Eredivisie title odds after Matchday 3

After the games up to 23 August 2026

PSV lead the title race at 66%. PSV 5–1 Groningen moved the odds the most.

Biggest risers and fallers

Title

PSV51%66%+15 pts
AZ Alkmaar8%9%+1 pt

Down

Ajax10%6%−4 pts
NEC6%3%−3 pts
Groningen4%1%−3 pts

PSV beat Groningen 5–1 at home, and their title chances rose from 51% to 66%. Ajax didn't play, and their title chances fell from 10% to 6%. PSV lead the title race at 66%.

Champions League

PSV71%85%+14 pts
AZ Alkmaar21%28%+7 pts
Feyenoord27%30%+3 pts

Down

Groningen13%3%−10 pts
Heerenveen7%2%−5 pts
Ajax23%20%−3 pts

PSV beat Groningen 5–1 at home, and their Champions League chances rose from 71% to 85%. Groningen lost 5–1 at PSV, and their Champions League chances fell from 13% to 3%.

Relegation

ADO34%44%+10 pts
Cambuur73%78%+5 pts

Down

PEC Zwolle23%8%−15 pts
Sparta3%2%−1 pt

ADO lost 3–1 at Go Ahead Eagles, and their relegation chances rose from 34% to 44%. PEC Zwolle won 2–0 at Heerenveen, and their relegation chances fell from 23% to 8%.

Changes since Matchday 2, in points of percentage.

Result of the round

PSV Eindhoven

5–1

Groningen

PSV 5–1 Groningen moved the odds the most. PSV beat Groningen 5–1 at home, and their title chances rose from 51% to 66%. Groningen lost 5–1 at PSV, and their Champions League chances fell from 13% to 3%.

Match preview

The game whose two clubs' chances changed the most since the last round.

The title race

PSV
Feyenoord
AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
NEC

Show as a table

Round	PSV	Feyenoord	AZ Alkmaar	Ajax	NEC
1	43%	18%	4%	17%	4%
2	51%	11%	8%	10%	6%
3	66%	10%	9%	6%	3%

The top five clubs' title chances after each round.

Every club's chances

#	Club	Pts	TitleTitle	Champions LeagueChampions League	RelegationRelegation
1	AZ AlkmaarAZ Alkmaar	9	9%+1 pt	28%+7 pts	0%±0
2	Go Ahead EaglesGo Ahead Eagles	7	2%±0	7%+2 pts	<1%±0
3	PSVPSV Eindhoven	7	66%+15 pts	85%+14 pts	0%±0
4	FeyenoordFeyenoord	7	10%−1 pt	30%+3 pts	0%±0
5	GroningenGroningen	6	1%−3 pts	3%−10 pts	<1%±0
6	AjaxAjax	4	6%−4 pts	20%−3 pts	<1%±0
7	SpartaSparta Rotterdam	4	<1%±0	<1%±0	2%−1 pt
8	FortunaFortuna Sittard	4	<1%±0	<1%−1 pt	1%±0
9	HeerenveenHeerenveen	4	<1%−2 pts	2%−5 pts	<1%±0
10	ExcelsiorExcelsior	3	<1%±0	1%±0	1%±0
11	NECNEC Nijmegen	3	3%−3 pts	13%−2 pts	<1%±0
12	FC TwenteFC Twente	3	3%−2 pts	11%−2 pts	<1%±0
13	TelstarTelstar	3	<1%±0	1%±0	1%±0
14	PEC ZwollePEC Zwolle	3	<1%±0	<1%±0	8%−15 pts
15	FC UtrechtFC Utrecht	1	<1%±0	<1%−1 pt	1%±0
16	Willem IIWillem II	0	0%±0	0%±0	64%±0
17	ADOADO Den Haag	0	0%±0	0%±0	44%+10 pts
18	CambuurCambuur	0	0%±0	0%±0	78%+5 pts