Foot Simu
Eredivisie 2026/27

Eredivisie title odds after Matchday 1

After the games up to 9 August 2026

PSV lead the title race at 43%.

Biggest risers and fallers

This is the season's first report: the changes start with the next round.

The title race

  • PSV
  • Feyenoord
  • Ajax
  • NEC
  • AZ Alkmaar
0%15%30%45%60%1PSV 43%Feyenoord 18%Ajax 17%NEC 4%AZ Alkmaar 4%
Show as a table
RoundPSVFeyenoordAjaxNECAZ Alkmaar
143%18%17%4%4%

The top five clubs' title chances after each round.

Every club's chances

#ClubTitleChampions LeagueRelegation
1Excelsior1%2%1%
2Go Ahead Eagles2%6%<1%
3Ajax17%36%<1%
4AZ Alkmaar4%11%<1%
5Groningen2%7%<1%
6Telstar1%3%<1%
7Feyenoord18%37%0%
8Heerenveen3%8%<1%
9Fortuna<1%1%2%
10PSV43%64%0%
11FC Utrecht2%6%<1%
12NEC4%11%<1%
13FC Twente3%9%<1%
14Sparta<1%<1%15%
15ADO0%<1%26%
16PEC Zwolle0%<1%23%
17Willem II0%0%60%
18Cambuur0%0%71%

Chances after Matchday 1, from 10,000 simulated seasons.

All reports this season