenHeerenveen | 5 | <1%±0 | <1%−2 pts | <1%±0 |
| 12 |  SpartaSparta Rotterdam | 4 | 0%±0 | <1%±0 | 4%+2 pts |
| 13 |  PEC ZwollePEC Zwolle | 3 | 0%±0 | 0%±0 | 11%+3 pts |
| 14 |  TelstarTelstar | 3 | <1%±0 | <1%−1 pt | 3%+2 pts |
| 15 |  Willem IIWillem II | 1 | 0%±0 | 0%±0 | 59%−5 pts |
| 16 |  ADOADO Den Haag | 1 | 0%±0 | 0%±0 | 38%−6 pts |
| 17 |  FC UtrechtFC Utrecht | 1 | <1%±0 | <1%±0 | 1%±0 |
| 18 |  CambuurCambuur | 0 | 0%±0 | 0%±0 | 82%+4 pts |
Chances after Matchday 4, from 10,000 simulated seasons; the change since Matchday 3 below each.