Eredivisie title odds after Matchday 5
After the games up to 8 September 2026
PSV lead the title race at 83%. Ajax 1–3 PSV moved the odds the most.
Biggest risers and fallers
Title
PSV won 3–1 at Ajax, and their title chances rose from 75% to 83%. Ajax lost 3–1 to PSV at home, and their title chances fell from 8% to 3%. PSV lead the title race at 83%.
Champions League
Up
Feyenoord14%22%+8 pts
AZ Alkmaar36%43%+7 pts
PSV90%95%+5 pts
Feyenoord won 3–1 at NEC, and their Champions League chances rose from 14% to 22%. Ajax lost 3–1 to PSV at home, and their Champions League chances fell from 32% to 21%.
Changes since Matchday 4, in points of percentage.
Result of the round
Ajax 1–3 PSV moved the odds the most. Ajax lost 3–1 to PSV at home, and their Champions League chances fell from 32% to 21%. PSV won 3–1 at Ajax, and their title chances rose from 75% to 83%.
Match previewThe game whose two clubs' chances changed the most since the last round.
The title race
- PSV
- AZ Alkmaar
- Feyenoord
- Ajax
- FC Twente
Show as a table
| Round | PSV | AZ Alkmaar | Feyenoord | Ajax | FC Twente |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 43% | 4% | 18% | 17% | 3% |
| 2 | 51% | 8% | 11% | 10% | 5% |
| 3 | 66% | 9% | 10% | 6% | 3% |
| 4 | 75% | 9% | 3% | 8% | 2% |
| 5 | 83% | 9% | 4% | 3% | 1% |
The top five clubs' title chances after each round.
Every club's chances
| # | Club | Pts | TitleTitle | Champions LeagueChampions League | RelegationRelegation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | AZ AlkmaarAZ Alkmaar | 15 | 9%±0 | 43%+7 pts | 0%±0 |
| 2 | PSVPSV Eindhoven | 13 | 83%+8 pts | 95%+5 pts | 0%±0 |
| 3 | FeyenoordFeyenoord | 11 | 4%+1 pt | 22%+8 pts | 0%±0 |
| 4 |  FortunaFortuna Sittard | 10 | <1%±0 | 1%+1 pt | <1%±0 |
| 5 |  ExcelsiorExcelsior | 9 | <1%±0 | 2%+1 pt | <1%±0 |
| 6 |  Go Ahead EaglesGo Ahead Eagles | 8 | <1%±0 | 1%−1 pt | <1%±0 |
| 7 |  AjaxAjax | 7 | 3%−5 pts | 21%−11 pts | 0%±0 |
| 8 |  FC TwenteFC Twente | 7 | 1%−1 pt | 8%−3 pts | 0%±0 |
| 9 |  GroningenGroningen | 7 | <1%±0 | 1%±0 | <1%±0 |
| 10 |  NECNEC Nijmegen | 6 | 1%−1 pt | 6%−6 pts | <1%±0 |
| 11 |  SpartaSparta Rotterdam | 5 | 0%±0 | <1%±0 | 3%−1 pt |
| 12 |  HeerenveenHeerenveen | 5 | 0%±0 | <1%±0 | <1%±0 |
| 13 |  PEC ZwollePEC Zwolle | 4 | 0%±0 | 0%±0 | 11%±0 |
| 14 |  TelstarTelstar | 4 | 0%±0 | <1%±0 | 3%±0 |
| 15 |  FC UtrechtFC Utrecht | 2 | 0%±0 | <1%±0 | 1%±0 |
| 16 |  ADOADO Den Haag | 1 | 0%±0 | 0%±0 | 38%±0 |
| 17 |  Willem IIWillem II | 1 | 0%±0 | 0%±0 | 68%+9 pts |
| 18 |  CambuurCambuur | 1 | 0%±0 | 0%±0 | 76%−6 pts |
Chances after Matchday 5, from 10,000 simulated seasons; the change since Matchday 4 below each.