Eredivisie title odds after Matchday 7
After the games up to 20 September 2026
PSV lead the title race at 63%. FC Twente 3–2 PSV moved the odds the most.
Biggest risers and fallers
Title
Up
Feyenoord6%19%+13 pts
AZ Alkmaar4%6%+2 pts
Ajax4%6%+2 pts
Down
PSV84%63%−21 pts
Feyenoord beat FC Utrecht 5–0 at home, and their title chances rose from 6% to 19%. PSV lost 3–2 at FC Twente, and their title chances fell from 84% to 63%. PSV lead the title race at 63%.
Champions League
Down
- PSV96%85%−11 pts
- Ajax28%23%−5 pts
- AZ Alkmaar24%22%−2 pts
Feyenoord beat FC Utrecht 5–0 at home, and their Champions League chances rose from 37% to 50%. PSV lost 3–2 at FC Twente, and their Champions League chances fell from 96% to 85%.
Relegation
Up
Willem II65%73%+8 pts
Sparta5%10%+5 pts
PEC Zwolle28%32%+4 pts
Down
ADO53%42%−11 pts
Cambuur42%38%−4 pts
Heerenveen1%<1%−1 pt
Willem II's relegation chances rose from 65% to 73%. ADO drew 1–1 with Cambuur at home, and their relegation chances fell from 53% to 42%.
Changes since Matchday 6, in points of percentage.
Result of the round
FC Twente 3–2 PSV moved the odds the most. FC Twente beat PSV 3–2 at home, and their Champions League chances rose from 14% to 18%. PSV lost 3–2 at FC Twente, and their title chances fell from 84% to 63%.
Match previewThe game whose two clubs' chances changed the most since the last round.
The title race
- PSV
- Feyenoord
- AZ Alkmaar
- Ajax
- FC Twente
Show as a table
| Round | PSV | Feyenoord | AZ Alkmaar | Ajax | FC Twente |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 43% | 18% | 4% | 17% | 3% |
| 2 | 51% | 11% | 8% | 10% | 5% |
| 3 | 66% | 10% | 9% | 6% | 3% |
| 4 | 75% | 3% | 9% | 8% | 2% |
| 5 | 83% | 4% | 9% | 3% | 1% |
| 6 | 84% | 6% | 4% | 4% | 2% |
| 7 | 63% | 19% | 6% | 6% | 4% |
The top five clubs' title chances after each round.
Every club's chances
| # | Club | Pts | TitleTitle | Champions LeagueChampions League | RelegationRelegation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | AZ AlkmaarAZ Alkmaar | 19 | 6%+2 pts | 22%−2 pts | 0%±0 |
| 2 | FeyenoordFeyenoord | 17 | 19%+13 pts | 50%+13 pts | 0%±0 |
| 3 | PSVPSV Eindhoven | 16 | 63%−21 pts | 85%−11 pts | 0%±0 |
| 4 |  FC TwenteFC Twente | 16 | 4%+2 pts | 18%+4 pts | 0%±0 |
| 5 | AjaxAjax | 14 | 6%+2 pts | 23%−5 pts | 0%±0 |
| 6 |  FortunaFortuna Sittard | 13 | <1%±0 | <1%±0 | <1%±0 |
| 7 |  ExcelsiorExcelsior | 11 | <1%±0 | <1%−1 pt | <1%±0 |
| 8 |  GroningenGroningen | 11 | <1%±0 | 1%+1 pt | 0%±0 |
| 9 |  Go Ahead EaglesGo Ahead Eagles | 10 | <1%±0 | <1%−1 pt | <1%±0 |
| 10 | HeerenveenHeerenveen | 9 | <1%±0 | <1%±0 | <1%−1 pt |
| 11 |  NECNEC Nijmegen | 8 | <1%±0 | <1%−1 pt | <1%±0 |
| 12 | SpartaSparta Rotterdam | 5 | 0%±0 | 0%±0 | 10%+5 pts |
| 13 |  TelstarTelstar | 5 | 0%±0 | 0%±0 | 5%±0 |
| 14 | CambuurCambuur | 5 | 0%±0 | 0%±0 | 38%−4 pts |
| 15 |  FC UtrechtFC Utrecht | 5 | 0%±0 | <1%±0 | 1%±0 |
| 16 | PEC ZwollePEC Zwolle | 4 | 0%±0 | 0%±0 | 32%+4 pts |
| 17 | ADOADO Den Haag | 2 | 0%±0 | 0%±0 | 42%−11 pts |
| 18 | Willem IIWillem II | 2 | 0%±0 | 0%±0 | 73%+8 pts |
Chances after Matchday 7, from 10,000 simulated seasons; the change since Matchday 6 below each.